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25,686,116 Views | 234924 Replies | Last: 1 min ago by ProgN
Gaeilge
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Heineken-Ashi said:

NEM is a buy between $44 and $46 if you don't yet have a position. Target $65
IF NEM goes green by EOD, I think there is a ahort squeeze rally in the near future for it.
Heineken-Ashi
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BLNK, I'm lowering my net free target to $2.35-$2.40 range from $2.50. Could also take all profits there and add back on a retrace, but no guarantee you will get under $2.00 again for an entry.
Heineken-Ashi
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Gaeilge said:

Heineken-Ashi said:

NEM is a buy between $44 and $46 if you don't yet have a position. Target $65
IF NEM goes green by EOD, I think there is a ahort squeeze rally in the near future for it.
Maybe. Could also come down further over the coming weeks to $40 range.
Gaeilge
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Heineken-Ashi said:

Gaeilge said:

Heineken-Ashi said:

NEM is a buy between $44 and $46 if you don't yet have a position. Target $65
IF NEM goes green by EOD, I think there is a ahort squeeze rally in the near future for it.
Maybe. Could also come down further over the coming weeks to $40 range.
It rejected the 5 SMA at ~$48.9 on the hourly, which was to be expected. If it can reclaim $50 after clearing the 5SMA, I thing the selling exhaustion will take hold
Heineken-Ashi
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Another way to hedge a position in TSLA is TSLZ, 2x inverse ETF. Used for short term only and very defined stops. I'll be buying back my put if momentum cant accelerate again and likely buying a small position in TSLZ with stop at $7 targeting $10.
EnronAg
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AG
Brian Earl Spilner said:

Not saying it was a smart move, but I have the vast majority of my Roth (69%) in SOXL at the moment.

Only up 3.5% on it overall, but the daily gain looks pretty nice.

First profit will be taken at $37.
curious to know your purchase date and what you see in the charts that has you that long a triple leveraged ETF...full disclosure, I'm actually short naked calls on SOXL and use deep OTM short calls on SOXL and TQQQ to nickel and dime premium and hedge my long exposure to those segments...and have done very well thus far...but am scared we see a rip into end of year and put me in a decision to dump calls at a loss and pinch off my last pieces of long exposure to tech/semis...thus capping my gains and not participating in a rip roaring end of year for these segments...
Brian Earl Spilner
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AG
All my purchases were in these last two weeks, and my highest target currently is $41 and my lowest is $37, which will hopefully trigger today.

I'm not sure what context you're using "long", but I'm certainly not gonna stay at this level of exposure for long. This was a risky bet on all of tech/AI bouncing back up with earnings and into election week.

I'm bullish in the short term, but more bearish in the long term.
CC09LawAg
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$30.50 is looking like good support.
EnronAg
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AG
Brian Earl Spilner said:

All my purchases were in these last two weeks, and my highest target currently is $41 and my lowest is $37, which will hopefully trigger today.

I'm not sure what context you're using "long", but I'm certainly not gonna stay at this level of exposure for long. This was a risky bet on all of tech/AI bouncing back up with earnings and into election week.

I'm bullish in the short term, but more bearish in the long term.
long meaning you said you had the large majority of your Roth in a 3x long ETF...so long/bullish in that sense...but yes, your explanation answers my question...thanks!!!

EDIT - and I share your view in your final sentence...
Gaeilge
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Gaeilge said:

Heineken-Ashi said:

Gaeilge said:

Heineken-Ashi said:

NEM is a buy between $44 and $46 if you don't yet have a position. Target $65
IF NEM goes green by EOD, I think there is a ahort squeeze rally in the near future for it.
Maybe. Could also come down further over the coming weeks to $40 range.
It rejected the 5 SMA at ~$48.9 on the hourly, which was to be expected. If it can reclaim $50 after clearing the 5SMA, I thing the selling exhaustion will take hold
What do we have here? Sizable purchases for an equity that typically has very very low options movement.
Heineken-Ashi
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BLDE - She's been ugly. I can fashion a lot of interpretations. Nothing is high confidence due to the extreme overlapping. But here's the base case I'm rolling with.

IF IF IF you see this kind of retracement into earnings, the setup is there for a rocket to $5 range off of earnings. This setup is a diagonal, so I wouldn't expect it to stick and hold.

Again, this is not high confidence. But like I've said many times, nothing has broken on this play and there is plenty of time left. The Nov $5 calls are running out of time. If earnings doesn't do it, these will be a max loss most likely. Dec's have a little more time, but without an earnings push, it would need some industry news, election oomph, or something unforeseen to catapult it in the right direction.

I have over 100 $5 calls spread between 3 accounts for Nov, Dec, and Feb expirations. So don't worry that I'm not feeling the same pressure. That said, my sooner dated ones have been averaged down immensely. I only need the contract price to get above 15 cents in Nov to B/E. And above 30 cents in Feb. I also have shares in 3 accounts.

