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Last: 24 min ago by El_duderino
Charismatic Megafauna
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AG
Spy 400!!!
What is it like living with your head up your ass?
easy SF! we're all here for 1 goal, make that $.
Bob Knights Paper Hands
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SF2004 said:
What is it like living with your head up your ass?
Ain't nobody's mama wearin no army boots in here!
Markets identical to Friday chart. Intraday chop, resistance attempt creates "M" pattern, I always tweet with eyes since that has a high % to result in an intraday drop. It did right back into a double bottom and then rallied back with several attempt to break the "M" finally moving up to new highs.
I love overlay trading and trade it until it forces me to change. Nothing has changed in my mind. Short term push up, with that beautiful 4083 gap sitting within range of a trend, or maybe powerful day or two rally. Get there and I don't see the 2nd smaller gap getting filled, but a flash up to midway from 1st and 2nd gap wouldn't be out of the question.
I love overlay trading and trade it until it forces me to change. Nothing has changed in my mind. Short term push up, with that beautiful 4083 gap sitting within range of a trend, or maybe powerful day or two rally. Get there and I don't see the 2nd smaller gap getting filled, but a flash up to midway from 1st and 2nd gap wouldn't be out of the question.
i guess it's the same like it is for you living in constant political anxietySF2004 said:
What is it like living with your head up your ass?
Just for perspective 10k is <1% of the workforce.tailgatetimer10 said:
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/11/14/amazon-reportedly-plans-to-lay-off-about-10000-employees-starting-this-week.html
BOIL is dropping.
Red Pear Luke (BCS)
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Last Tranche of the SPR release is December 1st - as reported by CNBC.
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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Yes. 15 million barrels. SPR ships about 1mbd. If the 15mb ships on time, by average it's over Dec 15th. December 15th is a Thursday. The last DOE/EIA report showing any SPR movement would be the Dec 21st, Wednesday at 10:30amCST. This is assuming that all barrels leave at the past prevailing rate of shipment. Market will react sooner.Red Pear BCS Luke said:
Last Tranche of the SPR release is December 1st - as reported by CNBC.
WTI is suppressed today. Look for rebound tomorrow. WTI at $7 discount to Brent is a laugher. I guess Saudi will need to show Brandon the belt, again.
if you divide the company up into orgs, it should show to be a good thing for their financial reports.
AWS has been the only reason the company is profitable for over a year, with the amount of cost cutting going on by retail and devices, i bet the upcoming quarters are going to look pretty.
AWS has been the only reason the company is profitable for over a year, with the amount of cost cutting going on by retail and devices, i bet the upcoming quarters are going to look pretty.
bought a handful of 401C 0dte's
lotto, moon or bust
lotto, moon or bust
402s hereperma Brew doomster said:
bought a handful of 401C 0dte's
lotto, moon or bust
Amazon has over one million employees???harge57 said:Just for perspective 10k is <1% of the workforce.tailgatetimer10 said:
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/11/14/amazon-reportedly-plans-to-lay-off-about-10000-employees-starting-this-week.html
Cmooon 4010
~1.5M. but the 10,000 is about 3% of corporateTowns03 said:Amazon has over one million employees???harge57 said:Just for perspective 10k is <1% of the workforce.tailgatetimer10 said:
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/11/14/amazon-reportedly-plans-to-lay-off-about-10000-employees-starting-this-week.html
Towns03 said:Amazon has over one million employees???harge57 said:Just for perspective 10k is <1% of the workforce.tailgatetimer10 said:
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/11/14/amazon-reportedly-plans-to-lay-off-about-10000-employees-starting-this-week.html
Close to 1.5 million actually
Bob Knights Paper Hands
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I bought some XPS 398C to hold for lotto closers.
Bob Knights Paper Hands
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This could be a bloody last half hour if we push down. Lots of leverage to the upside these days.
What happened?
Bob Knights Paper Hands
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Bob Knights Paper Hands said:
I bought some XPS 398C to hold for lotto closers.
I closed these for $100 loss and bought a single SPX3990P for $10.50. I wish I'd bought more of these. /Darnell
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Brian Earl Spilner said:
What happened?
Selling ahead of Fed talk is my guess.
Bob Knights Paper Hands
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Just confirmed an M on the 1 hour chart. Also a RDR on SPX. is that a RDR as well on QQQ?
Well, I think I was officially wrong on every single decision I made today.
Good thing I had a great day Friday!
Good thing I had a great day Friday!
Bob Knights Paper Hands
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Hey, but SAVA, amirite?
Bob Knights Paper Hands
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Bob Knights Paper Hands said:Bob Knights Paper Hands said:
I bought some XPS 398C to hold for lotto closers.
I closed these for $100 loss and bought a single SPX3990P for $10.50. I wish I'd bought more of these. /Darnell
That closed at $35.70. I normally buy 4 or 8 contracts for trades. I didn't have enough confidence to go any more than a lotto here. Damson.
Red Pear Luke (BCS)
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I bought some QCOM $125 Dec 2nd calls that I ended up selling towards the end of the day. Didn't like the macro direction and took the slight loss and saved the funds to fight another day.CC09LawAg said:
Well, I think I was officially wrong on every single decision I made today.
Good thing I had a great day Friday!
I did buy some QRTEA $1.75C Leaps for Jan '24 - Michael Burry in his 13F filed today shows him taking a large stake. They are currently around $2.00 so I bought 2 options to control 200 shares for 1/2 the price. We will see where this one trends but I model T'd to $2.75-3 level
Well that sucked.
What a puke.
I made a hard fought $1,500 today.
I made a hard fought $1,500 today.
