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25,695,380 Views | 234932 Replies | Last: 6 hrs ago by FobTies
Heineken-Ashi
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I'm selling a TSLA $200 put for January. $13.30 of premium.
El_duderino
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I'm guessing if it tanks on earnings you have theta and time for it to recover on your side correct?
Heineken-Ashi
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El_duderino said:

I'm guessing if it tanks on earnings you have theta and time for it to recover on your side correct?
Precisely. And if I get assigned, then I get assigned. Also, selling volatility on the day of the quarter that volatility is highest. Meaning even if the stock is $10 lower in a week, the premium might actually be lower too.
Chef Elko
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AG
I wonder what happens to TSLA stock price if Harris is elected. No idea what the implied move is this far out
El_duderino
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+-30 after Election Day and +-47 after inauguration
Gaeilge
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Considering part of her platform is 2/3 EVs by 2035 or some stupid date like that, I'd think pormising assuming they don't try to put Musk in jail for some stupid BS.
Chef Elko
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AG
Yeah, their EV policy would for sure help, but I'm not even sure EVs are about saving the environment. I believe its about power and they want to shift power away from places like the Middle East, Russia and other developing nations with vast oil and gas reserves. I'm sure they would find something to knock Elon down a peg or two since he's a threat to their power.
Brian Earl Spilner
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AG
Buy the dip?
Gaeilge
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Long oil and MCD
EnronAg
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AG
I would be disappointed in you if you didn't
CC09LawAg
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Are we still keeping an eye on Kohl's (KSS)?

If it finds support at $18 that seems like a pretty good buy opportunity.
El_duderino
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Got a nice 10% profit off SPY with getting in down at the bottom. Likely run more, but I'm not risking it across TSLA earnings.
Brian Earl Spilner
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AG
Bought:
TQQQ (target $77)
TNA (target $47)
Added SOXL (targets $37, 38, 40)
Added SMCI (targets $49, 52)
El_duderino
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Would not be shocked to see TSLA jump up with earnings as it's rounding up off the bottom on the daily
El_duderino
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El_duderino said:

Would not be shocked to see TSLA jump up with earnings as it's rounding up off the bottom on the daily


Looks like that's the case. Up 4.5% as of now
valvemonkey91
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AG
TSLA earnings of .72 against an expected .60 from Wall St.

Currently up $20 or 9.7% after hours. (3:30pm)

Guidance for "new vehicles" as well as the "more affordable " model already mentioned.

EliteZags
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AG
greening the entire market
El_duderino
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Pretty sure there were some on here with a position in BROS. Earnings 11/6 and seems to be picking up traction
Heineken-Ashi
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Just to show why I'm continually bullish on TSLA, yet uneasy on the day to day and month to month, here's my longer term chart. Nothing off the 2023 low and the May 2024 low has been what I would label as impulsive or standard. You pretty much have overlapping moves at every turn, yet it keeps putting in higher lows. I have this labeled as a very long timeframe ending diagonal. ED's happen when the previous move, in this case 2020-2021 went "too hard too fast". And TSLA certainly went hard those years. ED's are what happens when sentiment is running out of steam, yet not yet exhausted. So you get bullish hope followed by bearish retracements, all slowly melting up to a final end point. And when you think of what sentiment is, you can almost just use the word "Tesla" when trying to define it. You have apple-like LOVERS.. fanboys really. You have absolute haters and shorts trying to constantly crush it. You have political implications with ELON flipping from a dem favorite to conservative hero. Every corner of sentiment is represented and the daily volume proves it. So you are getting whiplashed constantly. That's why as long as the supports hold and it keeps getting higher lows, I stay generally bullish and follow this chart, even when I can't make a lick of sense of the smaller degree moves. I think the chart is pretty self-explanatory as far as support and resistance areas, but let me know if not.

