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ProgN
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:

MOO!

TecRecAg
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AG
ooooh thats a big red candle on the 10m
Brian Earl Spilner
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AG
FJ43
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Laugh of the day bro!
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

BrokeAssAggie
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We can't bounce here it's another big leg down today.
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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Make it stop!
cageybee77
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AG
somebody is buying MBIO 100k shares at a time over the last few days (which, of course, means someone's selling them). I'm going to keep accumulating them a few shares at a time.
TecRecAg
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AG
The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result.

Posting this every day so I can read it again and again and again..

edit: Looking intraday.. VIX is somewhat retreating, SPY RSI oversold and MACD just put off a buy signal.

Somehow I still don't believe it, but a great time to scalp!
TecRecAg
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AG
BrokeAssAggie said:

We can't bounce here it's another big leg down today.
RIP the great bounce of Cinco De Mayo. Time of birth 10:25AM. Time of Death 10:40AM.
utah, get me two
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What the actual ****
djmeen95
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AG
Jet Black
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utah, get me two said:

What the actual ****


Nailed it
Post removed:
by user
cptthunder
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Im thinking we go all the way and test SPY $410 and then get a small relief bounce
This seems really crispy cooked right now
utah, get me two
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I just checked for the first time today, Was in meetings all morning. What the hell happened
ProgN
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U.S. bonds: 10-year Treasury yield surges to 3.09% (cnbc.com)

Quote:

Treasury yields rose on Thursday, erasing their losses from the previous session that were sparked by Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaling that the central bank would not take more aggressive hikes at upcoming meetings.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note rose more than 17 basis points to 3.09% at roughly 11:15 a.m. ET, hitting its highest level since 2018. The yield on the 30-year Treasury bond rose 17 basis point to 3.176%. Yields move inversely to prices and 1 basis point is equal to 0.01%.

The Fed announced it was raising its benchmark interest rate by half a percentage point on Wednesday afternoon, which marked its largest single hike since 2000, but was in line with market expectations.

The U.S. central bank also outlined its plans to start reducing its balance sheet in June.

However, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said a 75-basis-point hike was not something the Federal Open Market Committee was "actively considering." That saw the 10-year yield fall on Wednesday afternoon.

Freddie Lait, founder and CEO at Latitude Investment Management, told CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe" on Thursday that the relief rally in markets was understandable, given the concerns that a 75-basis-point rate hike could have been in the cards, especially considering recent comments from the likes of St. Louis Fed President James Bullard.

Nevertheless, Lait said the Fed was still going to continue on its hawkish path of raising rates, in order to return them to around the 3% level in the next six or seven months.

Lait said he therefore thinks that "trend is still in play and it's likely we see a continuation of the moves that we've seen year-to-date from here."
TecRecAg
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AG
utah, get me two said:

I just checked for the first time today, Was in meetings all morning. What the hell happened


Edit: Sorry for the comedy today guys. All I can do is laugh at this point.
ProgN
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TecRecAg said:

utah, get me two said:

I just checked for the first time today, Was in meetings all morning. What the hell happened


Edit: Sorry for the comedy today guys. All I can do is laugh at this point.
I have to laugh everyday regardless of what's going on.
FJ43
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FJ43 said:


Watch this. If this crosses I'm out.

Jan 16, Dec 18, Mar 20.....?




Read it however you choose to.


Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
QQQ

You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
BrokeAssAggie
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Figured we could use a laugh. Regardless what your views are, this is funny.
jamey
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AG
I'm just averaging in on QQQ, XBI and maybe a little more SOFI and will hold for a year or 2 or whatever
Dan Scott
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AG
Big volume on NIO dumping
AgOutsideAustin
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AG
Tarp is off the Yugo looking for a big ol flush.
E
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AG
Dan Scott said:

Big volume on NIO dumping


utah, get me two
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Somebody post the rally ass girl
jwhitlock3
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utah, get me two said:

Somebody post the rally ass girl
WAIT! Not yet I'm in puts lol
Bob Knights Paper Hands
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Bob Knights Liver said:

SKEW dropped way down, BTW. Closing calls to take profits at the close maybe? Or MM think we're still headed south?