Bob Knights Paper Hands said:Brian Earl Spilner said:
What happened?
Selling ahead of Fed talk is my guess.
When is the next one?
I posted this on 10/28 and stuck with my 4012 level. Hopefully we can get some nice follow through to the downside overnight and into tomorrow and start a new leg downRebel_Lonestar said:I tend to agree with this. If you go back and look at the daily chart of ES, we have been seeing reversals on 0.618 fibs since December 2021, the start of the bear market. I am looking for another reversal around 3918 based on Sept. 13 high and Oct. 22 low. If we dont see a reversal there, then I am looking for 4012 as another short entry based off the high of Aug 22 and Oct 22 low.Txducker said:This is where the macro market confuses me at times. After these earnings, does the economy look better than the Oct 10 low? I would say no, but the market has gone up since then. I think I have to look at larger time frames (monthly/weekly charts) and think these are just relief/mean reversion bounces. Looking at the monthly chart vs daily/weekly gives very different interpretations and this all depends on your trading time frame (day trade vs swing vs long term investment).$30,000 Millionaire said:SF2004 said:
Four of the largest tech companies **** the bed and gave weak guidance.
Seems legit that SPY would pump.
Scam trash market.
Why do you still think this way?
Bob Knights Paper Hands
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I didn't personally verify these, but here's what I see on the internet. Barr and Waller on Wednesday would seem like the big ones IMO, assuming this is correct.
TUESDAY
PPI (YoY, MoM, Core) 8:30 AM
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index 8:30 AM
Redbook YoY 8:55 AM
Fed Cook Speech 9 AM
Fed S. Barr Testimony 10 AM
API Crude Oil Stock Exchange 4:30 PM
WEDNESDAY
MBA Mortgage & Real Estate Data 7 AM
Retail Sales 8:30 AM
Export/Import Prices 8:30 AM
Capacity Utilization 9:15 AM
Industrial Production 9:15 AM
Manufacturing Production (MoM, YoY) 9:15 AM
Fed Williams Speech 9:50 AM
Retail Inventories & Business Inventories 10 AM
NAHB Housing Market Index 10 AM
Fed S. Barr Testimony 10 AM
EIA Energy Data 10:30 AM
Fed Waller Speech 2:35 PM
Overall Neet Capital Flows 4 PM
Net Long-Term TTIC Flows 4 PM
THURSDAY
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 8:30 AM
Philly Fed Prices Paid 8:30 AM
Philly Fed Business Conditions 8:30 AM
Philly Fed Employment 8:30 AM
Initial Jobless Claims 8:30 AM
Continuing Jobless Claims 8:30 AM
Philly Fed New Orders 8:30 AM
Housing Starts 8:30 AM
Jobless Claims 4 Wk Average 8:30 AM
Buidling Permits 8:30 AM
Fed Bowman Speech 9:15 AM
EIA Energy Data 10:30 AM
Fed Jefferson Speech 10:40 AM
Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index 11 AM
Kansas Fed Composite Index 11 AM
TUESDAY
PPI (YoY, MoM, Core) 8:30 AM
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index 8:30 AM
Redbook YoY 8:55 AM
Fed Cook Speech 9 AM
Fed S. Barr Testimony 10 AM
API Crude Oil Stock Exchange 4:30 PM
WEDNESDAY
MBA Mortgage & Real Estate Data 7 AM
Retail Sales 8:30 AM
Export/Import Prices 8:30 AM
Capacity Utilization 9:15 AM
Industrial Production 9:15 AM
Manufacturing Production (MoM, YoY) 9:15 AM
Fed Williams Speech 9:50 AM
Retail Inventories & Business Inventories 10 AM
NAHB Housing Market Index 10 AM
Fed S. Barr Testimony 10 AM
EIA Energy Data 10:30 AM
Fed Waller Speech 2:35 PM
Overall Neet Capital Flows 4 PM
Net Long-Term TTIC Flows 4 PM
THURSDAY
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 8:30 AM
Philly Fed Prices Paid 8:30 AM
Philly Fed Business Conditions 8:30 AM
Philly Fed Employment 8:30 AM
Initial Jobless Claims 8:30 AM
Continuing Jobless Claims 8:30 AM
Philly Fed New Orders 8:30 AM
Housing Starts 8:30 AM
Jobless Claims 4 Wk Average 8:30 AM
Buidling Permits 8:30 AM
Fed Bowman Speech 9:15 AM
EIA Energy Data 10:30 AM
Fed Jefferson Speech 10:40 AM
Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index 11 AM
Kansas Fed Composite Index 11 AM
I am no expert when it comes to stocks but I found it interesting on where SPY is at the moment.
Near the 200 EMA at $401-$402. Hitting $400 and closing at $395 surprised me. I would think we could retest the $400 level again but there is a lot of politics that continue to happen that could cause this to shoot either way. If we get below $394.50, we could go below $390 and down. If we can hold above $400 then $405 and $410 are in play.
We have had a good bull run over the last 30 days but it's still a bear market. I think getting above $412 is a good sign for the bulls.
Near the 200 EMA at $401-$402. Hitting $400 and closing at $395 surprised me. I would think we could retest the $400 level again but there is a lot of politics that continue to happen that could cause this to shoot either way. If we get below $394.50, we could go below $390 and down. If we can hold above $400 then $405 and $410 are in play.
We have had a good bull run over the last 30 days but it's still a bear market. I think getting above $412 is a good sign for the bulls.
That was about the time NV and AZ got called (Senate).Bob Knights Paper Hands said:Brian Earl Spilner said:
What happened?
Selling ahead of Fed talk is my guess.
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