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We aren't dumb though and know the industry is gonna change. We are gonna roll with it and see what the changes bring - even if that means we split the $150.00 commission with the new changes. We just want our clients to feel like they got a fair shake with someone who cares and wasn't solely in it for the commission.

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And this paragraph here is why I suggested your company and why I will contact you in the future should I decide to sell. I live in central Texas though, not CS, but I don't think that'd be an issue.

Heineken-Ashi said:

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Algorithmic Epiphany said:

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I'd rather be buying bitcoin with it but I'm trying to buy CRE for my biz. Sigh.

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Why you no call me?

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PCE revised up last month to give this month appearance of easing. Since January data has already been written off as a one off, not mattering number. Market won't care about the shell game. Higher up the cliff we go.

EnronAg said:

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Heineken-Ashi said:

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Brian Earl Spilner said:

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Just curious, but why are folks expecting the election to tank stocks?

Tbh I've kinda been thinking the market rips with Trump being elected.

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I actually think the more likely scenario is that it tanks INTO the election and then starts a multi-year choppy bounce that would likely not get back to the high from this year. But A LOT can play out and nothing is set in stone. These types of things are like throwing jello for distance.

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I love this post and I'm sorry for derailing it yesterday...love your posts, H-A...but just curious, what would be the catalyst to tank INTO the election?? other than kind of a normal pullback, I just don't see how they would allow this to happen to help or possibly aide in deciding the election...every CPI, PPI, PCE, job report, etc. will be "massaged" to prevent this...tired of hearing the term "goldilocks"...but we'll be hearing plenty of that in Sept/Oct...call me a conspiracy theorist, but I believe we all know these reports are not to be trusted...outside of any geopolitical events, I just don't see any catalyst to tank going into the election...and there is just no way economic data will be the driver.

Thanks for all the posts on this from everyone talking markets/etc and love reading everything to grow my account.

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Who is they? Nobody controls the market or keeps it afloat. There's actually starting to be evidence that smart money has already been moving out.

And I don't look for catalysts. You spend so much time trying to align your pre-conceived notions about the "irrational" market with random news events that could act as a catalyst.. you end up missing the action right in front of you. And the market continues to prove that it's not irrational, people who apply linear thinking and refuse to budge from their bias are irrational.

What I see that makes me think of a drop into the election is so many charts lining up bullish with major resistance levels approaching over the coming months. But in the end, trying to time a top, a bottom, or to correlate with an election.. it's fruitless. All we can do is look for the signs. And signs are showing we haven't had even a modest pullback in 6 months. The fractals in history that show similar do not end well ultimately. So whether it's before, after, or a year from now.. just focus on your short term approach and know what your stops are on your long term holdings. Don't leave yourself exposed to what will undoubtedly be a surprise reversal.

Brian Earl Spilner said:

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The fractals in history that show similar do not end well ultimately.

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How are you defining "ultimately"?

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Some of them lead to a normal sized correction followed by a blowoff top of sorts and then a much deeper correction. Some just got straight into a very sizeable drop. Usually same year or early the following year.

Heineken-Ashi said:

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Brian Earl Spilner said:

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Quote:

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The fractals in history that show similar do not end well ultimately.

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How are you defining "ultimately"?

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Some of them lead to a normal sized correction followed by a blowoff top of sorts and then a much deeper correction. Some just got straight into a very sizeable drop. Usually same year or early the following year.

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I agree, the signs are already presenting themselves. That's why I haven't been very active, I've stated I don't like the market right now and content just sitting still. I post stocks that I commit money to and I'm not at the moment. I'll evaluate stocks if asked, but I don't post plays in stocks that I don't have my skin in the game for others.

So I've post before about the 1999/2000 fractal, thinking this past October was Oct 1999 and a top might be incoming end of Q1 just like in 2000. Hasn't happened yet. Still can of course, but who knows.

But what if last October was 1998 (even if so, 1998 had relative pullbacks through mid 1999, weve had almost NONE so far.. so this would be shaping up even more nefarious). The beginning of the dotcom (AI in this case) boom. If so, the meat of the move is done and it's mostly chop city from here. And smart money is planning how to trap you.

10 year bond spiking. The worst news possible for banks looking for a mathematical lifeline to their disastrous long term investments

giddings_ag_06 said:

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You the man (I think)

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I'm not biologist, but I can define a woman and I am not one.

Might be early on this, but I just bought 50 contracts of XLF Dec 2024 $31 puts for 25 cents each with min target in November of $30 and max target $23. If the contracts drop under 15 cents over the next 1-2 months I will likely double my position.

Premium paid is my stop.