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24,939,406 Views | 233714 Replies | Last: 20 hrs ago by jamey
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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In reply to techno-ag • 2:04p, 6/22/23
techno-ag said:
cptthunder said:
confucius_ag said:
XOM holding up pretty well considering where oil is this morning.

EIA reports a draw of 3.8 mmbls instead of a .5 mmbls build and WTI is below $70 again
Interesting world with regard to commodities these days
Yeah no one pays attention to the corrected reports.
According to EIA weekly inventory report, US oil production fell last week back down to 12.2M bpd from 12.4M bpd the prior week.

I do not believe the 12.4M numbers EIA reported for the Week Ending June 9 and Week Ending June 2. Why?, you might ask. Well,...because someone needs to explain how oil production went up .2M barrels in those two weeks (from 12.2M week ending May 26) when oil rigs are declining sharply.

Oil rigs have fallen from 586 on May 12 to 552 last Friday June 16. So we have sharply declining oil rigs and a two week bump up in US production? LOL! Yeah, right.

I'm sure EIA will ** correct ** these numbers too.
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ProgN
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2:06p, 6/22/23
Holy ***** look at that candle and volume spike on FSLY just now.
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bmoochie
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In reply to ProgN • 2:15p, 6/22/23
AG
ProgN said:
Holy ***** look at that candle and volume spike on FSLY just now.
Haven't heard this name in a little while. I have strong resistance line $17.84 from back when FJ brought it here. break that, and we might have serious space above! $19.70s then gap all the way to $27.87
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ProgN
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In reply to bmoochie • 2:17p, 6/22/23
I bet some kind of positive news will be coming out soon.
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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2:19p, 6/22/23
I added some PXD today. XOM:PXD spread signaled to add PXD. Added at $199.76

Just announced JB Administration entering in the arena for another 3 million barrel crude purchase for the SPR. Delivery in August. You think somebody is getting worried that crude inventories are going to see a drop. LOL! What a clown show. Doesn't matter. Patience pays. OPEC+ earlier announced cuts are showing up now and July 1st 1M bpd new cuts are about to start. Green Energy faction really really hates fossil fuels. GLTA!
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bmoochie
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In reply to ProgN • 2:21p, 6/22/23
AG
I don't have the option flow but looks like some volume on the July $19s
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Brewmaster
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3:50p, 6/22/23
AG
damn, too late to buy puts. Could get ugly if Russia escalates, Ukraine is poking the bear at this point, dumb move.

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$30,000 Millionaire
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In reply to wanderer • 6:34p, 6/22/23
AG
wanderer said:
OA, you still hanging on to any July TGT or BABA calls? I sold ~1/2 to go net free last week and they've taken quite a hit since then. Both stocks are below MT without much momentum from the macros.

Worth hanging to longer? I know they're paid for with house money, but house money is still my money.


TGT I'd probably take the risk on given it could have material upside if the trend reversal sticks

Baba had a hammer candle against the daily mean. I'd cut if it closes below the mean.
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Charismatic Megafauna
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7:26a, 6/23/23
AG
OA seems to be in full bear mode. I'm scared
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wanderer
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In reply to Charismatic Megafauna • 7:31a, 6/23/23
But yet he tweeted out 3 different call trades yesterday. It's a bit of a mixed bag.
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wanderer
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In reply to $30,000 Millionaire • 7:32a, 6/23/23
Thank you 30k
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FishrCoAg
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In reply to Charismatic Megafauna • 8:13a, 6/23/23
AG
Charismatic Megafauna said:
OA seems to be in full bear mode. I'm scared