Heineken-Ashi
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The setup is there for a big volatility event. As long as the red line holds, a breakout over the green line is BAD BAD BAD news for equities. This chart shows a very standard (both price and time) bullish structure. Volatility is rarely standard though, so don't apply any trades based on the way I have it outlined. It's merely a potential blueprint should volatility breakout.

Heineken-Ashi
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Remember, volatility doesn't have to keep going up if SPX engages a longer downtrend like we saw in 2022. You will get an initial spike, but as the volatility contracts roll each one will fail to keep up with the last and it will generally trend back down, even as SPX makes new lows. That's the difference between a sustained bear market vs a 2020 type of crash, where volatility goes parabolic.

BucketofBalls99
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Anyone, by chance, have the companies that will be announcing earnings next week?
EliteZags
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AG
nothing major

BucketofBalls99
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Thanks!

Yeah I don't see much to look atโ€ฆโ€ฆ.lol
EnronAg
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AG
looking at that list, one name pops out to me...only for the insanity of their situation...can anybody come up with a company that has had an insane roller coaster ride of stock performance like Carvana has?!?! that has to be THE most insane 5 year stock charts of all time!!!
Brian Earl Spilner
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AG
SMCI is on 10/30.
El_duderino
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Where'd you see that? I see nothing on their investor relations page and everywhere I look is just an estimated date with most saying 11/6
Brian Earl Spilner
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AG
TOS and Yahoo finance.
Brian Earl Spilner
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AG
Although this article I just read says Nov 4.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/invested-10-000-super-micro-150154941.html
Heineken-Ashi
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Today potentially completed the first part of a beautiful bearish setup. The resistance fibs and the standard path I would want to see to confirm it for a trade is shown. Above the green box and the setup gets weak. Below the red and it will be off to the races. This has the potentail to be a 3-5x type of play using puts.

I'll come back Sunday and lay it out with greater context.



A coonass walks into Costco in College Station and says I would like to buy that T.V. please. The store clerk replies "I'm sorry, we don't do business with LSU fans." Infuriated, the corndogger stormed off back to their hotel and changed into a maroon shirt. He went back to the same store and said I would like to buy that T.V. please. The store clerk, once again, replies "Sorry, we dont do business with LSU fans." The Dumbalaya replied "How did you know I was an LSU fan?" The clerk says "Because thats a deep fryer, not a T.V."

And that's exactly what we're gonna do to em Aggies!



Brian Earl Spilner
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AG
Good weekend for the Ags!
bhanacik
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AG
Yeah I was not expecting that type of game; glad to see the team and the 12th man really show up

It's all in front of us, just keep winning!
HoustonAg2014
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AG
bhanacik said:

Yeah I was not expecting that type of game; glad to see the team and the 12th man really show up

It's all in front of us, just keep winning!


I'm a huge fan of a coach going away from what isn't working and trying something new when your back is against the wall. Reed showed up. We kept saying when we were down 10 that the stadium felt dead but 1 turnover could change the game and it did in a big way. LSU knew they were ****ed when it was a 3 point game and our fans woke upโ€ฆ didn't expect the final score however. That's big time.
Brian Earl Spilner
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AG
Coach set a stop loss and stuck to it.
El_duderino
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Can't get complacent with the next 3 games before the final game
Quacked
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Rushing total says it all.

24 yards vs 244.

O rush yards allowed in the second half. Elkos second half adjustments continue to be elite.
HoustonAg2014
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AG
Quacked said:

Rushing total says it all.

24 yards vs 244.

O rush yards allowed in the second half. Elkos second half adjustments continue to be elite.


He has always had that with his teams. If they could make that first series stop then his teams would be elite. I don't like going down early in games, but he is built so different man. He makes those adjustments and the other teams can't adapt. Huge game next week.

They are all huge but SC on the road is not going to be easy.
El_duderino
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I'm buying CROX tomorrow before they report earnings Tuesday. Fantastic fundamentals, trading super cheap right now, great growth in Asia market, and the only drawback is the hey dude acquisition that they're paying down quickly. For sure shares, and maybe a call.
Chef Elko
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AG
I bought some DVN after hours on Friday. I wonder what the crude strip is going to look like tomorrow
Heineken-Ashi
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Brian Earl Spilner said:

Coach set a stop loss and stuck to it.
And then he rode the trend and kept with what was working. easy way to max your profits.
Dan Scott
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AG
Crude down 5% at the open. I guess the Iran/Israel war premium is gone.
Chef Elko
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AG
Just got the notification. I guess I'll baghold lol
ProgN
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DISCLAIMER: I loathe the word he repeatedly uses but it's funny and NSFW.

He's a rabid LSU fan that basically does his own "Manning Cast" for LSU games. This video was when Reed came into our game midway through the 3rd qtr.

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