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Logos Stick
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In reply to Heineken-Ashi • 10:10a, 9/7/24
What do you think of the sale. You think it goes through?

I read Shapiro was working to try to push it through as it does not sound good for the company if it doesn't.
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EnronAg
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In reply to Heineken-Ashi • 10:15a, 9/7/24
AG
yeah, CLF has been dog****...one of my worst positions that I've held onto hoping for a LUMN style hail mary...Lourenco sounds like a magician name, and he really needs to pull a rabbit outta his hat...Farmer Jim on CNBC still pumping it...only bigger bull on the street is your boy, Tom Lee

Real quick question to move around my end of year positioning...what are your thoughts on SPY top? Love what you have said about IWM/small caps...but just curious on what your thoughts on SPX's outlook over the next 2-4 months...I have opinions (fundamentally and politically), but love your technical thesis on the broader market
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Heineken-Ashi
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In reply to Logos Stick • 10:21a, 9/7/24
Logos Stick said:
What do you think of the sale. You think it goes through?

I read Shapiro was working to try to push it through as it does not sound good for the company if it doesn't.
I was a longtime CLF stockholder and have a friend who works there. I wanted it for CLF, if not for the company itself, then for purely national strategic implications. I've heard Nippon will have a purely US member board upon ownership, but I still hate seeing the profits of our steel industry ultimately ending up in another country.

I do think the sale goes through, as of right now. But I honestly haven't done a deep enough dive to say for sure. If the sale fails, I still like the upside in the stock as other bidders come back. Maybe it does ultimately sell to CLF. Who knows.

But the headwinds facing steel are legitimate. From a very high level view, what's happening in China real estate will surpass what happened to Spain. They own 54% of world steel production, over 10x what the US does. And steel prices have collapsed. They are flooding the world market and will continue to. US companies can be healthy and still be in trouble, because supply is expected to be far greater than demand for some time. Couple that with an expected pullback in US construction across all sectors, and steel can be bearish for years.

But X stock is undervalued currently even in that scenario after this week's selloff. The X play is purely from loving the R/R on that one last move up. Defined stop. Defined target.
"H-A: In return for the flattery, can you reduce the size of your signature? It's the only part of your posts that don't add value. In its' place, just put "I'm an investing savant, and make no apologies for it", as oldarmy1 would do."
- I Bleed Maroon (distracted easily by signatures)
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Heineken-Ashi
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In reply to EnronAg • 10:25a, 9/7/24
EnronAg said:
yeah, CLF has been dog****...one of my worst positions that I've held onto hoping for a LUMN style hail mary...Lourenco sounds like a magician name, and he really needs to pull a rabbit outta his hat...Farmer Jim on CNBC still pumping it...only bigger bull on the street is your boy, Tom Lee

Real quick question to move around my end of year positioning...what are your thoughts on SPY top? Love what you have said about IWM/small caps...but just curious on what your thoughts on SPX's outlook over the next 2-4 months...I have opinions (fundamentally and politically), but love your technical thesis on the broader market
This coming week is huge, and the following week might be even more important. I'm torn right now between top is in, and blowoff top following the first rate cut. Either way, I fully expect next year to be extremely painful in the stock market unless the selloff happens this year. In that case, next year might be a relief bounce. I've had this election season as a major pivot point on my charts for YEARS. And it's shaping up to be just that. It honestly kind of scares me, as it's always just been something on the horizon. But as we get closer and closer, the implications of what might happen get more and more real. I don't think people have any clue just how bad it could get in our economy. Even if we have a deep selloff and then recover through 2028, the can just can't be kicked much longer.
"H-A: In return for the flattery, can you reduce the size of your signature? It's the only part of your posts that don't add value. In its' place, just put "I'm an investing savant, and make no apologies for it", as oldarmy1 would do."
- I Bleed Maroon (distracted easily by signatures)
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Spoony Love
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In reply to Heineken-Ashi • 1:35p, 9/7/24
AG
Thanks for the reply and it makes sense. It's not an opportunity without risk but the upside reward seems good enough.
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giddings_ag_06
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4:08p, 9/8/24
AG
I feel like MARA is in the buy zone now. Took a beating lately and are due for a bounce. Hoping Bitcoin can get back to the $70's and MARA can climb into the $20's.
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El_duderino
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7:45p, 9/8/24
Big GS tech conference this week. Also chatter of Intel being removed from the DOW and NVDA as a possible replacement. Lots of volume on the 9/13 $110 call.
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cryption
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In reply to giddings_ag_06 • 8:15p, 9/8/24
I caught one of the network nightly news this evening and they did a story on the marathon datacenter in Granbury impacting people's health.
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Red Pear Jack
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In reply to cryption • 10:24p, 9/8/24
Sponsor
How's that possible?
Sponsor Message: We Split Commissions. Full Service Agents in Austin, Bryan-College Station, Dallas-Fort Worth, Houston and San Antonio. Red Pear Realty
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South Platte
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In reply to cryption • 10:25p, 9/8/24
cryption said:
I caught one of the network nightly news this evening and they did a story on the marathon datacenter in Granbury impacting people's health.


