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24,758,734 Views | 233448 Replies | Last: 1 hr ago by El_duderino
Brian Earl Spilner
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Untradable...
Heineken-Ashi
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Heineken-Ashi said:

Got just about to the 4300 level that was expected support. Need to start an uptrend now. A downtrend from here can turn October into what August looked like and lead to another September. EMA's are coiled up in a 50bp spread. Below 4300 and I'd look for next support to be the 200day around 4275. If you are a bottom ticker, buy at the open tomorrow and set your stop at 4275. Otherwise, there's no harm in waiting for confirmation.
4269.

I don't like that it dipped below 4270, but there can still be hope. Need to see tomorrow recover and uptrend start. I'm not trading until this thing shows signs of life and likely not until a confirmed uptrend.
"H-A: In return for the flattery, can you reduce the size of your signature? It's the only part of your posts that don't add value. In its' place, just put "I'm an investing savant, and make no apologies for it", as oldarmy1 would do."
- I Bleed Maroon (distracted easily by signatures)
sts7049
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VIX over 21 for the first time in awhile
TxAgLaw03RW
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WWR related: China restricts graphite exports

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/10/20/china-top-graphite-producer-to-curb-exports-of-key-battery-material.html
ProgN
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TxAgLaw03RW said:

WWR related: China restricts graphite exports

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/10/20/china-top-graphite-producer-to-curb-exports-of-key-battery-material.html

Quote:

After choking exports of chipmaking metals gallium and germanium, China is stepping up its efforts to maintain its manufacturing dominance by restricting exports of graphite, a key material used in electric-vehicle batteries. Beijing's move comes just days after Washington unveiled new restrictions on AI chip exports to China.

Dig deeper: Beijing will require special export permits for three grades of graphite starting December 1, the Ministry of Commerce and the General Administration of Customs said. Temporary controls on five less sensitive graphite items used in industries such as steel, metallurgy, and chemicals were dropped. The new curbs are "conducive to ensuring the security and stability of the global supply chain, and conducive to better safeguarding national security and interests," the ministry said. It clarified that it was not targeting any particular country. Top buyers of graphite from China include the U.S., South Korea, Japan, and India.

Bigger picture: The U.S. has been targeting China's access to advanced technologies over national security concerns, with the Biden administration issuing rules in Sept. to regulate U.S. investments in China in semiconductors and microelectronics, quantum information technologies, and AI. Beijing has pushed back by leveraging its dominance over certain materials. To note, China is the world's top graphite producer and exporter. It also refines over 90% of the world's graphite into the anode material used in EV batteries - the largest component by weight in such batteries.

Ivan Lam, senior analyst at Counterpoint Research, does not expect a major impact in the near term, as graphite exports haven't been completely banned. But he said the material's prices will likely increase due to supply and demand imbalances, including Russia - which was once a major graphite supplier. CLSA's Christopher Richter said it would be a "bold" step to cut the world off from graphite, as that would likely bring EVs to a halt everywhere and probably escalate tensions between China, the U.S. and Europe.
Spoony Love
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I've got a support line that SPY is teasing currently. I may play a scalp on an expected bounce from that level. Roughly 424.40 is the line I have.

ETA: It did not in fact bounce. Fade me.
cottonpicker
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SMCI at 252
tailgatetimer10
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up 17% on the week, at this rate, just need another couple of months like this....
EnronAg
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question for you guys far smarter than I - any chance we see that SPY $407 gap from 5/5 fill this year??? or are they saving that for the big tanking after the '24 election
Spoony Love
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After watching SPY tease the gap fill 3 times in the last week of trading, anything is possible.
SoTXAg09
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ProgN said:

I nibbled on POWL in the $76 range for first entries.

No reason to make sure it holds that gap?
jimmo
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added a little XOM just below 112
TxAgLaw03RW
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The week ain't over yet…
ProgN
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SoTXAg09 said:

ProgN said:

I nibbled on POWL in the $76 range for first entries.

No reason to make sure it holds that gap?
Not worth the risk of missing out on it, so I bought initial positions in it across my family's and friends accounts. Pull up a one year chart, look at the previous gaps that were never filled. It you waited for it to fill the gap at $25 in January, then you missed a 3 bagger. SMCI did something similar and I sat on the sidelines and kept waiting for gap fills. I think POWL blows through $100 after their next earnings report.
SoTXAg09
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ProgN said:

SoTXAg09 said:

ProgN said:

I nibbled on POWL in the $76 range for first entries.