Don't be scared, take advantage!
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bigtoneag
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8:19a, 6/23/23
AG
Why is everything dumping this morning?
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$30,000 Millionaire
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In reply to Charismatic Megafauna • 8:25a, 6/23/23
AG
4410 and 4430 are must levels for bulls. Below that it should be bearish.
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pumpjack2
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In reply to pumpjack2 • 8:35a, 6/23/23
AG
This OSTK puts play worked out. Sold for 22% gain at open. May work its way down to $23.18 full model T, but took easy gains.
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pumpjack2
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9:28a, 6/23/23
AG
SWBI up nearly 18% today. May take puts with model T target if it comes back down around $13.10.
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pumpjack2
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In reply to pumpjack2 • 10:36a, 6/23/23
AG
pumpjack2 said:
SWBI up nearly 18% today. May take puts with model T target if it comes back down around $13.10.
Going for it. Took Jul 21 12.5 Puts at $0.30. Will get out if it takes out $13.47.
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EnronAg
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11:36a, 6/23/23
AG
are we looking at yet another red to green day??
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techno-ag
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11:51a, 6/23/23
AG
BOIL 1 for 20 reverse split occurred today. So far the stock is up from about $62 to about $68.
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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1:01p, 6/23/23
Not my work below, but I know the guy that put it together. Data is solid/accurate.

Crude Futures continues to fall. LOL!

Patience.


***********

Baker Hughes reporting the oil rig count dropped again by 6 this week to 546 oil rigs. This is the lowest oil rig count going back to early April 2022. The important aspect of the rig count is that it can't be manipulated by EIA and it is a true indicator of future oil production. Here are some oil rig numbers for anyone interested:

-----

Jan 13, 2023...... 623 oil rigs (near term peak)

March 03, 2023...... 592 oil rigs

May 12, 2023...... 586 oil rigs

May 19, 2023...... 575 oil rigs

June 23, 2023...... 546 oil rigs (todays report)

-----

The fall in oil rigs has been accelerating over the last 6 weeks.
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techno-ag
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In reply to techno-ag • 1:35p, 6/23/23
AG
techno-ag said:
BOIL 1 for 20 reverse split occurred today. So far the stock is up from about $62 to about $68.
$72.
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Carioca Corredor
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In reply to techno-ag • 1:47p, 6/23/23
AG
techno-ag said:
techno-ag said:
BOIL 1 for 20 reverse split occurred today. So far the stock is up from about $62 to about $68.
$72.
Post a reminder when it reaches $720
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South Platte
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In reply to Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX • 1:50p, 6/23/23
I guess we have to buy more.
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Talon2DSO
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2:02p, 6/23/23
AG
We still confident with NIO, JD, and LUMN in July?
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$30,000 Millionaire
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2:23p, 6/23/23
AG
let's see. Friday, eating premium now and pushing it down to stop people. i'd like to see an SPX close at 4360 but that is really risky.
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2:34p, 6/23/23
AG
see these wicks? the market makers are just FEASTING.
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$30,000 Millionaire
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2:38p, 6/23/23
AG
just straight feasting. i do think this can trade up, though.
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ProgN
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2:50p, 6/23/23


Here
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$30,000 Millionaire
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2:51p, 6/23/23
AG
they tricked all these bullish people. LMAO
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Brewmaster
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2:52p, 6/23/23
AG
6B sell side, early MOC, ouch!
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Brewmaster
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In reply to Talon2DSO • 2:54p, 6/23/23
AG
Talon2DSO said:
We still confident with NIO, JD, and LUMN in July?
if markets keep marching downward, then no. but I know your question is mostly for OA. Seasonally you will get a dip next week
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Brewmaster
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In reply to ProgN • 2:58p, 6/23/23
AG
ProgN said:


Here
damn, his fam and friends are in my thoughts and prayers. He was too young.
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H-town ag
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3:02p, 6/23/23
AG
Which one of ya'll gave up on WWR today?!
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confucius_ag
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In reply to H-town ag • 3:06p, 6/23/23
AG
H-town ag said:
Which one of ya'll gave up on WWR today?!
LOL. That ship sailed in December when I booked losses.
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3:07p, 6/23/23
AG
if you were green today, congratulations. this is a great example of days / times when it just isn't worth it.

My policy of not losing my ass on Fridays is a good one!
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