Interesting article. https://texasscorecard.com/local/hood-county-residents-are-sick-of-bitcoin-mining-noise/

I guess they need to build these underground.
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cryption
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In reply to Red Pear Jack • 5:03a, 9/9/24
I live right behind a datacenter in Houston. I won't say the sound makes me physically sick but it's damn annoying. If I had a datacenter out in the country by my place I'd probably lose my mind.
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Swollen Thumb
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In reply to South Platte • 7:17a, 9/9/24
AG
I saw a feature a while back about the noise pollution from these places. Sounds like a 1000 drones hovering endlessly.
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cryption
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In reply to Swollen Thumb • 7:32a, 9/9/24
The one behind us is really bad when they kick on the generators. There's a couple dozen large diesel gens - and the fumes are pretty intense as well as the noise. It was not fun during any of the power outages we've had.
The normal day to day is pretty noisy from all the AC units but we've gotten used to that over the years. It was a pretty nice area before they built it.
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Brewmaster
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In reply to giddings_ag_06 • 8:02a, 9/9/24
AG
giddings_ag_06 said:
I feel like MARA is in the buy zone now. Took a beating lately and are due for a bounce. Hoping Bitcoin can get back to the $70's and MARA can climb into the $20's.

FWIW, and this guy's a very good trader from what I've seen.



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E
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8:27a, 9/9/24
AG
Alright fellas, SLV to have a bounce back week!

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Heineken-Ashi
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In reply to E • 8:53a, 9/9/24
E said:
Alright fellas, SLV to have a bounce back week!

Action off the low isn't getting me excited. Might buy some protective puts ATM
"H-A: In return for the flattery, can you reduce the size of your signature? It's the only part of your posts that don't add value. In its' place, just put "I'm an investing savant, and make no apologies for it", as oldarmy1 would do."
- I Bleed Maroon (distracted easily by signatures)
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cryption
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In reply to Heineken-Ashi • 8:57a, 9/9/24
Good idea I picked up some puts as a hedge myself
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Twisted Helix
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9:16a, 9/9/24
I always set my stops too tight. I've got to get better at that.
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Brian Earl Spilner
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9:17a, 9/9/24
AG
Ugh. That SMCI stop bit me in the ass, just as I feared.
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Chef Elko
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In reply to Brewmaster • 9:18a, 9/9/24
AG
Brewmaster said:
giddings_ag_06 said:
I feel like MARA is in the buy zone now. Took a beating lately and are due for a bounce. Hoping Bitcoin can get back to the $70's and MARA can climb into the $20's.

FWIW, and this guy's a very good trader from what I've seen.



In terms of the devaluation of the USD, can someone explain the benefits or cite an article comparing investing in metals and bitcoin versus just US equities?

I understand benefits to holding metals/bitcoin over cash. Does a high fed funds rate change this at all? If you want to invest and not just hold cash/metals/bitcoin, shouldn't equities just track higher and match inflation since they are US equities denominated in USD? Or will the devaluation of the dollar have a greater negative effect on equity pricing due to more expensive imports US businesses need and potential of foreign investors turning to other markets?
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Ags2013
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9:25a, 9/9/24
AG
PLTR above that $33.50 mark someone posted about a couple weeks back
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Chef Elko
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10:02a, 9/9/24
AG
Shoutout to OA1 and his JNJ recommendation. SHBM
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GreasenUSA
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In reply to Chef Elko • 10:21a, 9/9/24
AG
Chef Elko said:
Shoutout to OA1 and his JNJ recommendation. SHBM
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Chef Elko
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In reply to GreasenUSA • 10:44a, 9/9/24
AG
He didn't call it out recently. Sometime in April he recommended it after they experienced a significant pullback.
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Heineken-Ashi
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11:12a, 9/9/24
Just set a buy order on AMD for $136. Could dip to $134 today or tomorrow, and stop is recent low of $132. Target $165.
"H-A: In return for the flattery, can you reduce the size of your signature? It's the only part of your posts that don't add value. In its' place, just put "I'm an investing savant, and make no apologies for it", as oldarmy1 would do."
- I Bleed Maroon (distracted easily by signatures)
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Heineken-Ashi
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2:48p, 9/9/24
If the SLV Sep 20 $25.5's I bought Friday can get to $1.00 today I will sell 75% of them. My plan in buying them was to take profits on the next upward move to offset potential losses from the other September 20 calls I have that might or might not pan out.
"H-A: In return for the flattery, can you reduce the size of your signature? It's the only part of your posts that don't add value. In its' place, just put "I'm an investing savant, and make no apologies for it", as oldarmy1 would do."
- I Bleed Maroon (distracted easily by signatures)
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nancydeedavis
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3:16p, 9/9/24
RDR on $DDD I believe
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ProgN
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4:00p, 9/9/24
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Brian Earl Spilner
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In reply to ProgN • 4:04p, 9/9/24
AG
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ProgN
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In reply to Brian Earl Spilner • 4:39p, 9/9/24
Brian Earl Spilner said:

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El_duderino
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In reply to ProgN • 5:09p, 9/9/24
Damn that one sucks. I didn't realize he was 93 though. Thats a long full life
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Brewmaster
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In reply to ProgN • 10:12p, 9/9/24
AG


Legend, prayers up, rest in peace.
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nancydeedavis
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8:16a, 9/10/24
$WWR

First phase of the plant seems to be fully funded now so construction can complete.

https://wes****erresources.net/news-releases/2024/09/04/wes****er-resources-enters-into-exclusivity-for-150-million-secured-debt-facility-with-a-global-financial-institution/
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giddings_ag_06
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8:45a, 9/10/24
AG
UAA with a big drop recently. Plank mentioned restructuring and cutting their outlook. I'm thinking this may be a good purchase area.
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HoustonAg2014
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In reply to nancydeedavis • 8:56a, 9/10/24
AG
nancydeedavis said:
$WWR

First phase of the plant seems to be fully funded now so construction can complete.

https://wes****erresources.net/news-releases/2024/09/04/wes****er-resources-enters-into-exclusivity-for-150-million-secured-debt-facility-with-a-global-financial-institution/
I cant open this but I saw that news last week and surprisingly the stock didn't react. I was a little shocked it didn't move and that it wasn't posted on here so figured everyone was out of WWR at this point. I am not.
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