***Russian - Ukraine War Tactical and Strategic Updates*** [Warning on OP]

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shiftyandquick
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3:55p, 5/31/26
Video on how Ukraine has reverse engineered a very simple cheap Russian UAV.

https://www.facebook.com/reel/1358380706335879
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Rossticus
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9:22p, 5/31/26


"We wanted to conclude the first Drone Deal with the United States. The U.S. wanted to test all types of our drones. We agreed to the way they wanted to test, train with, and use our systems in the air, on land, and at sea. But we still don't have a bilateral Drone Deal a big framework document.

The Drone Deals we have are with some countries in the Middle East and Europe, and now we are preparing a big Drone Deal with the EU. I hope we will reach the same agreement with our American partners. I count on it.

American companies have advanced AI technologies we don't have. In turn, we have many things they don't have, due to our extensive experience on the battlefield.

I think this cooperation can be huge the most powerful of its kind in the world. We need to negotiate, not just talk about it. Take the necessary steps and do it as quickly as possible. For this, we need President Trump to say yes."
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Rossticus
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9:25p, 5/31/26
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Rossticus
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9:33p, 5/31/26
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Rossticus
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9:34p, 5/31/26
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Waffledynamics
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9:50p, 5/31/26
AG
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shiftyandquick
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10:03p, 5/31/26
Ukraines middle range drone campaign.

https://www.facebook.com/share/v/18XBSmW1HX/
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Waffledynamics
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10:28p, 5/31/26
AG
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Waffledynamics
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12:17p, 6/1/26
AG
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Waffledynamics
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12:26p, 6/1/26
AG


Quote:
Russian aviation affiliated channel Fighterbomber say Crimea's fuel shortage is being driven by multiple logistics failures, including restrictions on rail fuel transport, damaged ferry capacity, shortages of drivers willing to move fuel through occupied territories and repeated attacks on storage sites. They argue the situation cannot be resolved without direct state intervention. #Crimea
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Waffledynamics
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12:37p, 6/1/26
AG
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Blackbeard94
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1:15p, 6/1/26
AG
That is brilliant, I wonder if it works?
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PJYoung
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In reply to Blackbeard94 • 1:16p, 6/1/26
AG
Blackbeard94 said:
That is brilliant, I wonder if it works?

Quote:
You think they do this to convince their OWN troops driving these trucks that "Oh, this paint-scheme DEFINITELY camouflages and ABSOLUTELY won't be useless to your survival!"

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lb3
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In reply to PJYoung • 1:19p, 6/1/26
AG
That's the exact purpose. From the pods I've been listening to there really isn't much if any AI used for real time target identification.
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K2-HMFIC
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3:40p, 6/1/26


Sounds bad.
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Waffledynamics
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In reply to K2-HMFIC • 4:39p, 6/1/26
AG
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Sq 17
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In reply to Waffledynamics • 4:41p, 6/1/26
Please convert to Dollars
Probably is in the link but leaving Texags to read the whole post in X is a pain in the a$$
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SECTAMU#1
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In reply to Waffledynamics • 4:47p, 6/1/26
  • Contracts between oligarch-owned companies and Russia's militaryindustrial complex from 2014 through the ongoing war amount to at least 220billion rubles.
  • This figure is cumulative, covering the entire period of conflict beginning with the annexation of Crimea and continuing through the fullscale invasion.
    • $220 billion rubles is just over $3 billion dollars.
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    Sq 17
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    In reply to SECTAMU#1 • 4:56p, 6/1/26
    Thanks that's not really a lot of money considering how wealthy some of these guys are
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    Who?mikejones!
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    In reply to Waffledynamics • 5:46p, 6/1/26
    Basically window fall insurance
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    Sq 17
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    In reply to Who?mikejones! • 6:15p, 6/1/26
    With a semi annual premium needed to keep the policy current
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    sclaff
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    6:55p, 6/1/26
    AG


    Gandalv
    @Microinteracti1

    16h
    Ukraine's Invisible Army

    Russia has one of the most expensive air defense networks on the planet. Ukraine has found a way to make it shoot itself broke.

    Kyiv's military intelligence is now deploying hundreds of jet-powered decoy drones alongside real strike packages. These are not cheap foam toys. They mimic the radar signatures of lethal platforms well enough that Russian operators face an impossible choice: burn costly interceptors on fakes, or gamble that the next one is also a fake. Spoiler: it isn't.

    The math is brutal. A $30,000 decoy forces a response from a $3 million missile. Do that a few hundred times per night and Russia's air defense budget starts looking like a bonfire.

