Well some math genius has to be able to run the numbers based on "official Chinese numbers" and "leaked official numbers"

Give us a R0, forecast, growth model, time model, etc.

I am already working on risk assessment model, people, COME ON!

daggertx said:

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DSAg44 said:

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25k have died? Wtf?

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According to?

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It is a "leaked" number. No confirmation.

But I believe 25K have died more than only a few hundred. There have been other tweets out there from crematoriums stating that they are getting 8-10 trucks per day with 10 bodies each in them. That's 80-100 per day....up to 700 per week....per crematorium.

SoupNazi2001 said:

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Stock market back to within 1% of all time highs. Wall Street doesn't seemed to concerned here.

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Well that's because index funds are overbought.

lunchbox said:

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daggertx said:

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DSAg44 said:

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25k have died? Wtf?

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According to?

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It is a "leaked" number. No confirmation.

But I believe 25K have died more than only a few hundred. There have been other tweets out there from crematoriums stating that they are getting 8-10 trucks per day with 10 bodies each in them. That's 80-100 per day....up to 700 per week....per crematorium.

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Posted on another website:

Quote:

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Regarding the theory of China burning that many corpses:

Burning corpses releases SO2, witch you can track real time in the world.
The micro region where all the crematoriums are located in Wuhan has levels about 4x higher than the highest level in Pequim. Moving like a few blocks from that region you already have levels much lower. I wasn't able to find any spot in the whole map (of the world) higher levels than this small region with all the crematorium.

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Quote:

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Johns Hopkins doctor says new coronavirus is here to stay, expects 'seasonal' outbreaks

"Many people are going to get mild illness and it's going to be more like a flu-like illness for many people but for some it may be very severe," he said.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/02/04/johns-hopkins-dr-amesh-adalja-says-new-coronavirus-is-here-to-stay.html

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fooz said:

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Quote:

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Johns Hopkins doctor says new coronavirus is here to stay, expects 'seasonal' outbreaks

"Many people are going to get mild illness and it's going to be more like a flu-like illness for many people but for some it may be very severe," he said.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/02/04/johns-hopkins-dr-amesh-adalja-says-new-coronavirus-is-here-to-stay.html

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Well, a vaccine better be developed because you're going to have a TON of boomers die of this.

Captain Trips is befriending all age groups.

OldAg89er said:

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You think?

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I think you didn't answer the question

Why hasn't the CDC released any new information/statements?

lunchbox said:

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This keeps getting posted on Twitter and removed...is erudite around?

Someone on another forum says the numbers reflect this (but I have no way of confirming the translation or if the image is even factual):

Infected 154023
Serious 70808
Cured 269
Dead 24589

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I don't believe this... partialy because I don't think the Chinese are tracking the numbers this precisely if they are that high.

If the data was leaked by tencent i would trust its validity and accuracy for people aged 13-55

Scruffy said:

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Why hasn't the CDC released any new information/statements?

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Because its run by humans who run the gamut from dumb to smart just like every other company/government/organization.

Maybe they don't know anything yet or they fear a panic and would rather make sure their families have the supplies needed?

OnlyForNow said:

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What are they pumping out of those trucks to kill the virus?

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What if this sh** is being spread by mosquitos?

Boo Weekley said:

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OnlyForNow said:

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What are they pumping out of those trucks to kill the virus?

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What if this sh** is being spread by mosquitos?

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Then spring/summer is going to be interesting.

KorbinDallas said:

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fooz said:

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lunchbox said:

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This keeps getting posted on Twitter and removed...is erudite around?

Someone on another forum says the numbers reflect this (but I have no way of confirming the translation or if the image is even factual):

Infected 154023
Serious 70808
Cured 269
Dead 24589

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Mirrored in case tweet is removed.

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From my Mandarin speaking Aggie friend.

Says the true coronavirus stats were leaked by Tencent

154,023 confirmed cases in China

79,808 suspected cases

269 have recovered

24,589 have died

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230K sick
25K dead

That's more in line with the actions and videos coming from China

Boo Weekley said:

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OnlyForNow said:

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What are they pumping out of those trucks to kill the virus?

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What if this sh** is being spread by mosquitos?

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This thing is spreading like wildfire in the middle of winter...are you saying you think it will get worse when it warms up? Because the other day someone said the virus doesn't survive in warm, moist places.

Luckily heat and humidity are supposedly hazardous environments for viruses. That's why I always keep my computer on a heat plate with a misting fan next to it!

Zemira said:

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Boo Weekley said:

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OnlyForNow said:

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What are they pumping out of those trucks to kill the virus?

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What if this sh** is being spread by mosquitos?

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This thing is spreading like wildfire in the middle of winter...are you saying you think it will get worse when it warms up? Because the other day someone said the virus doesn't survive in warm, moist places.

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NO ONE KNOWS.

flakrat said:

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Luckily heat and humidity are supposedly hazardous environments for viruses. That's why I always keep my computer on a heat plate with a misting fan next to it!

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Zemira said:

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Boo Weekley said:

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OnlyForNow said:

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What are they pumping out of those trucks to kill the virus?

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What if this sh** is being spread by mosquitos?

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This thing is spreading like wildfire in the middle of winter...are you saying you think it will get worse when it warms up? Because the other day someone said the virus doesn't survive in warm, moist places.

