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$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
Is everyone all bearish for tomorrow?
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
Charismatic Megafauna
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Just over here with my $100 in puts hoping for total economic collapse
BaylorSpineGuy
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$30,000 Millionaire said:

Is everyone all bearish for tomorrow?


I don't know. Stuck between two gaps. Can't trade tomorrow so I'm fairly agnostic. I did however not sell my Feb VIX calls yet, so I guess I do have some bias towards volatility.
sts7049
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not unless we lose 3900. that firmly breaks the two recent patterns
GreasenUSA
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$30,000 Millionaire said:

Is everyone all bearish for tomorrow?
Going full port short on open tomorrow.
Heineken-Ashi
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$30,000 Millionaire said:

Is everyone all bearish for tomorrow?


Sidelines for tomorrow. Puts were already in place expecting todays action. Yesterday was classic fake out. Probably trapped some longs by delaying the drop. Should have maybe been expected. Fundamentals aren't getting better, even if they're not getting worse, and consensus was more bearish than bullish, but there were enough bulls and positive sentiment. Beer candles formed a new downward trend on daily today and weekly isn't looking promising for bulls (can easily flip though, but I want to see it prove before I engage upward).

Oil is looking good for bullish sentiment. No idea when it really takes off. But I think it ultimately does.

The real surprise was sudden weakness in gold and silver today. Wanted to see it show strength amid equity weakness. Always careful with those. When you get most bullish the rug always seems to pull out. Maybe this time is different. Hold support and explode hopefully.

"H-A: In return for the flattery, can you reduce the size of your signature? It's the only part of your posts that don't add value. In its' place, just put "I'm an investing savant, and make no apologies for it", as oldarmy1 would do."
- I Bleed Maroon (distracted easily by signatures)
BaylorSpineGuy
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Heineken-Ashi said:

$30,000 Millionaire said:

Is everyone all bearish for tomorrow?


Sidelines for tomorrow. Puts were already in place expecting todays action. Yesterday was classic fake out. Probably trapped some longs by delaying the drop. Should have maybe been expected. Fundamentals aren't getting better, even if they're not getting worse, and consensus was more bearish than bullish, but there were enough bulls and positive sentiment. Beer candles formed a new downward trend on daily today and weekly isn't looking promising for bulls (can easily flip though, but I want to see it prove before I engage upward).

Oil is looking good for bullish sentiment. No idea when it really takes off. But I think it ultimately does.

The real surprise was sudden weakness in gold and silver today. Wanted to see it show strength amid equity weakness. Always careful with those. When you get most bullish the rug always seems to pull out. Maybe this time is different. Hold support and explode hopefully.




Carsan is calling for chop/sideways to down from now till Jan 10th. Not sure the significance of that date but that's awfully specific time to call for a counter trend rally.


Brewmaster
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I think closer to the end of the month we get, the more profit taking we will see. Maybe chop, here til Christmas, but after Christmas...
Hold onto your puts!


BaylorSpineGuy
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perma Brew doomster said:

I think closer to the end of the month we get, the more profit taking we will see. Maybe chop, here til Christmas, but after Christmas...
Hold onto your puts!





Profit taking?!? Who made profits this year? Maybe the few who spotted the solar panel breakout/moonshot?

I expect more tax loss harvesting which I think is what you mean ;-). Lol
wanderer
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No need to tax harvest if your losses > gains for the yr.
EnronAg
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Agree with you there. Retail doesn't have any gains to tax loss harvest and most funds do theirs in November. So this won't really impact much in my opinion.
irish pete ag06
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No. I think small green back up slightly.
Charismatic Megafauna
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$30,000 Millionaire said:

Is everyone all bearish for tomorrow?

Where my bear gang at?
$30,000 Millionaire
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Quite the overnight move. Oversold IMO now.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
FJ43
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Into the gap we go. Chart posted a while back to watch for the gap to fill.

We….are….here


Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

gougler08
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Just fill the gap at this point
ProgN
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FJ43 said:

Into the gap we go. Chart posted a while back to watch for the gap to fill.

We….are….here



insulator_king
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insulator_king said:

Ags2013 said:

Am I the only idiot still holding WWR?
I lowered my cost basis to $1.50/share now.
Yee Haw!
Just how low can $WWR go?

0.84 now. Look out!
Brewmaster
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you know what I meant, lol. sorry brain thinking about making money, but yeah, selling before year end - and lookie there, big red open.
Brewmaster
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Charismatic Megafauna said:

$30,000 Millionaire said:

Is everyone all bearish for tomorrow?

Where my bear gang at?
TheVarian
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insulator_king said:

insulator_king said:

Ags2013 said:

Am I the only idiot still holding WWR?
I lowered my cost basis to $1.50/share now.
Yee Haw!
Just how low can $WWR go?

0.84 now. Look out!


$30,000 Millionaire
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We will open around -2 ATR on SPX. We ironically gapped over the previous gap and have created a larger one.

The last couple of OPEX sessions have had short squeezes. We are probably due for one.

I don't have a clean bias of what to do with where we are. If I were leaning one way right now it would be long with stop at overnight low, but I think it's likely to hit that again in the first hour.

When you don't know what to do, you wait.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
Fightin2010
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AG
Is WWR worth launching a scud at at this point? High risk reward play? I have zero right now.
$30,000 Millionaire
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While it's possible we can go lower in a reactionary move, I tend to view it as lower probability because of how much we have sold.

Lots of people are going to be gloomy and not interested in being long.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
$30,000 Millionaire
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Fightin2010 said:

Is WWR worth launching a scud at at this point? High risk reward play? I have zero right now.


You can only lose 0.84 a share.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
insulator_king
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$30,000 Millionaire said:

Fightin2010 said:

Is WWR worth launching a scud at at this point? High risk reward play? I have zero right now.


You can only lose 0.84 a share.
Well actually it's $1.41/share in my case.
$30,000 Millionaire
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Really interesting. Nasdaq vs qqq
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
Boat Shoes
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insulator_king said:

$30,000 Millionaire said:

Fightin2010 said:

Is WWR worth launching a scud at at this point? High risk reward play? I have zero right now.


You can only lose 0.84 a share.
Well actually it's $1.41/share in my case.


What was it about this report the market didnt like? WWR tanked after its release.

https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20221206005264/en/
FTAG 2000
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Fightin2010 said:

Is WWR worth launching a scud at at this point? High risk reward play? I have zero right now.


If you look left it has major support down around fifty cents. It has no catalysts coming until (if) that plant opens.

I think it's absolutely going down to that .50 area, why buy now?
$30,000 Millionaire
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$COST could get some momentum.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
$30,000 Millionaire
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Really volatile.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
$30,000 Millionaire
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I sold 3890/3900 put credit spread.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
irish pete ag06
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I cut OXY a while back. It's the beta stock of the oil names. If oil rips, they all move up but OXY does it more. Same for if they drop of course.

I'm waiting for it to get to 60 and planning to start adding 70s in either Feb or Mar or both.



I just don't see the demand destruction happening that would usually suppress oil prices... but I do see supply issues.
$30,000 Millionaire
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$30,000 Millionaire said:

I sold 3890/3900 put credit spread.


Well, probably not gonna work out.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
SF2004
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$SPY 374 gap fill on deck?

If that happens then I think we could Xmas rally back to 395 or so... then new year plunge?
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