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Charismatic Megafauna
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Philip J Fry said:

Here we go. Here are my top 16 stocks for the year. The code spits out the top 20, but I removed 4 because of huge gap ups that skewed the result.




Here we have the number of stocks trading above the 120 EMA for the past 100 days. Sure looks like a leg down is coming based on how 2022 went.



Weekly Plays:
PSN. Target Price =~50 for +12%


RYTM: Shows up in my top 16 chart. Looks like it's bouncing off lows. Targeting ~$33 for +17%


For those natural gas lovers, here's 25 years of monthly performance broken out by monthly averages. Lesson here is to buy in at the end of January, sell in Sept?.





I bought a couple shares of rytm this morning
confucius_ag
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perma Brew doomster said:

confucius_ag said:

PLTR leaps for 2024 and 2025 are green. Getting tempting to sell here.
hope you held some!
Unfortunately I sold them all.

The more I looked at earnings report the more I thought I will have another crack at it.


Profit is profit.
confucius_ag
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confucius_ag said:

perma Brew doomster said:

confucius_ag said:

PLTR leaps for 2024 and 2025 are green. Getting tempting to sell here.
hope you held some!
Unfortunately I sold them all.

The more I looked at earnings report the more I thought I will have another crack at it.


Profit is profit.
And I still have a nice core holding of shares.
AgEng06
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Our old friend MGNI has been moving a little the past month or so. I'm still holding a few net free shares from all the past fun.

Is today's run due to TTD's earnings? Any long-term outlooks for MGNI?
wanderer
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It's had a nice move up the last few months, but have to think that today's move specifically is in sympathy with strong TTD earnings. MGNI reports 2/22
FTAG 2000
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AgEng06 said:

Our old friend MGNI has been moving a little the past month or so. I'm still holding a few net free shares from all the past fun.

Is today's run due to TTD's earnings? Any long-term outlooks for MGNI?
It's move and the spike today track largely with TTD.
AgEng06
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Yeah, I agree. Since my shares are net-free (and then some) I'm tempted to just hold them for some huge run to Valhalla, if that ever occurs...
Boy Named Sue
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Help a noob out. I bought some Friday XOM calls to play with, and set a stop loss and modest profit exit because I needed to focus on work for a few hours. Just checked, and even though the price dipped below my stop loss I'm still holding most of the contracts. Looking at the chart now, I chose my stop loss well and am encouraged by that.

But I can't figure out why it didn't trigger a sale on all the contracts I had. Did it drop too fast, such that only a few sold? What's a good way to prevent that from happening? I can't sit and watch the chart constantly.

Regardless, now I'm sitting on Friday calls that are down 50%. So I guess I'll be praying for a recovery over the next 48 hours so I don't lose it all.

Thankfully it's still just play money to learn with, I just don't want to waste this learning opportunity.
sts7049
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first advice I'd give is learn to cut a loss and not hold just hoping for a recovery. move on, losing 50% is better than losing 80 or 90 or 100%.
GreasenUSA
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I'd suggest immediately contacting your broker. Have proof of your orders, if you need to. But they should be able to see all that. If it was a legit order that was ignored, and they don't make it right, get a new broker.
Boy Named Sue
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sts7049 said:

first advice I'd give is learn to cut a loss and not hold just hoping for a recovery. move on, losing 50% is better than losing 80 or 90 or 100%.
Yeah, I'm just trying to time an exit now that they recovered a little. Basically pretending I just bought in and setting new stops so I don't lose more. Again, just trying to learn.

Funny thing is I wasn't being greedy, which is what usually gets me. I set profit exit for 9/10 of the contracts at 11%, and stop loss at -15%. I thought I'd log back in and be disappointed that I sold too soon lol
Copa515
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Did you set your stop and limit at the same price? May have jumped right passed it.
Charismatic Megafauna
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Stops on options are tough. If you had a stop loss with a limit order, your limit may have been too high and never filled. I usually set mine up as market sell when last (not bid or ask) is below a certain price. On high liquidity stuff b/a might be ok but lower liquidity option chains can be manipulated too easily
oldarmy1
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oldarmy1 said:

confucius_ag said:

PLTR leaps for 2024 and 2025 are green. Getting tempting to sell here.
I wouldn't. The chart shows a clear long term trend pivot. Earnings beat/guidance raised. $11.62 is what I have for first sells.
I just sold 20% as a disciplined sell of LEAPS up well over 100%. This is a major breakout signal on PLTR and if it can reach $14.30 area the short covering could send it ballistic. Regardless, this action confirms the pivot spoken to last week, and I see it moving well up on trend to $20.
oldarmy1
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wanderer said:

What am I missing? How is OA coming up with 52.21 for model-T on CPRI?




You have multiple Model T trades with the macro Model T. The easiest money is those, while the larger one might eventually fill, when trading options I want the easy ones. Also, I would note that the full range Model T is above that gapped down orange candle high. You would be selling into the orange candle high verses the Model T number, as resistance would be naturally expected there. Hope that helps.

oldarmy1
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wanderer
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Thanks for the reply OA. I guess the bigger problem is how/why my candles are different. More specifically, my big red cap down candle shows a high of 53 but yours shows 57.02. I'm guess my candle settings are different to only show trading hour ranges where maybe yours is different??

oldarmy1
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Yes, I chart all trading hours.