    Ukraine's upgraded arsenal can now reach roughly a quarter of Russia's landmass and over 70% of its population. Moscow built a fortress. Kyiv is teaching it to punch itself.

    The war's most decisive front isn't in the trenches. It's in the radar screens, where every blip is a gamble Russia can no longer afford to lose.
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    Waffledynamics
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    7:54p, 6/1/26
    AG
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    74OA
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    In reply to Waffledynamics • 8:15p, 6/1/26
    AG
    Waffledynamics said:

    Here's the BACKGROUND.

    "Increasingly, Ukrainian drones are using artificial intelligence (AI) to boost their combat effectiveness. This includes machine vision: a process of the drone learning object recognition, identification, classification, and tracking, as well as providing recommendations for the operator on what to do, provided there is an operator at all and the drone is not running autonomously."
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    sclaff
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    9:47p, 6/1/26
    AG
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    PJYoung
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    1:23p, 6/2/26
    AG
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    Waffledynamics
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    In reply to PJYoung • 1:37p, 6/2/26
    AG
    How is he getting that the planes have NK soldiers and equipment in them?

    I'd be very careful with WM3 posts. He posts a lot of questionable stuff. Some might remember him from the earlier days in the thread.
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    EFR
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    In reply to PJYoung • 1:42p, 6/2/26
    A bit of hyperbole there. That isn't huge amounts by any means. The AN-148 carries less than 100 troops. While the IL-76 has significant capacity, military equipment is heavy and there haven't been that many flights.
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    shiftyandquick
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    2:49p, 6/2/26
    Russia will fall when its economy falls.

    One sign of this is Russia raising taxes to fund the war effort.

    And evidence now of the actual economy going underground to avoid taxes. Which increases the financial hole that the government is in.

    Putin will be pushed out (fall out) because of the economy.

    https://meduza.io/en/cards/russia-s-tax-hikes-were-meant-to-shore-up-the-federal-budget-they-may-be-pushing-the-economy-underground
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    PJYoung
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    4:11p, 6/2/26
    AG
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    javajaws
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    In reply to sclaff • 4:39p, 6/2/26
    AG
    sclaff said:


    Gandalv
    @Microinteracti1

    16h
    Ukraine's Invisible Army

    Russia has one of the most expensive air defense networks on the planet. Ukraine has found a way to make it shoot itself broke.

    Kyiv's military intelligence is now deploying hundreds of jet-powered decoy drones alongside real strike packages. These are not cheap foam toys. They mimic the radar signatures of lethal platforms well enough that Russian operators face an impossible choice: burn costly interceptors on fakes, or gamble that the next one is also a fake. Spoiler: it isn't.

    The math is brutal. A $30,000 decoy forces a response from a $3 million missile. Do that a few hundred times per night and Russia's air defense budget starts looking like a bonfire.

    Ukraine's upgraded arsenal can now reach roughly a quarter of Russia's landmass and over 70% of its population. Moscow built a fortress. Kyiv is teaching it to punch itself.

    The war's most decisive front isn't in the trenches. It's in the radar screens, where every blip is a gamble Russia can no longer afford to lose.

    Yeah its clear Russia has lost the technology and war economy battle. To be fair, we partly ran into the same thing with Iraq in that our cost to defend against a missile or drone attack is much higher the the cost of the attack itself (we've gotta work on that!).

    The fact that Russia is behind on technology and the war economy (costs more to defend than it does for Ukraine to attack) points to the fact that if this goes on long enough they will most likely lose. I would bet the odds of them losing at this point are around 75% up from around maybe 30-40% a year or two ago.
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    2wealfth Man
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    6:52p, 6/2/26
    AG
    A new era of stagnant warfare has dawned 100 years after WW1. It appears that it is almost impossible to muster sufficient forces and logistics for any kind of sustained offensive ground actions in the face of drones, glide bombs, ATACAMs, and constant eyes in the sky surveillance. Russia getting Guinea pigged.
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    Rossticus
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    7:00p, 6/2/26
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    fullback44
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    In reply to Rossticus • 7:15p, 6/2/26
    AG
    Rossticus said:

    Wonder what goodies they will aim for this time? Maybe more energy infrastructure? Maybe some munitions factories? Maybe Stalins - sorry Pooties weekend home?
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    docb
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    In reply to fullback44 • 8:02p, 6/2/26
    AG
    I hope they take out that Pansir that Russia just hoisted atop that roof top in Moscow in a recent video. Just because they can.
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