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Charismatic Megafauna
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AG
That was bool sheet
FTAG 2000
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Wild guess - big money knows at some point this weekend NATO will be getting involved in Ukraine.

Ragoo
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Had a good week. Closed 0 trades for a loss. Traded very light and that helps my success. A blend of select long options and equity purchases. Follow on equity purchase that is down on paper but equity gives me time.
GreasenUSA
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Irish 2.0 said:

Ag CPA said:

Irish 2.0 said:

I'm done for the week. This market sucks. Y'all have a good one and stay out of trouble.
Put your mad money in a HYSA and go enjoy life; too many crazy things going on to trade this market right now. We will get a "tradable bottom" at some point, but we need to get more clarity from the Fed and Ukraine first.

Oh, I'm still trading this market. There are still many tradable ranges out there. I just feel a little dirty making decent change on the short side. Kind of a crisis of conscience for me to make money off of people that try to do this and don't know any better. I much prefer trading upside markets.
Trading this market is definitely like trying to squeeze blood from a turnip. Much better opportunities with the more participants a bull market brings. I completely agree this market sucks. Don't let Dan hear us say that, though!
aglaw10
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Like last week, nobody knows anything so they don't want to hold through the weekend with so much uncertainty out there.
mazag08
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Quote:

but we need to get more clarity from the Fed and Ukraine first.


Yes, the organization that printed us into 1970's economic policy is going to come save the day with their wise words.

jwhitlock3
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Ragoo said:

Had a good week. Closed 0 trades for a loss. Traded very light and that helps my success. A blend of select long options and equity purchases. Follow on equity purchase that is down on paper but equity gives me time.
Nice work, I'd have been so much better off if I had traded less this week. I even had days where I traded really well, and then gave it all back. Worst week of 2022 for me. I need to scale way back until we've left this chop.
FTAG 2000
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I need to do a better job managing the bear in me.

Had some good trades playing puts, but then would run back to the bull side in stuff as soon as things turned up for a hot minute.

Was flat for the week, left so much on the table.
Dan Scott
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among the big cap tech, only AAPL not below 200MA.
Brewmaster
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FTAG 2000 said:

Wild guess - big money knows at some point this weekend NATO will be getting involved in Ukraine.


the fear in me says we descend to 4000 or a little lower next week. The other side says this was just algos selling / pricing in an interest rate hike and we rally next week.


And I have no idea where we're headed!
Irish 2.0
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FTAG 2000 said:

Wild guess - big money knows at some point this weekend NATO will be getting involved in Ukraine.




NATO isn't starting WWIII without a direct attack on a NATO country
$30,000 Millionaire
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Spoony Love said:

$30,000 Millionaire said:

you were right.
That's a big man right there.
It is always OK to admit you're wrong.
Ragoo
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BREwmaster said:

FTAG 2000 said:

Wild guess - big money knows at some point this weekend NATO will be getting involved in Ukraine.


the fear in me says we descend to 4000 or a little lower next week. The other side says this was just algos selling / pricing in an interest rate hike and we rally next week.


And I have no idea where we're headed!
to be healthy we need 380 spy and 265 qqq, IMO. We were that far extended following the Covid run up.
$30,000 Millionaire
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It's possible we get more selling next week. It's also possible this is a bear trap.
BrokeAssAggie
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$30,000 Millionaire said:

It's possible we get more selling next week. It's also possible this is a bear trap.


All I know this has been a wild ride the last 8 weeks and the roller coaster seems to not be over anytime soon.
ryanhnc10
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Good news and bad news are one in the same - I have less money to lose going forward because I have less money
mazag08
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$30,000 Millionaire said:

It's possible we get more selling next week. It's also possible this is a bear trap.
I'm expecting fireworks for OPEX. Which direction.. IDK. Neither side has been able to wrangle control.
FTAG 2000
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Irish 2.0 said:

FTAG 2000 said:

Wild guess - big money knows at some point this weekend NATO will be getting involved in Ukraine.




NATO isn't starting WWIII without a direct attack on a NATO country
Good point. Thanks for the slap across the face. LOL.

Probably more likely that people are taking risk off going into the weekend.
Triple_Bagger
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FTAG 2000 said:

Irish 2.0 said:

FTAG 2000 said:

Wild guess - big money knows at some point this weekend NATO will be getting involved in Ukraine.




