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25,688,616 Views | 234926 Replies | Last: 1 hr ago by Dan Scott
FJ43
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irish pete ag06 said:

Boy... stopped myself out on that stupid wick. Had it pegged.


What is the purple highlighted area?
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

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agdaddy04
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AG
If you're okay saying, what part of SD are you in? Looked pretty bad around the Sioux Falls area.
FJ43
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FJ43 said:

FJ43 said:

I am sitting on hands here. Watch VIX at 26.81...ish

As a lotto I might go short with Wed expiry. 400P if I did on any push into 404.13-404.53 and rejection.
I should have taken a short quick scalp just below 404. 3.73 - 4.25 on the 5/20 400P

Volume isn't meaningful yet today.


Welp...these are $5.20. Didn't take the trade but it would have been the right call.
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

irish pete ag06
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AG
FJ43 said:

irish pete ag06 said:

Boy... stopped myself out on that stupid wick. Had it pegged.


What is the purple highlighted area?
It was a triangle pattern I was using from earlier in the day that I hadn't deleted yet.

ProgN
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I've been slammed today but who ****ed up the market? I'm blaming FJ.
Bob Knights Paper Hands
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Crap. As soon as I sold SPX puts and logged off it looks like we dropped. Scanning the computer for any trojan files named tiger, black rock, or bridgewater.
FJ43
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Gotcha...thanks
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

FJ43
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Brian Earl Spilner
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AG
Rally?
Charismatic Megafauna
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AG
FJ fortybear?
Charismatic Megafauna
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AG
Anything but a slumpbuster
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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May 16 (Reuters) - The amount of crude oil in the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) dropped by 5 million barrels in the week to May 13, data from the U.S. Department of Energy. The Strategic Petroleum Reserve fell to 538 million barrels, the lowest since 1987.
ProgN
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Charismatic Megafauna said:

Anything but a slumpbuster
Brian Earl Spilner
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AG
Rally ass time?
BrokeAssAggie
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here come the bulls.
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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CVX - Sold $182.50 5/27 Calls @ $1.00. If the share spread between CVX and XOM holds and CVX moves to $182.50, then XOM should be near $100 per share on 5/27. I'm not confident this will happen. I think I just made $1.00.

If XOM can move to mid 90's, I'm looking at selling $95 8/16 19 Calls @ $5.00+. I missed this move today.
$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
what a day, eeked out a gain but very difficult trading for me today.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
TecRecAg
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AG
SPY volume less than 50% of 10 day average. Doesn't exactly give me a lot of confidence.
Bob Knights Paper Hands
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I lost some, but it was minimal. I would have been good if I'd left those SPX puts to ride to profit or $0, but hope and luck isn't a good plan.
Brian Earl Spilner
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AG
Well bears shutting that down as per usual. Nothing to see here.
$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
On the bright side, I started an interactive account with $1K to learn how to use it.

I've done ok with it.

edit - realized that had user name.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
BrokeAssAggie
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that was some big buying on SPY right at the end.
$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
I traded $400K of options today to make $1K after fees.

Gross. Hopefully tomorrow is better.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
irish pete ag06
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AG
BrokeAssAggie said:

that was some big buying on SPY right at the end.
298 has been decent support since Friday on QQQ
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:

Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:

Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:

https://downloads.usda.library.cornell.edu/usda-esmis/files/8336h188j/gm80k152f/34850n40s/prog1822.pdf

Corn Planted (Selected 18 States)
5 Year Average = 15%
As of 4/24/22 = 7%
As of 4/17/22 = 4%
As of 4/24/21 = 16%

Soybean Planted (Selected 18 States)
5 Year Average = 5%
As of 4/24/22 = 3%
As of 4/17/22 = 1%
As of 4/24/21 = 7%

Behind. Keep an eye on cooler temps in upper midwest. Ground needs to be above 50 degrees to plant corn. (We had trace amounts of snow this morning, but should be 60 on Thursday.) Will be a race to get acres planted, rains in the forecast, dry conditions and ground isn't warming fast. Nearby takeaway is bullish.
https://downloads.usda.library.cornell.edu/usda-esmis/files/8336h188j/5712nb460/vt151p581/prog1922.pdf

Corn Planted (Selected 18 States)
5 Year Average = 33%
As of 5/1/22 = 14%
As of 4/24/22 = 7%
As of 5/1/21 = 42%

Soybean Planted (Selected 18 States)
5 Year Average = 15%
As of 5/1/22 = 8%
As of 4/24/22 = 3%
As of 5/1/21 = 22%

Gotta play some real catch up in the coming days.

Corn Planted (Selected 18 States)
5 Year Average = 50%
As of 5/8/22 = 22%
As of 5/1/22 = 14%
As of 5/8/21 = 64%

Soybean Planted (Selected 18 States)
5 Year Average = 24%
As of 5/8/22 = 12%
As of 5/1/22 = 8%
As of 5/8/21 = 39%

Yeah,...we are behind.
https://release.nass.usda.gov/reports/prog2122.pdf

Corn Planted (Selected 18 States)
5 Year Average = 67%
As of 5/15/22 = 49%
As of 5/8/22 = 22%
As of 5/15/21 = 78%

Soybean Planted (Selected 18 States)
5 Year Average = 39%
As of 5/15/22 = 30%
As of 5/8/22 = 12%
As of 5/15/21 = 58%

Catching up, but still behind.

Again, I'm in WEAT, CORN and SOYB, my plan is to exit the week before, the week during, or week after Memorial Day.
Charismatic Megafauna
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AG
I bought an expiring xsp 404p at 1:37 for .96, settled at 3.2!
I still think we follow this downward channel on the hourly (that just keeps confirming) until ukraine resolves and/or the fed resumes the buying spree
$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
I am going to go long TQQQ for a swing.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
BaylorSpineGuy
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Bought 2 $398P AH just now. Doji today after short rally the last couple days. Suspect we get a down day tomorrow.

Following the script!
ProgN
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$30,000 Millionaire said:

I traded $400K of options today to make $1K after fees.

Gross. Hopefully tomorrow is better.
I bet your CPA has a voodoo doll of you covered with pins.
irish pete ag06
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AG
$30,000 Millionaire said:

I am going to go long TQQQ for a swing.


You've been money on these
$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
I've taken my IBKR account from 1K to 1.3K just using 20 shares of TQQQ at a time.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
BrokeAssAggie
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$30,000 Millionaire said:

I've taken my IBKR account from 1K to 1.3K just using 20 shares of TQQQ at a time.
all purchased AH?
BaylorSpineGuy
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Is there a way to watch AH price action on a candlestick ticker on Fidelity?
irish pete ag06
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AG
As an accountability thing. I'm going to attempt to post my p&l from every day in here. I have gotten so much better at trying to pile up base hits but I've had a few relapses over the last few weeks.

I think the fear of posting a bad p&l for all to see will keep me from sizing up and holding losers. My biggest weakness that has improved a lot, but still has a tendency to creep in.

Anyways. Here's today. All QQQ 0 or 2 DTE.


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