Untradable...
4269.Heineken-Ashi said:
Got just about to the 4300 level that was expected support. Need to start an uptrend now. A downtrend from here can turn October into what August looked like and lead to another September. EMA's are coiled up in a 50bp spread. Below 4300 and I'd look for next support to be the 200day around 4275. If you are a bottom ticker, buy at the open tomorrow and set your stop at 4275. Otherwise, there's no harm in waiting for confirmation.
TxAgLaw03RW said:
WWR related: China restricts graphite exports
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/10/20/china-top-graphite-producer-to-curb-exports-of-key-battery-material.html
Quote:
After choking exports of chipmaking metals gallium and germanium, China is stepping up its efforts to maintain its manufacturing dominance by restricting exports of graphite, a key material used in electric-vehicle batteries. Beijing's move comes just days after Washington unveiled new restrictions on AI chip exports to China.
Dig deeper: Beijing will require special export permits for three grades of graphite starting December 1, the Ministry of Commerce and the General Administration of Customs said. Temporary controls on five less sensitive graphite items used in industries such as steel, metallurgy, and chemicals were dropped. The new curbs are "conducive to ensuring the security and stability of the global supply chain, and conducive to better safeguarding national security and interests," the ministry said. It clarified that it was not targeting any particular country. Top buyers of graphite from China include the U.S., South Korea, Japan, and India.
Bigger picture: The U.S. has been targeting China's access to advanced technologies over national security concerns, with the Biden administration issuing rules in Sept. to regulate U.S. investments in China in semiconductors and microelectronics, quantum information technologies, and AI. Beijing has pushed back by leveraging its dominance over certain materials. To note, China is the world's top graphite producer and exporter. It also refines over 90% of the world's graphite into the anode material used in EV batteries - the largest component by weight in such batteries.
Ivan Lam, senior analyst at Counterpoint Research, does not expect a major impact in the near term, as graphite exports haven't been completely banned. But he said the material's prices will likely increase due to supply and demand imbalances, including Russia - which was once a major graphite supplier. CLSA's Christopher Richter said it would be a "bold" step to cut the world off from graphite, as that would likely bring EVs to a halt everywhere and probably escalate tensions between China, the U.S. and Europe.
ProgN said:
I nibbled on POWL in the $76 range for first entries.
Not worth the risk of missing out on it, so I bought initial positions in it across my family's and friends accounts. Pull up a one year chart, look at the previous gaps that were never filled. It you waited for it to fill the gap at $25 in January, then you missed a 3 bagger. SMCI did something similar and I sat on the sidelines and kept waiting for gap fills. I think POWL blows through $100 after their next earnings report.SoTXAg09 said:ProgN said:
I nibbled on POWL in the $76 range for first entries.
No reason to make sure it holds that gap?
ProgN said:Not worth the risk of missing out on it, so I bought initial positions in it across my family's and friends accounts. Pull up a one year chart, look at the previous gaps that were never filled. It you waited for it to fill the gap at $25 in January, then you missed a 3 bagger. SMCI did something similar and I sat on the sidelines and kept waiting for gap fills. I think POWL blows through $100 after their next earnings report.SoTXAg09 said:ProgN said:
I nibbled on POWL in the $76 range for first entries.
No reason to make sure it holds that gap?
Fightin2010 said:
Is there WWR news that I missed?
Quote:
Albert Gore III, executive director of ZETA, a U.S. trade group that represents EV companies and mining firms, told Axios this news should bring about more investments in mining and metals projects outside of China, including in the United States.
"The impact will be a stronger incentive to accelerate the development of our domestic upstream production capacity and that of our trusted trade partners," Gore said.
What are you seeing? Low risk high reward reversal from oversold?gougler08 said:
I'm in on PLD now but a very tight stop at $99
Heineken-Ashi said:What are you seeing? Low risk high reward reversal from oversold?gougler08 said:
I'm in on PLD now but a very tight stop at $99
I like it. I do. My favorite plays are low risk high reward. I never hate getting stopped out for a small loss with a great basis available and high end returns on the table. Execute 10 of those and even if 1 hits you are cooking.gougler08 said:Heineken-Ashi said:What are you seeing? Low risk high reward reversal from oversold?gougler08 said:
I'm in on PLD now but a very tight stop at $99
Basically, formed a solid base in the 98-100 range back in late 2022 so I'll risk 2-3% that it holds again after being heavily oversold from earnings.