China Coronavirus Outbreak Spreads; Hundreds Infected As Human-To-Human Transmission

3,246,008 Views | 21764 Replies | Last: 2 mo ago by Stat Monitor Repairman
VaultingChemist
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AG
Quote:

Still more tolerable than the hysteria on the virus thread where most are predicting 100% world wide infection, billions dead, and the worst parts of the Bible. I think some even want it to happen so they can go "SEE, SEE, SEE! I WAS RIGHT!!!!!"
fooz
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VaultingChemist said:

Quote:

Still more tolerable than the hysteria on the virus thread where most are predicting 100% world wide infection, billions dead, and the worst parts of the Bible. I think some even want it to happen so they can go "SEE, SEE, SEE! I WAS RIGHT!!!!!"

So triggered.
AgFan2015
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Zemira said:

Apparently our speculation on this thread has made us crazier than the Q thread. Apparently they think we want the whole world to get sick. No.

What I want is to know what's going on and the likely hood of this sickness spreading. Unfortunately more than half the thread is speculation about what is really happening in China where this started, because they Chinese have never been honest with anyone outside of China.


Look them in the eye and tell them..."it's the economy stupid"
JobSecurity
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BlueMiles
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I, too, would like to be educated about what is going on.

From what I have seen and read, hygiene in the US is better than it is in China. We typically use soap and at least have the ability to wash our hands regularly. We are not as comfortable having people in our "personal space" as the Chinese are, and our health departments are more restrictive about food preparation.

We have many ways to communicate that are not censored by the government. (I'm not talking about moderation done by twitter, etc.)

We don't yet have to rely on socialized medicine.

For all of these, I'm thankful, but still cautious.
claym711
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Scramjet is absolutely sensationalizing everything. Not helpful.
JobSecurity
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FamousAgg
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WHO is making a press conference regarding declaring a global health emergency or not.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/01/30/watch-who-officials-announce-whether-coronavirus-is-a-global-health-emergency.html
lunchbox
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KorbinDallas said:

WHO is making a press conference regarding declaring a global health emergency or not.
https://www.pscp.tv/WHO/1eaJbQbjNQXGX
JobSecurity
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VaultingChemist
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foleyt said:


This should have been declared on Monday.
Zemira
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The UN (WHO) is a joke. I wish Trump would leave the UN and kick then out of NYC. I bet somewhere in Europe would love to host those asshats. Maybe Brussels has some space with the UK leaving the EU.
Beat40
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Zemira said:

Apparently our speculation on this thread has made us crazier than the Q thread. Apparently they think we want the whole world to get sick. No.

What I want is to know what's going on and the likely hood of this sickness spreading. Unfortunately more than half the thread is speculation about what is really happening in China where this started, because they Chinese have never been honest with anyone outside of China.


I am with you. I want to know what is going on too, which is why I am following this thread.

I'm just saying we keep rehashing that we can't trust the Chinese numbers, and then some people throw out a WAG about that it really is.

All I'm saying is I'm cautions about the information on both sides - what's coming out of China as far as their government and reporters. I lean way more toward the reporters but the way.

Overall, my focus is shifting to the Western states as were reaching points where stuff should start showing from all of the initial reports a week and half or two weeks ago.
FamousAgg
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Wow The WHO is really kissing China's ass... wow.
fooz
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Zemira
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foleyt said:


Hahahaha releasing bogus numbers and underreporting information is the new standard for epidemic response.
Nuclear Scramjet
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claym711 said:

Scramjet is absolutely sensationalizing everything. Not helpful.


Not anymore than anyone else in this thread. I'm just posting things I find that others haven't seen.

Also, I don't see how saying we shouldn't believe the Chinese is sensationalism. It's an absolute fact.
Nuclear Scramjet
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I see China must have written this part of the announcement.
FTAG 2000
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Really hoping the CDC uses the WHO announcement as cover to ban all international flights from China or those who have been there from coming home.

Probably shouldn't get my hopes up though.
Agnzona
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Pinche Abogado said:

wessimo said:

Australia is quarantining returning travelers on an island for two weeks. The US needs to start doing that.

Isn't Australia an Island and isn't that how Australia got started?
scottimus
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claym711 said:

Scramjet is absolutely sensationalizing everything. Not helpful.
Don't worry Scramjet, I had an old man yell at me too in the aggieland thread about "Wanting this to happen"

Tell'em to shove it.
Suppose I was an idiot. Suppose I was a member of congress. But, I repeat myself.
scottimus
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Talked to my expert again about some of the discussions here.

Internet rumors/speculation is this virus came from the Level 4 Biolab in Wuhan. A doctor there published a paper identifying traits associated with Asians at much higher risk due to ACE2 cells that this virus targets. Terrific story, I know.

Quote:


lmao
The rumors are ridiculous


What do you think about this tweet?