Chef Elko
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AG
Sold a few CCs on my part of my SOFI position. My goodness
El_duderino
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Won't take much for a big squeeze on SMCI
jbeck3487
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AG
GOOGL daily chart has a potential inverse H&S pattern. 169 area is confirmation.
Heineken-Ashi
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Reposting the SOFI chart as its tracking well

Brian Earl Spilner
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AG
Kinda feels like the whole market is on the edge of a knife. I feel like we get a big move up or down the rest of the week.
Brewmaster
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AG
bought TSLA shares yesterday at 214

feel free to call me "AAPL like fan boy", lol. Hope all of you are well, been too busy with work, but I noticed TSLA sell off going into earnings, that's a buy signal for me.

if Harris is installed, Musk could eventually end up in prison (and he knows that). If Trump is elected, you will see TSLA become all the tech behind what will feel like the Jetsons to most of us. It is amazing the tech they are creating, robotics is just the beginning.
El_duderino
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I think the energy sector (30% margins) of TSLA is what will be a big driver, definitely not the auto part unless they introduce a cheap model. I don't want a T800 anywhere near me.
EnronAg
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AG
Brian Earl Spilner said:

Kinda feels like the whole market is on the edge of a knife. I feel like we get a big move up or down the rest of the week.
I still think there is one more rip to the upside...off the back of megacap earnings...this market wants SPX6K...and I just think there is no way we don't get it...before the rug pull
Heineken-Ashi
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EnronAg said:

Brian Earl Spilner said:

Kinda feels like the whole market is on the edge of a knife. I feel like we get a big move up or down the rest of the week.
I still think there is one more rip to the upside...off the back of megacap earnings...this market wants SPX6K...and I just think there is no way we don't get it...before the rug pull
My base case is expecting a flash mini crash around election and then a blowoff top Christmas rally through late January at the latest. Low confidence on that though. IWM is looking ugly and DJI is in early bearish territory.
Talon2DSO
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AG
Brewmaster said:

bought TSLA shares yesterday at 214

feel free to call me "AAPL like fan boy", lol. Hope all of you are well, been too busy with work, but I noticed TSLA sell off going into earnings, that's a buy signal for me.

if Harris is installed, Musk could eventually end up in prison (and he knows that). If Trump is elected, you will see TSLA become all the tech behind what will feel like the Jetsons to most of us. It is amazing the tech they are creating, robotics is just the beginning.


Why would he end up in prison?
AgShaun00
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AG
Talon2DSO said:

Brewmaster said:

bought TSLA shares yesterday at 214

feel free to call me "AAPL like fan boy", lol. Hope all of you are well, been too busy with work, but I noticed TSLA sell off going into earnings, that's a buy signal for me.

if Harris is installed, Musk could eventually end up in prison (and he knows that). If Trump is elected, you will see TSLA become all the tech behind what will feel like the Jetsons to most of us. It is amazing the tech they are creating, robotics is just the beginning.


Why would he end up in prison?
that what happens in communist countries when you speak out against the fair and equally elected leader
Quacked
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He probably wont end up imprisoned, but he is going all in on the republicans, to say the least.
EnronAg
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AG
they will try like hell to crush every one of his portfolio of companies...it will be hard to be a TSLA shareholder if Komrad Kamala is installed...
Enzomatic
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Talon2DSO said:

Brewmaster said:

bought TSLA shares yesterday at 214

feel free to call me "AAPL like fan boy", lol. Hope all of you are well, been too busy with work, but I noticed TSLA sell off going into earnings, that's a buy signal for me.

if Harris is installed, Musk could eventually end up in prison (and he knows that). If Trump is elected, you will see TSLA become all the tech behind what will feel like the Jetsons to most of us. It is amazing the tech they are creating, robotics is just the beginning.


Why would he end up in prison?

If those in power can't control the flow of information to the public, then the reason for that obstacle will be removed. Simple but timeless political strategy.
Diggity
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AG
oh good. F16 is upon us
El_duderino
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Really want to see POWL down below $230 before entering. Top end target would be around $330 and low just at $300. Not enough reward (25-32% ROI) entering here at the $250 level that's acting as support for now

Ideally we get the pullback like HA mentioned and before next earnings before a blowoff top
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