China Coronavirus Outbreak Spreads; Hundreds Infected As Human-To-Human Transmission

3,235,651 Views | 21764 Replies | Last: 2 mo ago by Stat Monitor Repairman
C@LAg
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Sine poena nulla lex.
lunchbox
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I'm assuming the CWS is included.
CDub06
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AG

I'd expect other system schools to do that to try to transition to online classes.
Barnyard96
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Mordred said:

Jet Black said:

barnyard1996 said:

Just drove through the retail spaces in Kingwood / Humble. They are all packed. Most people arent buying into this bullcrap.



Internet = mass hysteria and panic
Out in the world = business as usual as far as I can tell
You are really bad at "tell"ing, as this is not business as usual.

My guess is the Kingwood/Humble retail spaces aren't typically packed at 2PM on a Thursday. People are out buying up stuff because they're scared. I was at HEB around 1 and it was 3x worse than a normal Thursday around that time.

People are starting to stock up, or downright panic buying. Not anywhere near pre-Hurricane levels yet, but wouldn't surprise me if it gets there. Grocery stores are gonna be a nightmare this weekend.
People at Planet Fitness and Hobby Lobby because they are scared?
lunchbox
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C@LAg said:

lunchbox said:

NYC has officially declared a state of emergency.
we call that a Thursday
Closing MSG potentially for months sure makes it hard for the NBA to start the season back up
techno-ag
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CDub06 said:


I'd expect other system schools to do that to try to transition to online classes.
Blinn is doing that. 2 week spring break announced today on Twitter.
Trump will fix it.
TCTTS
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CDub06
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I'd expect other area schools to do that as well.

Now draw that venn diagram.
The Shank Ag
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TCTTS said:


My bank stock (my only substantial holding) ended up barely up a couple hundredths of a percent for the day. Nevermind the fact that it's lost a third of it's value since February 20th.

PJYoung
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HowdyTAMU said:

PJYoung said:

monarch said:

Watching Tucker Carlson now. Talking almost exactly what I said about the real origin of the Wuhan Coronavirus.


Watch joe.rogans podcast from yesterday who had the infectious disease specialist on who specialized in studying man made bio weapons for many years. 0% chance this was man made. 0.
Summary with a detail or two? How is it 0%?
3 minute video:


96ags
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lunchbox said:



I'm assuming the CWS is included.
In June.
GarlandAg2012
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Interesting article on the power of containment (travel restrictions) vs mitigation (social distancing)

https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-people-will-die-f4d3d9cd99ca
FriscoKid
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This is really interesting.
lunchbox
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It looks like they are shutting everything down. Not sure how you can have a CWS unless they seriously delay it.
Fat Black Swan
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If the numbers being thrown around for expected cases over the next two years are true and the 10-20% critical case percentage holds true, this thing is definitely going to stress the US healthcare system, but I think one thing to keep in mind when comparing Italy to the US is that Italy has an occupancy rate of 80% on 12.5 ICU beds per 100,000. The US has 65% occupancy on 35 ICU beds per 100,000. You factor in their population over 65 is 21% while ours is 16%, and we have an effective available capacity that is 6x Italy's.





And yet, you still have Bernie calling for socialized medicine. Those charts above are why the EU should be very concerned.
C@LAg
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jetescamilla
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lead said:

---New deaths over the last 8 days in chronological order (WHO numbers)----

China: 38, 31, 30, 28, 27, 23, 17, 22, 11. Total China deaths at 3173. China topped out at around 150 daily deaths.

Not China: 48, 53, 69, 78, 71, 202, 186, 258, 310. Total 1440.

US: 4, 3, 1, 1, 0, 0, 8, 6, 4. Total 29 (WHO numbers).

New Italy deaths: 28, 27, 41, 49, 37, 132, 97, 168. 196. Total 827.


note: I've been posting deaths like this daily since there is so much speculation and uncertainty surrounded the case count (e.g. testing availability). but today I noticed something interesting in China - new deaths is nearly the same as new cases. It's like the virus is nearly dead and now we're waiting on the people to die off.
[url]https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/situation-reports[/url]

I've been getting WHO data from their daily situation reports and creating my own "US plots". For the data geeks out there this is the best source I've found of documented iterative data to pull from. Interestingly, the numbers here are always lower than what I see online. For instance, yesterday the US was supposed to have surpassed 1000 infected, but the number reported was 696. I figured that maybe their a day late, but then today it is reported to be 987...still not over 1000.

I'm not certain if that is really meaningful but what may be more impactfull is the continued exponential growth of the numbers in their data. The slope of the US numbers is still growing (positive) and we have yet to hit the inflection point slowing down the rate of spread. Today we're sitting at about a 1.4 multiplier...meaning that I'd expect tomorrow to see about 1400 cases. If that rate continued (as it has for the past 3 days) on 3/19/20 my trend would show 10,000 cases.