Quote:

Mariet is an actual scientist

She is just retweeting numbers she has gotten from other people

The numbers aren't terrible probably off a bit, but not as bad as those people say the R0 is above 3

Incubation is shorter though more like 3 days

The R0 may end up below 2, but the way things have been handled in China so far, it will be slightly higher for a while
Quote:

They messed up and didn't allow the US CDC in

Now the US CDC is going in with the WHO

Should start to improve

Case numbers are too high to have enough supplies, personnel, facilities for now, but that problem is only in China

The source is >90% likelihood bats, based on the fact that the genome sequence fits, the organism fits, bats have similar sequences in their viruses, Wuhan is a major market for bats (it is a popular soup there) and the bats were abundant in the market

The rest of the stuff is just bs

The BL4 wasn't even active

China doesn't use most of the facilities they have they haven't had the expertise


Humor me and let's say this is engineered. Are scientist, such as yourself, able to identify the engineered RNA genomes easily?...the story was the scientist took Corona from bats and added the ACE2 aspect.


Quote:

Haha absolutely impossible you don't understand this virus is difficult to work with it is not possible

The technology doesn't exist

I told you, Julian works on these he has for like 40 years still couldn't do this

People saying this stuff just don't understand how this stuff works

I already told you, we know where this came from we have facts, no fiction

We aren't guessing

It is proven beyond a shadow of a doubt that it was a single animal-human transfer

That is 99.9% certain

70% certain is enough for a court of law

Sorry scientists don't normally work in absolutes, but this is just silly




Oh I certainly don't know the tech. What about CRISPR editing? Any possibility there?

Quote:


Haha come on

This stuff is very complicated and is exactly what I do

The answer is that it is not possible I know all of the technologies, everything


Slightly different question. Let's say it hits here, Houston. How would you treat pneumonia at home without medical professionals?

Quote:

It is treated pretty much the same as flu

In most cases, they need major antivirals and respiratory support

Can't do that at home

The patient would likely die

I saw the clinical strategy today, let me see if I can find it




Sent me a pdf he just got from WHO. https://www.who.int/publications-detail/clinical-management-of-severe-acute-respiratory-infection-when-novel-coronavirus-(ncov)-infection-is-suspected
Suppose I was an idiot. Suppose I was a member of congress. But, I repeat myself.
claym711
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He lost most credibility when he laughed at the possibility of anyone engineering a virus. Already been done, and long ago.
Grammar Pedant
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Nuclear Scramjet said:

I've seen rumors that the "hospital" is a glorified crematorium and that whomever gets sent there won't come out.
Nope, it's "whoever" in this case. Good effort, though.
scottimus
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He did say..."This virus is difficult to work with"
Suppose I was an idiot. Suppose I was a member of congress. But, I repeat myself.
wessimo
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With the WHO declaration and continued unabated spread of this I can't believe the lack of market reaction.
Nuclear Scramjet
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claym711 said:

He lost most credibility when he laughed at the possibility of anyone engineering a virus. Already been done, and long ago.


Unless he is saying this virus is difficult to work with then perhaps, but we know both sides in the Cold War were doing this.
aggietony2010
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The company I work for just implemented a temporary ban on travel to China, and is telling all employees who have returned from travel there to work from home for 14 days after their return to the US.
BowSowy
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claym711 said:

He lost most credibility when he laughed at the possibility of anyone engineering a virus. Already been done, and long ago.
I think he was laughing at the possibility of engineering this virus, no? I have no idea how hard or easy it is to engineer this virus
Agvet12
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BowSowy said:

claym711 said:

He lost most credibility when he laughed at the possibility of anyone engineering a virus. Already been done, and long ago.
I think he was laughing at the possibility of engineering this virus, no? I have no idea how hard or easy it is to engineer this virus


Hasn't the US already published studies of bat coronaviruses? As early as 2015 or before?
samurai_science
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aggietony2010 said:

The company I work for just implemented a temporary ban on travel to China, and is telling all employees who have returned from travel there to work from home for 14 days after their return to the US.
Mine did yesterday.
fourth deck
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daggertx said:

aggietony2010 said:

The company I work for just implemented a temporary ban on travel to China, and is telling all employees who have returned from travel there to work from home for 14 days after their return to the US.
Mine did yesterday.
Mine did as well. Must have gotten some directive from CDC.
Nuclear Scramjet
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fourth deck said:

daggertx said:

aggietony2010 said:

The company I work for just implemented a temporary ban on travel to China, and is telling all employees who have returned from travel there to work from home for 14 days after their return to the US.
Mine did yesterday.
Mine did as well. Must have gotten some directive from CDC.




They did, the CDC is telling all companies to pull their employees out.
JobSecurity
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Signel
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BlueMiles said:

From what I have seen and read, hygiene in the US is better than it is in China. We typically use soap and at least have the ability to wash our hands regularly.
No... there are plenty of dirty ass Americans that don't wash their hands. Have you ever watched folks leaving a public bathroom?? I sometimes wonder if they even bother to wipe their ass half the time.
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