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I am just saying...why are they pumping stuff from large trucks into the air? Doesn't seem like that would do sh** to combat the human to human element of this disease imo. There has to be something that we don't know about here. Doesn't seem to add up.

Disclaimer: I am a biological dumbass and this is way outside of my area of expertise...maybe there is a perfectly good explanation for a caravan of trucks to be riding around pumping stuff into the air?

From the updates link in his tweet -
People Under Investigation (PUI) in the United States*
As of 2/3/2020
People under Investigation (PUI) in the United States
Positive
11
Negative
167
Pending
82
Total
260
*Cumulative since January 21, 2020.
Numbers closed out at 7 p.m. the night before reporting.
Includes specimens received and awaiting testing, as well as specimens in route to CDC.
Number of states with PUI: 36

showed a Japanese national some of this thread earlier today. She could make out some of the Chinese text and was shocked by the material (videos). She just came back from visiting family in Japan and said the concern there is almost non existent. FWIW.

willjohnathan said:

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lunchbox said:

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This keeps getting posted on Twitter and removed...is erudite around?

Someone on another forum says the numbers reflect this (but I have no way of confirming the translation or if the image is even factual):

Infected 154023
Serious 70808
Cured 269
Dead 24589

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I don't believe this... partialy because I don't think the Chinese are tracking the numbers this precisely if they are that high.

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If those stats are true, then good news! You don't need to bother spending any more time obsessing on the TexAgs Politics board about relatively trivial things like Trump, libs, The Wall, taxes, AOC, the Ukraine, Russia, Aggie football, war in the Middle East, etc.

Cause the world is f***-ed if those numbers are legit. Those are Walking Dead apocalyptic type stats.

Of course, if those stats are true then you'll start to see our politicians mysteriously stop bickering about mundane things like Trump impeachment, Iowa caucus screw ups, etc. and instead disappear from Washington D.C., heading off to their bunkers and underground caves. So watch Trump and all his friends (and not so friends) over in D.C. closely. If they start talking from 'secure undisclosed locations' or disappear entirely off the airwaves then you know the end is coming.

If the left and the Democrats stop talking about Trump and impeachment, heaven help us.

They have TDS so bad that it would take a pandemic with a high death rate to even slow them down in their screeching.

The tell will come when China announces people can return to school/work. Spring orders are about to be made over the next few months and those factories have to be running before there's confidence to send in orders. If another extension is made in the Stay Home order, you'll know **** is bad.

Before they were saying this would look a percent off their GDP...factories stay idle and their entire sector is gonna be hosed.

Schools is self explanatory.

jpd301 said:

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From the updates link in his tweet -
People Under Investigation (PUI) in the United States*
As of 2/3/2020
People under Investigation (PUI) in the United States
Positive
11
Negative
167
Pending
82
Total
260
*Cumulative since January 21, 2020.
Numbers closed out at 7 p.m. the night before reporting.
Includes specimens received and awaiting testing, as well as specimens in route to CDC.
Number of states with PUI: 36

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Probably shouldn't count the negative in the total unless they had it and were cured.

So apparently the people dropping dead in the street might be real and that the virus can cause acute and immediate heart failure. Also, these people are not included in any death totals.

Can anyone confirm this?

Nuclear Scramjet said:

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So apparently the people dropping dead in the street might be real and that the virus can cause acute and immediate heart failure. Also, these people are not included in any death totals.

Can anyone confirm this?

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I saw this a few days ago, but didn't post it. Still not sure if it is legit.

NSFW... If you don't want to see a human being possibly dying, please don't watch the video at the link. The date on the camera is 2/1/2020, so with what you posted, it could be legit.

He is watching a laptop, and then all of a sudden has issues, falls over and starts convulsing.

https://www.street-certified.com/2020/02/security-guard-dies-from-coronavirus.html?m=1

will25u said:

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Nuclear Scramjet said:

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So apparently the people dropping dead in the street might be real and that the virus can cause acute and immediate heart failure. Also, these people are not included in any death totals.

Can anyone confirm this?

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I saw this a few days ago, but didn't post it. Still not sure if it is legit.

NSFW... If you don't want to see a human being possibly dying, please don't watch the video at the link. The date on the camera is 2/1/2020, so with what you posted, it could be legit.

He is watching a laptop, and then all of a sudden has issues, falls over and starts convulsing.

https://www.street-certified.com/2020/02/security-guard-dies-from-coronavirus.html?m=1

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Looks more like he's having a seizure. I don't think that's related to the dropping in the street thing.

Yeah, I don't have any experience with seizures, so I can't say. Just saw it a few days ago on Twitter, and it was attributed to Corona.

Nuclear Scramjet said:

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So apparently the people dropping dead in the street might be real and that the virus can cause acute and immediate heart failure. Also, these people are not included in any death totals.

Can anyone confirm this?

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The one guy moved his arm and wiped his nose. This looks like a protest or something.

Tinfoil hat engage!

Nuclear Scramjet said:

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Tinfoil hat engage!

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If not for nCov, this would be a Hillary question.

Maybe we do need a plague. This level of stupidity is truly mind-boggling. These Baizuo (the Chinese term for them is very apt) are asking to die.