No reason to make sure it holds that gap?
Not worth the risk of missing out on it, so I bought initial positions in it across my family's and friends accounts. Pull up a one year chart, look at the previous gaps that were never filled. It you waited for it to fill the gap at $25 in January, then you missed a 3 bagger. SMCI did something similar and I sat on the sidelines and kept waiting for gap fills. I think POWL blows through $100 after their next earnings report.

Thanks for the reply.
ProgN
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Brian Earl Spilner
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Awful week.
ProgN
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This week was ugly but don't let it stress you out this weekend family. Ready yourself to hear the phrase "Death Cross" from pundits on CNBC. Don't let it scare you to dump strong stocks due to emotion. Think about to old motto that newsrooms use, "If it bleeds, it leads", because an increase in negative news reports about the market is likely. DO NOT DUMP your stocks because your wife/husband, who don't follow the market like you do, are in panic mode.

This advice does not apply to everyone but I've seen it over and over again for almost 30 years. I just don't want anyone to make a mistake that they'll regret in 2-3 months.
HoustonAg2014
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No one in here should be down today… WWR had its best day in like a year. We're good fam everyone needs to celebrate!
$30,000 Millionaire
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Will be watching semis this week. I think they will lead the market.
jimmo
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you get in NVDA 30k?
fightintxag13
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Keep an eye on NET. It's been in a Darvas box between $56 and $67 the last 2 months. It's now getting close to the bottom of the range at $58.
Heineken-Ashi
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SOXL is in a solid downtrend. I'm watching the $12-$13 for entry for a potential short term reversal of downtrend. I would NOT be long on a 3x leverage trending down right now.
"H-A: In return for the flattery, can you reduce the size of your signature? It's the only part of your posts that don't add value. In its' place, just put "I'm an investing savant, and make no apologies for it", as oldarmy1 would do."
- I Bleed Maroon (distracted easily by signatures)
Definitely Not A Cop
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Just picked up some SMCI.
TxAgLaw03RW
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Let's keep running
Fightin2010
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Is there WWR news that I missed?
GtownRAB
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Fightin2010 said:

Is there WWR news that I missed?


China is restricting exports of graphite, announced it last week. WWR went up on Friday and again today.
TxAgLaw03RW
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It's posted above, China is limiting graphite exports
djmeen95
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I'm betting it's moving because news of China restricting graphite exports is getting more coverage.

https://www.axios.com/2023/10/23/china-graphite-metals-evs

Quote:

Albert Gore III, executive director of ZETA, a U.S. trade group that represents EV companies and mining firms, told Axios this news should bring about more investments in mining and metals projects outside of China, including in the United States.
"The impact will be a stronger incentive to accelerate the development of our domestic upstream production capacity and that of our trusted trade partners," Gore said.
Fightin2010
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Thanks guys. I saw that news but didn't know if there was something like funding that changed for them. Definitely good news if they can get the funds together.
gougler08
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I'm in on PLD now but a very tight stop at $99
Heineken-Ashi
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gougler08 said:

I'm in on PLD now but a very tight stop at $99
What are you seeing? Low risk high reward reversal from oversold?
"H-A: In return for the flattery, can you reduce the size of your signature? It's the only part of your posts that don't add value. In its' place, just put "I'm an investing savant, and make no apologies for it", as oldarmy1 would do."
- I Bleed Maroon (distracted easily by signatures)
gougler08
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Heineken-Ashi said:

gougler08 said:

I'm in on PLD now but a very tight stop at $99
What are you seeing? Low risk high reward reversal from oversold?


Basically, formed a solid base in the 98-100 range back in late 2022 so I'll risk 2-3% that it holds again after being heavily oversold from earnings.
Heineken-Ashi
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gougler08 said:

Heineken-Ashi said:

gougler08 said:

I'm in on PLD now but a very tight stop at $99
What are you seeing? Low risk high reward reversal from oversold?


Basically, formed a solid base in the 98-100 range back in late 2022 so I'll risk 2-3% that it holds again after being heavily oversold from earnings.
I like it. I do. My favorite plays are low risk high reward. I never hate getting stopped out for a small loss with a great basis available and high end returns on the table. Execute 10 of those and even if 1 hits you are cooking.

I personally see the downtrend taking it to the mid to high $80's and then bouncing from there. The real estate market in general is getting nervous and the warehouse market is showing signs of potentially cooling a little. But I might jump in with you here due to the risk/reward. Thanks for the heads up.
"H-A: In return for the flattery, can you reduce the size of your signature? It's the only part of your posts that don't add value. In its' place, just put "I'm an investing savant, and make no apologies for it", as oldarmy1 would do."
- I Bleed Maroon (distracted easily by signatures)
AgCPA95
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$WWR in Barron's article

China Tightens Controls on Graphite. The Hunt Is On for New Supplies.
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