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topher06
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11:33a, 10/21/22
Bought some XOM calls at 130 for 1/20/2023 expiration. Longshot probably.
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wanderer
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11:45a, 10/21/22
C&H on SPY intraday? Might be a quick lotto if we can break 371.40ish.
(red fib levels are from 9/12 high and 10/13 low)

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wanderer
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In reply to wanderer • 11:53a, 10/21/22
and we're off....at least for now...
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Spoony Love
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In reply to wanderer • 11:57a, 10/21/22
AG
It has room to go still. I just think it is going to run out of steam
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topher06
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In reply to Spoony Love • 12:16p, 10/21/22
Spoony Love said:
It has room to go still. I just think it is going to run out of steam
May see it here soon (on the out of steam part). Hope not.
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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In reply to Brewmaster • 12:38p, 10/21/22
Thanks BREwmaster!
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topher06
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12:44p, 10/21/22
SPY is coiled.
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topher06
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1:04p, 10/21/22
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Spoony Love
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1:59p, 10/21/22
AG
Chances of an OPEX power hour? above 50%
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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2:04p, 10/21/22
My new Stetson El Jefe 5000X (black band) arrived about an hour ago. Couple more days left to wear a straw in this neck of the woods. It's my rally hat and baby it's sweet. And, it's working too!
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Brewmaster
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2:05p, 10/21/22
AG
options wise, it looks like they're loading for next week. NFLX going bonkers, but other names too.
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Brewmaster
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In reply to Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX • 2:08p, 10/21/22
AG
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:
My new Stetson El Jefe 5000X (black band) arrived about an hour ago. Couple more days left to wear a straw in this neck of the woods. It's my rally hat and baby it's sweet. And, it's working too!
mighty fine hat sir! this one?

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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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In reply to Brewmaster • 2:08p, 10/21/22
BREwmaster said:
options wise, it looks like they're loading for next week. NFLX going bonkers, but other names too.
I do believe next week to be glorious.
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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In reply to Brewmaster • 2:08p, 10/21/22
Yep, but I got the black hat band. Brother it's worth every penny.
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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In reply to Brewmaster • 2:17p, 10/21/22
That's it Hoss!
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$30,000 Millionaire
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2:27p, 10/21/22
AG
wild day IMO
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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$30,000 Millionaire
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2:28p, 10/21/22
AG
i will be surprised if they let it close up here, but let's see.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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Spoony Love
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In reply to $30,000 Millionaire • 2:31p, 10/21/22
AG
I think this is a good place to grab some puts for middle of next week.
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irish pete ag06
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2:32p, 10/21/22
AG
Jumped in on 95 Dec TLT calls. I like R:R here for a potential bounce to 100. As 30K would say it either works or it doesn't. Will cut at new low.
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BaylorSpineGuy
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In reply to irish pete ag06 • 2:41p, 10/21/22
I bought Jan 104C. Gaps galore around 100 range. And yes…close below 92 and I'm out.
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Red Pear Luke (BCS)
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2:43p, 10/21/22
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AG
The market really ran with all that Hopium of a potential 50bps rate hike in December vs 75bps.

Sheesh
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Spoony Love
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In reply to Red Pear Luke (BCS) • 2:44p, 10/21/22
AG
Next Week:
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M4 Benelli
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In reply to Red Pear Luke (BCS) • 2:46p, 10/21/22
Red Pear BCS Luke said:
The market really ran with all that Hopium of a potential 50bps rate hike in December vs 75bps.

Sheesh


Any excuse is suitable for Max Pain. I sat this one out. Honestly dont know how we can be bullish beyond Nov 8th. Perhaps Smoke n Mirrors till then.
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Brian Earl Spilner
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In reply to Red Pear Luke (BCS) • 2:51p, 10/21/22
AG
Where are you seeing that 50bps is even on the table?
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topher06
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In reply to Brian Earl Spilner • 2:53p, 10/21/22
He said for December, the November one will be 75bps
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irish pete ag06
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In reply to M4 Benelli • 2:54p, 10/21/22
AG
M4 Benelli said:
Red Pear BCS Luke said:
The market really ran with all that Hopium of a potential 50bps rate hike in December vs 75bps.

Sheesh


Any excuse is suitable for Max Pain. I sat this one out. Honestly dont know how we can be bullish beyond Nov 8th. Perhaps Smoke n Mirrors till then.


I'm a simpleton, but I think this market is due a 20% at least bear market rally.

It just needs the catalyst whether it's bull **** or not.
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Brian Earl Spilner
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In reply to topher06 • 2:54p, 10/21/22
AG
I know, but I'm still wondering why anyone thinks 50bps is on the table for December.
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Brewmaster
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In reply to BaylorSpineGuy • 3:00p, 10/21/22
AG
BaylorSpineGuy said:
I bought Jan 104C. Gaps galore around 100 range. And yes…close below 92 and I'm out.
some whale is loading January 90P's and pretty big OI too. Regardless, I think you guys get a bounce next week and TLT pays at least short term.
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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3:01p, 10/21/22
Next week.

That's what we are gonna do.

Push It!

Have a great weekend!



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$30,000 Millionaire
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3:04p, 10/21/22
AG
crazy day, not the one I expected.

glad I got mine early and got out.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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BaylorSpineGuy
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In reply to Brewmaster • 3:12p, 10/21/22
BREwmaster said:
BaylorSpineGuy said:
I bought Jan 104C. Gaps galore around 100 range. And yes…close below 92 and I'm out.
some whale is loading January 90P's and pretty big OI too. Regardless, I think you guys get a bounce next week and TLT pays at least short term.


Any way to know if those are sold puts or bought?
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irish pete ag06
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In reply to BaylorSpineGuy • 3:38p, 10/21/22
AG
In my simpleton view of flow, you can use bid or ask supposedly.

But there's also no way to know if it's a hedge or not.
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Brewmaster
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3:41p, 10/21/22
AG
yeah I was just looking for strikes that stood out to me via Bid/ Ask, but then I also looked at volume and OI.

I wouldn't sweat it, I don't think it means much yet.
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Bonfire1996
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4:19p, 10/21/22
AG
Bear markets typically don't end until the FED actually stops the constrictive monetary policy, and turns to loose money.

It's more than the signal that was delivered this morning. They have to actually pause.

In other words, this week was an amazing bull trap. A bull trap that may continue for another week until Powell breaks their hearts.
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BaylorSpineGuy
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In reply to irish pete ag06 • 5:25p, 10/21/22
irish pete ag06 said:
In my simpleton view of flow, you can use bid or ask supposedly.

But there's also no way to know if it's a hedge or not.


I'm also a simpleton hit it would make more sense to sell long dated ATM/near the money puts vs buying them?

More profit on OTM puts that are bought vs sold, no?

Moreover, why would anyone pay for 3 months of premium for a $2-3 move??
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