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24,712,999 Views | 233400 Replies | Last: 10 min ago by ac04
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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Moo
wanderer
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Ha, I was looking and just came here to post the same.

SPY 396.31 gap from 12/14. We fill it on CPI announcement as the first move, then we move down.
$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
These doubled. I set a limit for $4
jimmo
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$30,000 Millionaire said:

Lotto. 3965/3975/3985 butterfly. Limit order 0.85

sorry - but is the correct trade you're trying?
$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
Yes
jimmo
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thanks
hope it hits
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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BaylorSpineGuy
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Can someone check SKEW? The VIX is rallying here late in the day, even as markets making new highs of the day.
$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
Boom
jimmo
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ha
nice one 30k!
FJ43
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30k = Yoda
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

jimmo
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skrong in the force, is he
FTAG 2000
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AG
Speaking of missed opps, our old friend TTD is hauling.

8DEMA crossed the 21 and 34 days today. Has a gap to fill to the 50.35 area.
$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
I did pretty well today but I left some real opportunities on the table. Amazon most notably.
$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
sts7049
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AG
irish pete ag06
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AG
Dear Diary,

You traded like it was 2021 again and it was your first time. You checked every box wrongly

Positions Size: Too Large
FOMO: Yes
Buying into an already extended spot: Yes
Holding too long when the tweezer top appeared: Yes

I was off to a really solid start (for me) in 2023 and this just wiped that out.

The thing is, I'm so numb to big wins and big losses and everything between... I just feel... nothing. I guess that's good, right!

Anyways, I printed the chart out and taped it by my computer screen to remind me!

Slappy007
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AG
Thanks for sharing, it's always important to remember everyone loses. How you manage your losers is what makes/breaks you.
techno-ag
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AG
Good summary of UNG atm.

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4569358-ung-natural-gas-wild-ride
$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
Where did you buy that?
Ragoo
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AG
Let's get a CPI rocket to the moon tomorrow
irish pete ag06
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AG
Oh and I forgot to right that the blue line you see under the tweezer top was my stop that I didn't honor.

I'm gonna add that note and re-print tomorrow.
irish pete ag06
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AG
I bought the 5 minute candle close above 125, thinking it was a breakout. Would have really negated a lot of damage if I'd honored my stop… which also had the tweezer top right above it. When those wicks showed up, my gut was screaming, man what a perfect short setup.

I lacked discipline today.

I don't share everything and I'd honestly gone a long time (for me) without doing something stupid like this, but I thought I'd share this just for my own accountability and to help some like me.
SF2004
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AG
So are we trading the chart or the news?

SPY overbought on all time frames so retrace should be the high probability play?

Or are we going to ignore that and say that CPI comes in soft so this goes higher?
jimmo
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thanks Irish
it is helpful for dopes like me
Philip J Fry
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AG
How do you trade this chart?
SF2004
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AG
Philip J Fry said:

How do you trade this chart?


Multiple ways to read that chart to your bias.
BaylorSpineGuy
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Philip J Fry said:

How do you trade this chart?



Like a true degenerate! Bull and bear cases both well laid out and technical set ups for short and long. Just depends on what those 7 rich guys in that back New York room decide they wanna do. Bet that room is full of cigar smoke tonight. And some delicious adult beverages.
TheVarian
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AG
What caliber?
FJ43
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6.5 Creedmoor
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

SF2004
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AG
China comes in hot at 1.8%.

We buy most of our **** from them but some how ours is projected to come in cooler.

Much less you can look around and see that prices are still rising.

I smell some one burning the books whilst cooking them.
Philip J Fry
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AG
There's both a HS and IHS in the same chart.
$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
I'm trying to figure out what you saw with TSLA to provide some input. In summary, I think you had FOMO (and why Tesla of all things???).

Moves like that require a reset especially when they're off the open. It also happened after a huge gap up and it was already up $6 from the prior close. When this happens you have to train yourself to say "I missed the move" and move on.

That said, Tesla may still go higher. Just not today.
wanderer
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On TSLA today
Charismatic Megafauna
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AG
I know more about statistics than i do finance and trading, so i see the same thing in that chart that I've been seeing for a while (and losing money): 2 points don't make a trend. The greater trend is still down, and tomorrow is going to give us a great short entry. However i suck at this game so the recession is probably over
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