With the cancellation of mass gathered events recently I'm curious to see how these numbers then play out from this point forward. I'm just an excel nerd and find this stuff really interesting...carry on.
Jet Black
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Mordred said:

Jet Black said:

barnyard1996 said:

Just drove through the retail spaces in Kingwood / Humble. They are all packed. Most people arent buying into this bullcrap.



Internet = mass hysteria and panic
Out in the world = business as usual as far as I can tell
You are really bad at "tell"ing, as this is not business as usual.

My guess is the Kingwood/Humble retail spaces aren't typically packed at 2PM on a Thursday. People are out buying up stuff because they're scared. I was at HEB around 1 and it was 3x worse than a normal Thursday around that time.

People are starting to stock up, or downright panic buying. Not anywhere near pre-Hurricane levels yet, but wouldn't surprise me if it gets there. Grocery stores are gonna be a nightmare this weekend.

Everybody stocking up at the gap, michael's and the nail salon?
tsuag10
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Don't worry everyone! Marianne Williamson knows how to save us!
riverrataggie
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The Shank Ag said:

TCTTS said:


My bank stock (my only substantial holding) ended up barely up a couple hundredths of a percent for the day. Nevermind the fact that it's lost a third of it's value since February 20th.




Congrats. You've done well.
C@LAg
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Jet Black
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barnyard1996 said:

Mordred said:

Jet Black said:

barnyard1996 said:

Just drove through the retail spaces in Kingwood / Humble. They are all packed. Most people arent buying into this bullcrap.



Internet = mass hysteria and panic
Out in the world = business as usual as far as I can tell
You are really bad at "tell"ing, as this is not business as usual.

My guess is the Kingwood/Humble retail spaces aren't typically packed at 2PM on a Thursday. People are out buying up stuff because they're scared. I was at HEB around 1 and it was 3x worse than a normal Thursday around that time.

People are starting to stock up, or downright panic buying. Not anywhere near pre-Hurricane levels yet, but wouldn't surprise me if it gets there. Grocery stores are gonna be a nightmare this weekend.
People at Planet Fitness and Hobby Lobby because they are scared?
I witnessed panic buying at best buy.
Funky Winkerbean
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And now my wife's office is being sent home because of concerns. The concern is simply liability to the company.
techno-ag
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Troutslime said:

And now my wife's office is being sent home because of concerns. The concern is simply liability to the company.
Ha. A&M is requiring faculty and staff to show up Monday while keeping students away. I imagine it's the same at a lot of schools.
Trump will fix it.
JobSecurity
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Last time your wife talks about personal stuff at work
aggiehawg
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For the first time, I am relieved my Mom has passed. Were she still alive, she would be freaking the hell out, between the stock market and the virus, she would have been in full meltdown, with or without her dementia.

I would also likely be hearing a million, "I told you so's" about the dangers of China and a second Great Depression looming.

<sign>
swimmerbabe11
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what does this mean for the #firechildress crew?
PJYoung
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Rapier108
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aggiehawg said:

For the first time, I am relieved my Mom has passed. Were she still alive, she would be freaking the hell out, between the stock market and the virus, she would have been in full meltdown, with or without her dementia.

I would also likely be hearing a million, "I told you so's" about the dangers of China and a second Great Depression looming.

<sign>
That would have been my grandmother if she was still alive.

I wish both my parents would show even a little concern for it. Not the hysteria I find so appalling, but enough concern to be prepared should there be any disruptions or even mandatory quarantines.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
Zobel
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GarlandAg2012 said:

Interesting article on the power of containment (travel restrictions) vs mitigation (social distancing)

https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-people-will-die-f4d3d9cd99ca
This needs to be spread everywhere.
tsuag10
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RTd by Bret Baier

So AOC is a COVID-19 expert now?? Smh
C@LAg
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deddog
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TCTTS said:


Why are her friends travelling? Why weren't they tested in their port of origin?
Why should the US test people with no symptoms?

People have lost their mind over testing, almost like it's some panacea.
It's not.

The last thing we need to do is burden the healthcare system with hypochondriacs and twitter followers who think we are all going to die.
TexasAggie_02
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Disneyland closed

https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/12/media/disneyland-close-coronavirus/index.html
IDAGG
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Norway is basically shutting down their country for a few weeks as is Denmark.

The Washington Governor just shut down all public and private K-12 schools in King, Pierce, Snohomish counties until April 24th.

https://www.seattletimes.com/education-lab/inslee-orders-all-private-public-k-12-schools-in-king-pierce-snohomish-counties-to-close-through-april-24/
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