BTW - anyone who followed on the PLUG $0.65 I am slowly trimming 50% here as it approaches Model T. Slow selling won't scare the build buyers into MT. See over 500 bidding $1.09?

wanderer
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Thanks OA, makes sense.

I've done some googling and have come up empty-handed on if/how it can be done in ToS. Any ToS users chime in?
oldarmy1
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Out of 50% of $PLUG.....yes thats my print.
oldarmy1
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Out of 90% of PLUG trade - FYI
$1.20 avg fill. 10% runner for cup completion possibility.
gougler08
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Just got to the airport and opened up my accounts and woah some of these have gone nuts today. UPST, TTD, MGNI, SFIX, SHOP, ROKU and others up 10%+, but then I see QQQ is basically flat. Was this all driven by TTD news or did I just get lucky on a bunch of various earnings
GreasenUSA
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gougler08 said:

Just got to the airport and opened up my accounts and woah some of these have gone nuts today. UPST, TTD, MGNI, SFIX, SHOP, ROKU and others up 10%+, but then I see QQQ is basically flat. Was this all driven by TTD news or did I just get lucky on a bunch of various earnings
Most of the heavyweights in tech opened the day with a gap down, but have been steadily climbing since mid morning.
Brewmaster
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oldarmy1 said:

oldarmy1 said:

confucius_ag said:

PLTR leaps for 2024 and 2025 are green. Getting tempting to sell here.
I wouldn't. The chart shows a clear long term trend pivot. Earnings beat/guidance raised. $11.62 is what I have for first sells.
I just sold 20% as a disciplined sell of LEAPS up well over 100%. This is a major breakout signal on PLTR and if it can reach $14.30 area the short covering could send it ballistic. Regardless, this action confirms the pivot spoken to last week, and I see it moving well up on trend to $20.
The man agrees! I'm learning something. I'm not in leaps, but I know a pro who still is (in addition to OA). I'm long plenty of shares though. (plenty for my minnow account!).
Brewmaster
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gougler08 said:

Just got to the airport and opened up my accounts and woah some of these have gone nuts today. UPST, TTD, MGNI, SFIX, SHOP, ROKU and others up 10%+, but then I see QQQ is basically flat. Was this all driven by TTD news or did I just get lucky on a bunch of various earnings
lots of small names running wild. PLTR, FUBO, MARA etc
gougler08
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perma Brew doomster said:

gougler08 said:

Just got to the airport and opened up my accounts and woah some of these have gone nuts today. UPST, TTD, MGNI, SFIX, SHOP, ROKU and others up 10%+, but then I see QQQ is basically flat. Was this all driven by TTD news or did I just get lucky on a bunch of various earnings
lots of small names running wild. PLTR, FUBO, MARA etc
Stonks only go up
MRB10
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BTC/USD is up nearly 7% re: MARA
“There is no red.
There is no blue.
There is the state.
And there is you.”

“As government expands, Liberty contracts” - R. Reagan
Charismatic Megafauna
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Charismatic Megafauna said:

Charismatic Megafauna said:

Why do i always talk myself out of shorting cvna every time it has a +10% day?

Grabbed a couple friday 10.5 puts for .4

You can get 11s for .3 now, if anyone wants lottos
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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Boy Named Sue said:

Help a noob out. I bought some Friday XOM calls to play with, and set a stop loss and modest profit exit because I needed to focus on work for a few hours. Just checked, and even though the price dipped below my stop loss I'm still holding most of the contracts. Looking at the chart now, I chose my stop loss well and am encouraged by that.

But I can't figure out why it didn't trigger a sale on all the contracts I had. Did it drop too fast, such that only a few sold? What's a good way to prevent that from happening? I can't sit and watch the chart constantly.

Regardless, now I'm sitting on Friday calls that are down 50%. So I guess I'll be praying for a recovery over the next 48 hours so I don't lose it all.

Thankfully it's still just play money to learn with, I just don't want to waste this learning opportunity.
I don't know what you have outside of Calls expiring on 2/17. This is not advice, but if you are worried about losing your ass, you might consider this. Dividend pay date is 3/10/2023. XOM share price usually runs a little after Pay Date, because 60% of the shares are held by institutions and a large percentage are held by retirees, who are in dividend reinvestment program and a lot of shares get purchased to pay out. You might consider rolling to 3/17/2023 Calls and see how it works out for exiting those Calls on Monday 3/13 or Tuesday 3/14. Others may have different opinions.
FTAG 2000
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This **** feels out of control. The economy and jobs market is ass. And we're going nuts since CPI.

VIX coming into 52 week low.
FTAG 2000
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TTD with your casual 30% post-earnings release day.
ProgN
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gougler08 said:


Stonks only go up


Shut it down, everybody go home, Gougs just ****ed up the party for everyone.
$30,000 Millionaire
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This is literally the worst I've felt about trading while having a Green Day. Yuck.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
Boy Named Sue
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Thanks Farmer, good thoughts. I'm actually in the green now on those, thank goodness
gougler08
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ProgN said:

gougler08 said:


Stonks only go up


Shut it down, everybody go home, Gougs just ****ed up the party for everyone.
Haha just wanted us to relive the glory days for a bit!
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