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25,765,648 Views | 235072 Replies | Last: 9 hrs ago by El_duderino
McInnis 03
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AG
Cheddar has been doing an honorable job of following big put or call flow on the majors (ie: SPY, IWM, QQQ) and the SPY puts have just not stopped.


Spoony Love
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AG
If you look at the SPY news on TOS, there are several bearish pointing titles: new home sales, manufacturing, etc. But there is one that Fedswaps downgraded the chance of a half point basis hike in September. I think that will cause a rally as Powell addresses inflation concerns today. But it won't stop the overall trend, just a small intraday rally is in my playbook.
Ags2013
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AG
ROKU getting demolished
Bob Knights Paper Hands
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The volume isn't that big for an opening hour, but it looks like it's all selling. Maybe cause a little panic before JPow talk to gently persuade him against hawkish announcement?
Bob Knights Paper Hands
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I just bought a couple SPX3959C again. Sell target 3930. I'll stop somewhere around 3886.
Tumble Weed
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SARK ( inverse of ARKK) may become my new favorite stock.
texagbeliever
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The Semiconductors look to be in a nice V. AMD, ON, NVDA.
Bob Knights Paper Hands
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We may just get low vol chop until JPow speaks. Can VIX get under 30 with him having a talk upcoming? I'm not sure.
Bob Knights Paper Hands
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Bob Knights Liver said:

I just bought a couple SPX3959C again. Sell target 3930. I'll stop somewhere around 3886.

I got out of these for cost (ate the fees). I think we chop or ride the 10-ema (5-min int);down.
LMCane
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$30,000 Millionaire said:

What I thought would happen then is happening now. Food and energy shortages. Out of control inflation, supply chain disruption, war. Let's see but we are going lower
you left out COVID wave 5 and monkeypox epidemic
BrokeAssAggie
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gotta hold here or another dump coming.
E
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I just watered my money tree last night... WTH is happening?!?!
Philip J Fry
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Don't worry. Powell is going to speak today and make it all better.
Jet Black
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Is he speaking during market hours? If so, I could see an upswing today and then a complete annihilation tomorrow.
XXXVII
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E said:

I just watered my money tree last night... WTH is happening?!?!


DeSantis 2024

FJB, FJB, FJB, etc
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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Gotta go. Nothing happening for me in today's market.

For the rest of you, make a lotta money today!

Song of the hour...

texagbeliever
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Rejection points:
TSLA 640
QQQ 284
MSFT 256
AAPL 138.7

All four were tested. All 4 rejected down hard.
TecRecAg
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AG
VIX HOD
Tumble Weed
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Bought more FANG ( diamondback energy) today. Also bought VNOM to pair with it as VNOM has the mineral rights.

I am researching the companies that continue to drill in the Permian Basin. Want to own the companies pumping money out of the ground.
Philip J Fry
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AG
Jet Black said:

Is he speaking during market hours? If so, I could see an upswing today and then a complete annihilation tomorrow.


Speaks in 30 minutes I think.
texagbeliever
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Pre speech breakout up.
J.P. 03
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AG
I didn't realize the speech was pre-recorded, but here's what's on the Fed website:

Quote:

12:20 p.m. Speech -- Chair Jerome H. Powell
Welcoming Remarks (via pre-recorded video)


At the National Center for American Indian Enterprise Development (NCAIED) 2022 Reservation Economic Summit, Las Vegas, Nev.
Maybe this one won't do much to move the markets after all?
Ranger222
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Rejection of the 34 MA on the 10 minute and a wick close to the days highs....not looking good currently for any momentum back up. My strategy will be to watch closer to 3 pm et if we get any type of covering on short positions to bring the market back up, similar to closing hour last Friday
$30,000 Millionaire
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very tough day. Down about $3K here.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
$30,000 Millionaire
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I'm not invincible either, folks.

You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
$30,000 Millionaire
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all things considered, I consider this a win.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
BaylorSpineGuy
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Have a look at JPM options chain. The 109P and 110P expiring in 3 days and 15 pts OTM has massive vol and OI. Nearly 3,000 vol and OI at each strike. Big dump incoming?
HoustonAg_2009
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All - What are we loading up on during these market routs? For me it's MSFT, FTNT, GOOG, UMC
BrokeAssAggie
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VIX back below $30. SPY trying to complete the motorboat
Brian Earl Spilner
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Re-bought my TQQQ at 25.50. Really hoping for a nice rally into the close today.
Jet Black
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Brian Earl Spilner said:

Re-bought my TQQQ at 25.50. Really hoping for a nice rally into the close today.


I was waiting hoping it would dip under or near $25. I think it happens eventually but not today.
irish pete ag06
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AG
BrokeAssAggie
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BrokeAssAggie said:

VIX back below $30. SPY trying to complete the motorboat
Let's go. she wants to run...
texagbeliever
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392 for SPY. This could be make or break here.
ProgN
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Bill Ackman says a more aggressive Fed or market collapse are the only ways to stop this inflation (cnbc.com)
Quote:

Billionaire hedge fund manager Bill Ackman said raging inflation will only dissipate if the Federal Reserve acts more aggressively or the market sell-off turns into a full-on collapse.

"There is no prospect for a material reduction in inflation unless the Fed aggressively raises rates, or the stock market crashes, catalyzing an economic collapse and demand destruction," Ackman said in a slew of tweets Tuesday.

The Pershing Square hedge fund manager attributed 2022s market correction to investors' lack of confidence that the central bank could squash a 40-year high in inflation. He said the market turmoil will only end if the Fed "puts a line in the sand" on soaring prices.

"If the Fed doesn't do its job, the market will do the Fed's job, and that is what is happening now," Ackman added. "The only way to stop today's raging inflation is with aggressive monetary tightening or with a collapse in the economy."
Quote:

In March 2020 during the depths of the Covid pandemic, Ackman issued a dire warning on CNBC about the health crisis, saying "hell is coming" and imploring the White House to shut down the country for a month. He made $2 billion betting against the market then.
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