⚡️Police: Russia plans to organize riots to destabilize Moldova.

Russian intelligence agencies are planning to destabilize the situation in Moldova through riots organized by Shor, a pro-Russian party, Viorel Cernauteanu, head of Moldova's National Police, said on March 10.

— The Kyiv Independent (@KyivIndependent) March 12, 2023

At night, the military came to one of the bars in #Kharkiv

The male visitors were given military summons. pic.twitter.com/JT6rQ1zhtf

— NEXTA (@nexta_tv) March 12, 2023

Quote:

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3 people killed, 11 wounded as result of missile strike in Perevalsk city of Luhansk region

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https://liveuamap.com/en/2023/12-march-3-people-killed-11-wounded-as-result-of-missile

⚡️Notable Russian sources, including those close to Wagner, report that the armed forces of Ukraine have a large strike group made up of up to 10 brigades currently in Chasiv Yar, preparing to conduct a wide counterattack in the Bakhmut direction.

They claim that Ukraine will… https://t.co/yLiUPWgfeS pic.twitter.com/cVrYvyHDtF

— War Monitor (@WarMonitors) March 12, 2023

lb3 said:

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Last years Ukraine offensive was successful because HIMARS gave the Ukes longer range fires than the Russians. We had weeks of ammo depots blowing up and senior officers being killed until the Russians moved those assets further to the rear.

For the Ukes to be successful this spring they really need ATACMS in order to hit those repositioned supply bases.

Of course, that won't win the war but will make Russian logistics far more challenging. Ultimately the Ukes will probably need cruise missiles to win this battle of attrition. They need to be able to hit manufacturing facilities within Russia and key economic infrastructure.

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Yep but that is a major escalation risk. Maybe the Ukes ought to use special forces to hit high value eco or logistic targets just inside Russia proper.

ttu_85 said:

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lb3 said:

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Last years Ukraine offensive was successful because HIMARS gave the Ukes longer range fires than the Russians. We had weeks of ammo depots blowing up and senior officers being killed until the Russians moved those assets further to the rear.

For the Ukes to be successful this spring they really need ATACMS in order to hit those repositioned supply bases.

Of course, that won't win the war but will make Russian logistics far more challenging. Ultimately the Ukes will probably need cruise missiles to win this battle of attrition. They need to be able to hit manufacturing facilities within Russia and key economic infrastructure.

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Yep but that is a major escalation risk. Maybe the Ukes ought to use special forces to hit high value eco or logistic targets just inside Russia proper.

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With ATACMS Ukraine would be able to hit all railway bridges across the Siviers Donets and Don Rivers supplying the Donbas region and the Kerch bridges that supply Crimea. They are able to attack ports of Mariupol and Berdyansk with existing armaments to some degree already.

Latest Defence Intelligence update on the situation in Ukraine - 13 March 2023

Find out more about Defence Intelligence: https://t.co/qi9pyI0NXr

🇺🇦 #StandWithUkraine 🇺🇦 pic.twitter.com/hc3RfWFhvf

— Ministry of Defence 🇬🇧 (@DefenceHQ) March 13, 2023

UPDATES

74OA said:

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Beautiful video from Ukraine.

A volunteer soldier from New Zealand storms a Russian position and detains a man in basement.

After a few seconds, the detainee recognizes him & screams “Novaya Zealand”?

Turns out, it’s a Ukrainian friend whom the Russians held captive for months pic.twitter.com/c1aOyuut1o

— Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) March 13, 2023

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Awesome!

It seems like Ukraine has been hitting Russian logistics in the Southeast. Air defense was active in Volnovakha and Mariupol, per LiveUAMap.

This line was the last hope for Ukraine to build a solid front inside the city, where Russians would be physically held back along a natural and structural barrier.
Now, it's gone. Russians can move forward street by street, West of the Bakhmutivka, from now on. pic.twitter.com/XWrVLuFG55

— Julian Röpcke🇺🇦 (@JulianRoepcke) March 14, 2023

https://taskandpurpose.com/news/army-veteran-john-mcintyre-russian-propaganda/

Interesting use of an American (willingly) for propaganda.

insane video of russian trench being wiped out. INF support by IFV. I think the Bradleys and other IFV/AFVs are going to be plenty effective against russians including their MBTs.

https://funker530.com/video/nsfw-insane-footage-of-russian-trench-being-wiped-out/

Oh sick we've got the plot for Hunt for Red October starting to play out

#BREAKING: Russian Su-27 aircraft struck propeller of a US MQ-9 Reaper drone, causing US forces to have to bring the MQ-9 down in international waters, according to @US_EUCOM via @laraseligman

— ELINT News (@ELINTNews) March 14, 2023

"Several times before the collision, the Su-27s dumped
fuel on and flew in front of the MQ-9 in a reckless, environmentally unsound and unprofessional manner. This incident demonstrates a lack of competence
in addition to being unsafe and unprofessional" says @US_EUCOM

— luis martinez (@LMartinezABC) March 14, 2023

A lot better combined arms than the Russians. The IFV could not hit the Russians except when they were in the trench in-line with the machine gun. Uke gets out of the IFV and fires a RPG almost immediately knocking out a few Russians, tank main gun and machine gun knock out the rest.