Looks like I got the answer to this question.

Yoda, probably said:

Trust the SKEW. The way, it shows you, if patient.
Bob Knights Paper Hands
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utah, get me two said:

Somebody post the rally ass girl

We're going to need a bigger ass, Captain. She don't have the power!
LMCane
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finally sold entire position in one of the ARK funds after a 18% loss. which just saved me another 5% down day today.

has there ever been a family of funds which performed worse than all the ARKs over the last entire year? every pick Cathy Wood makes turns to cr@p
austinAG90
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AG
Big Risk Off Moves... From Bonds to Stocks to Credit Spreads...ALL UGLY

We have said for the last few years fade the first move after the Fed press conference and wait about 18 hours before the real trends develop... The way we see it, the big boys, call them macro hedge funds and CTA's, did not think Powell was serious enough about inflation yesterday and did not like that he took the 75 basis move off the table... Along with calling the neutral rate between 2 and 3 %... This has caused stress in the long end of the treasury curve and we are seeing steepening... But as the long bond got to our support of 3.135, it blew threw it... The risk parity players had to sell... Given the Nasdaq has some correlation to long bonds as a long duration asset, the NASDAQ was the first to falter... Down over 5%.. The NY Faang is down 6%... This brought both the Dow and the S+P to new lows... Dow down over 1200 points... So the street is viewing the Powell presser as a failure, and the lack of liquidity of the world is making it worse...

Corporate spreads are getting hit hard... IG is out 6 basis to over 84... We can easily get to 100 here on the charts...CDX HY is out 34 basis... To 464... We can see that getting to 520...

We could go on... But we were just asked when the active 10 year traded with an 80 handle... Not sure... Maybe 2018... But probably before....
Bob Knights Paper Hands
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Farmer, I opened diagonals on T, so I have 7/2023 $23calls sold and 1/2024 $23calls purchased. I'm not sure I entirely understand what happens to these calls if they expire out of the money or if they expire in the money. Obviously if expiring out of the money means they expire worthless, then I want those July calls sold to simply expire and I'll keep or sell the 1/2024 calls. If something else happens I plan to continue rolling those July calls as the expiry gets closer.
GreasenUSA
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AG
SoupNazi2001 said:

Just a friendly reminder it's a bear market. Trade accordingly. The most violent bounces occur in bear markets, but I wouldn't try to hard to anticipate them.
This really can't be said enough. If you can time the bounces and know when to take a long, don't hold for more than a day. The easiest thing to do right now is to trade to the short side. We have a long way to go before we can feel about safely taking longs for any extended period of time.
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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Bob Knights Liver said:

Farmer, I opened diagonals on T, so I have 7/2023 $23calls sold and 1/2024 $23calls purchased. I'm not sure I entirely understand what happens to these calls if they expire out of the money or if they expire in the money. Obviously if expiring out of the money means they expire worthless, then I want those July calls sold to simply expire and I'll keep or sell the 1/2024 calls. If something else happens I plan to continue rolling those July calls as the expiry gets closer.
I think you have a good position overall. I you'll end up rolling the July in a profitable manner. I think those Jan 24's will be long term keepers and you may exercise. Did you execute this yesterday?

Key dates for T to watch for share price influence -
***May 19th - I believe that's the Annual Meeting date. Pre-Meeting leaks are saying info will be really positive. Just remember, Stankey/CEO has an uncanny knack for delivering the most positive message in a most negative manner (that's no exaggeration). Their Corporate Communications Dept (if they help Stankey on messaging) should be fired immediately.
***Somewhere around June 25th-ish T will declare next dividend.
***Somewhere within the first 10 days of July will be the Ex-Eff Date and the Date of Record.
***Somewhere within the first 7 days of August will be the dividend pay date.

My last round of T share purchases was $18.88 this week.

My plan to trade into about $40K cash is not going well. My exit out of T (about a third of my position) at $19.45 was fine. My entries into XOM, MOS and BG were POORLY timed. XOM and BG I'll turn for profit. I'll likely have to hold MOS longer than wanted. I left $50K on the table, because I got in a hurry and was not patient enough. Keep moving forward.
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