NATO isn't starting WWIII without a direct attack on a NATO country
Good point. Thanks for the slap across the face. LOL.

Probably more likely that people are taking risk off going into the weekend.
There was no volume today on the macro market. I wouldn't read too far into today's action. We're still just range bound until Putin gets taken out.
Brewmaster
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Ragoo said:

BREwmaster said:

FTAG 2000 said:

Wild guess - big money knows at some point this weekend NATO will be getting involved in Ukraine.


the fear in me says we descend to 4000 or a little lower next week. The other side says this was just algos selling / pricing in an interest rate hike and we rally next week.


And I have no idea where we're headed!
to be healthy we need 380 spy and 265 qqq, IMO. We were that far extended following the Covid run up.
What does 380 correlate to? an older trend line? I see 3900 as a solid one and then 3700 (roughly pre-covid trend/ support line and was tested and held twice after covid).before we went in lift off mode.

or is this like a 350 ema that neurosurgeons use? lol (just messing with BSG)
SF2004
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BREwmaster said:

Ragoo said:

BREwmaster said:

FTAG 2000 said:

Wild guess - big money knows at some point this weekend NATO will be getting involved in Ukraine.


the fear in me says we descend to 4000 or a little lower next week. The other side says this was just algos selling / pricing in an interest rate hike and we rally next week.


And I have no idea where we're headed!
to be healthy we need 380 spy and 265 qqq, IMO. We were that far extended following the Covid run up.
What does 380 correlate to? an older trend line? I see 3900 as a solid one and then 3700 (roughly pre-covid trend/ support line and was tested and held twice after covid).before we went in lift off mode.

or is this like a 350 ema that neurosurgeons use? lol (just messing with BSG)
380/390 (maybe 400) is where I put the market at with normalized growth pre printing fueled run up.

If you take the pre-covid level there were four rate hikes in it and it was around 360. With inflation an growth that puts a true value around 390-400ish.

Just my 2 cents... but I'm a degenerate so....

$30,000 Millionaire
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This is kind of crappy TA (in my opinion), but this is sort of what I think is going on with the S&P. I used SPY for this because I have my /ES and SPX charts completely marked up.

I think either way, this is going to resolve itself soon. I am going to bet on whichever way this resolves. I am going to keep this marked up and I hope we can revisit this in about 2 weeks.

$30,000 Millionaire
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50K account: AAL 14P closed at 14.02 but is 13.98/99 after hours. Some of us may get assigned. If you get assigned, sell covered calls ATM. I'll let you know if I get assigned.
Jet Black
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Still holding SPCE and AAL?
$30,000 Millionaire
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Jet Black said:

Still holding SPCE and AAL?
yes, I post all exits.

I know some of you all are uber bearish, but we truthfully have no idea what's going to happen.

  • AAL was $16 a week ago
  • SPCE we're down like $60 and we bought the stock down 88% from the highs. That's what you're supposed to do, right?
Jet Black
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$30,000 Millionaire said:

Jet Black said:

Still holding SPCE and AAL?
yes, I post all exits.

I know some of you all are uber bearish, but we truthfully have no idea what's going to happen.

  • AAL was $16 a week ago
  • SPCE we're down like $60 and we bought the stock down 88% from the highs. That's what you're supposed to do, right?



Appreciate it. Just wanted to make sure i didn't miss it.
$30,000 Millionaire
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We should see some of these levels next week.

Spoony Love
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I think the 4160 level is in real play early next week. If it loses that then we have 4100 coming quickly behind. That's assuming we don't get any good news over the weekend. Investors are selling off the longer all this uncertainty stays around.

I'm still looking for SPY to fill the 407 level posted by FJ a few weeks ago.
LMCane
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will be interesting to see how the markets start to perform

once we near recession levels in another few months
sts7049
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it will be interesting to see

when you stop posting
BrokeAssAggie
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sts7049 said:

it will be interesting to see

when you stop posting


BrokeAssAggie
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So I just ran into Matt Stafford in Highland Park village
Ragoo
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Are you okay?
BrokeAssAggie
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Ragoo said:

Are you okay?


I'm good. We shook hands.
planoaggie123
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BrokeAssAggie said:

So I just ran into Matt Stafford in Highland Park village


Did he ask for your autograph???
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