I do think the volume of IFVs and tanks should help Ukraine push a counter offensive if implemented properly. Russia is fortifying positions in the south and east. They will have trenches built and minefields ready as well as artillery positions pre-sighted. Unlike with most American conflicts recently Ukraine should not focus on a zero loss outcome, they will take losses of both men and systems. How they implement both together will determine the outcome.

The USA never signed the UNCLOS that sets a country's boundaries 12 nautical miles from the coastline so being an unmanned aircraft I doubt we escalate more than some words being spoken. Especially with how weak out leadership is.

Or they want to make more money and do something stupid. My first thought is to find out where the SU27 was launched from and help Ukraine with a strike/operation on the base. Not a direct counter attack but also sends a message that knocking down an American aircraft will not go unpunished.

I love how practically everyone replying to this haven’t even been to Ukraine, yet they somehow know better than the guy who has been on the ground in Bakhmut in the past few weeks and regardless has studied the Russian military for years and this war, in-depth, since day one. https://t.co/VZGEMSVFbU

— ELINT News (@ELINTNews) March 12, 2023

⚠️#Donbass - Front Nord : Bakhmut/Artemovsk
▶️Effort unités Wagner à proximité immédiate du centre administratif de la ville (Yevgeny Prigozhin)
▶️Kiev perd 10 à 11 000 soldats par mois dans ce secteur du front qui compte environ 50 000 combattants🇺🇦 (12 à 20 000 dans la ville) pic.twitter.com/D21dKHkA7g

— Jacques Frère (@JacquesFrre2) March 14, 2023

To translate:

Northern Front: Bakhmut/Artemovsk

Effort Wagner units in the immediate vicinity of the administrative center of the city (Yevgeny Prigozhin)

Kiev is losing 10 to 11,000 soldiers per month in this sector of the front which has around 50,000 fighters (12 to 20,000 in the city)

If Ukraine tries to stick this out they are goners by the time summer is here, I get trying to weaken the Wagner and Russian elite units but Russia has millions or men they can conscript, Ukraine does not. Standing up to Russia never works, you need to pick when and where the battles are.

Situation south of Bakhmut city:
Exclusive: #RussianArmy crossed Korsunskoho street and entered in the center of Samolet district heading to Industrial college (Reports about the capture of Chaikovskoho street by Russians are not true).
Map: [ https://t.co/NelE6Z3sK0 ] pic.twitter.com/tw8HwWxVA8

— @Suriyak (@Suriyakmaps) March 14, 2023

Quote:

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Russian media outlet Verstka confirms Russian military enlistment offices starting new mobilisation campaign for war in Ukraine. Eligible men will be summoned to enlistment offices to "update personal data" and will be offered to go to Ukraine voluntarily

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https://liveuamap.com/en/2023/14-march-russian-media-outlet-verstka-confirms-russian-military

Waffledynamics said:

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Quote:

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Russian media outlet Verstka confirms Russian military enlistment offices starting new mobilisation campaign for war in Ukraine. Eligible men will be summoned to enlistment offices to "update personal data" and will be offered to go to Ukraine voluntarily

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https://liveuamap.com/en/2023/14-march-russian-media-outlet-verstka-confirms-russian-military

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LOL. Russian men falling for that?

Be easier to create a Tinder profile of an attractive Russian woman setting up dates.

It was recently reported that a number of ancient BTR-50 APCs were delivered to Russian forces in #Ukraine- we obtained a photo of one of them.

This unit appears to be a BTR-50PU command&staff subvariant, adopted in 1958, however it is unclear for what role it will be used now. pic.twitter.com/kHkAKLSQQ3

— 🇺🇦 Ukraine Weapons Tracker (@UAWeapons) March 13, 2023

More museum pieces to the front

The maxim machine gun is widely used/sought in this conflict. The M2 is enormously common/popular in US/western military service. I think we've sent them a bunch of M113's that were originally fielded around 1961.

Old is not always bad in military weaponry.

Today's SITREP.

Latest Defence Intelligence update on the situation in Ukraine - 14 March 2023

Find out more about Defence Intelligence's use of language: https://t.co/Z5SI6SOzPY

🇺🇦 #StandWithUkraine 🇺🇦 pic.twitter.com/1vOoyWCYYD

— Ministry of Defence 🇬🇧 (@DefenceHQ) March 14, 2023

Longer one than usual today. Lots of information. Despite the front appearing stagnant, it is not inactive.

A few points:

• Western analysts estimate ~200,000 dead or wounded for the Russian side
• The offensive may have culminated in some places, such as in the Zaporizhzhia area.

A friend from Bakhmut shared this video. you can see them stopping an assault just north of Bakhmut.

If they had a thermal drone chances of stopping enemies and reacting in time would be much higher.

Thanks to @jabuttee for editing pic.twitter.com/Lf10pDnoTs

— ✙🍉 Constantine 🍉✙ (@Teoyaomiquu) March 15, 2023

Christ. They're real, lmao.

Russian secret weapon (MTLB with naval guns) were noticed in Melitopol https://t.co/4Hf3uhlY2f pic.twitter.com/XZDM2FvZUf

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) March 14, 2023