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BourbonAg
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BourbonAg said:

Looks like /ES is getting close to the pivot point on Woodie's Pivots. 4356.25
Bought 1 XSP 4 Mar 22 441c for $1.60 just to experiment with using pivots and practice setting my stops.
FTAG 2000
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BourbonAg said:

BourbonAg said:

Looks like /ES is getting close to the pivot point on Woodie's Pivots. 4356.25
Bought 1 XSP 4 Mar 22 441c for $1.60 just to experiment with using pivots and practice setting my stops.
VIX still rising. I bought puts.
Spoony Love
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I bet it's target is SPY 433.50 or the corresponding ES
Charismatic Megafauna
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They shaking crwd. Bought 3/18 220 calls for 4.75 as a trade
Jet Black
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FTAG 2000
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TICK in the negative for the last half hour.

VIX rising.

TRIN up to 1.4 and forming a cup and handle (not sure if technicals apply to this, but definitely cupping).
FTAG 2000
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Spoony Love said:

I bet it's target is SPY 433.50 or the corresponding ES
4340 on the /ES looks big.
Charismatic Megafauna
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Looks like sbrcy halted on fidelity now
BrokeAssAggie
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Think this is the low for the day on the Qs picking up some 3/11 $350 calls.
Bob Knights Paper Hands
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BrokeAssAggie said:

Think this is the low for the day on the Qs picking up some 3/11 $350 calls.

It could go for that 10-day at 341.9, but I agree that we're likely at or near the lows for today. What an ass kicking to watch though.
$30,000 Millionaire
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50K account: buying 1 SPY 435C at 3.35
$30,000 Millionaire
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Stop 2
FTAG 2000
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AG 2000' said:

Spoony Love said:

I bet it's target is SPY 433.50 or the corresponding ES
4340 on the /ES looks big.
$30,000 Millionaire
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moving SPY stops to $3.5.

Don't want two bad trades. Let's see what we can get.
Spoony Love
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Dang.
krosch11
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Entering a few longer dated RSX lottos.
BaylorSpineGuy
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Yeah very frustrating. Was up almost 15% within minutes but it halted.
LMCane
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Wheat moving up 7% today.

is that inflationary?

anyone buy a commodities ETF with wheat and corn?
BrokeAssAggie
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I am gluten free
Chef Elko
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Lol, what a complete disaster GRAB is. Absolutely terrible 4Q and FY21. BuT lOoK aT tHe GrOwTh MuLtIpLeS!!!1!11!!

The days of growth are over. Let's see how Russia/Ukraine shakes out over the next few months. Value stocks should absolutely thrive.
sts7049
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LMCane said:

Wheat moving up 7% today.

is that inflationary?

anyone buy a commodities ETF with wheat and corn?
why do you keep trying to provoke the same conversation over and over?
Bonfire1996
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Interest Rates:

If a private company oil embargo gets slapped on Russia, which the foundations are already in place and are beginning, the 10 year will drop through the floor. I'm thinking even to the 2/10 inversion recession signal level.

If Russia and Ukraine announce cease fire, 10 year rockets to 2.25% almost immediately.

Both will crush future earnings estimates. I'm treating yesterday like a dead cat bounce.
Spoony Love
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Odds we finish green today? I think better than 50%. Selling algos are turned off apparently.
AgEng06
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Man, I have to learn how to set stops or manage trades better. I'm making small profits with 30k's plays, but keep missing out on a lot by setting trailing stops too tight. Inevitably I get stopped and then the trade runs again.
TecRecAg
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This was me for a long time. I've gotten better but I still fall victim. When you get those 100%+ gains on some, you think they can all get there.. and they can't.
Brewmaster
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trying SPY scalps from about 4365 and TSLA next week exp from about 858
CSTXAg92
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Irish 2.0 said:

CSTXAg92 said:

mazag08 said:

Irish 2.0 said:

I don't typically do ER plays, but some SNOW volume caught my attention. 811K on the 4/14 265C. I got in at $26. Good bit of size buyers at the 3/18 315C too. This little volume candle caught my attention...

That's tempting as hell.


Can you two offer some additional perspective on what makes this attractive? Asking as I'm trying to learn. TIA.
For me it is the aggressive option flow I've seen today and that candle on the 1min chart (I never use the 1min for TA) was 171K shares. The highest 1min bar the rest of the day 47K. It is ER, so it is a crap shoot
Thanks!
CSTXAg92
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mazag08 said:

CSTXAg92 said:

mazag08 said:

Irish 2.0 said:

I don't typically do ER plays, but some SNOW volume caught my attention. 811K on the 4/14 265C. I got in at $26. Good bit of size buyers at the 3/18 315C too. This little volume candle caught my attention...

That's tempting as hell.


Can you two offer some additional perspective on what makes this attractive? Asking as I'm trying to learn. TIA.
Big volume bar that you assume is a goal post. Looking back, the next closest one in size came closer to the highs of the week with this one being closer to the lows. Meaning you had smart money potentially exit at the weekly highs and re-renter on the lows today, potentially signaling a move back up on the near horizon.

Personally, I don't play short term trades enough to feel confident about volume spikes on small candles. If I see them on hourly or daily candles then I consider jumping in.

But I'm a small pea. 30k and one of the McInnis personalities likely bought 1,000 contracts.
Thank you!
Boban
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Might be chasing but buying a little WEAT here.

Ukraine and Russia account for ~30% of the worlds wheat with planting season in 3 weeks.
jwhitlock3
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AgEng06 said:

Man, I have to learn how to set stops or manage trades better. I'm making small profits with 30k's plays, but keep missing out on a lot by setting trailing stops too tight. Inevitably I get stopped and then the trade runs again.


Some of this is position size as well I think. If your positioned small enough you're more willing to let the play work.
BourbonAg
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I have been working on this. One of the things John Carter said in Mastering the Trade (and I am sure plenty of others have said too) is most people should cut their position size in half and double the width of their stop.
$30,000 Millionaire
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LMAO, you guys see that stop run?
$30,000 Millionaire
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jwhitlock3 said:

AgEng06 said:

Man, I have to learn how to set stops or manage trades better. I'm making small profits with 30k's plays, but keep missing out on a lot by setting trailing stops too tight. Inevitably I get stopped and then the trade runs again.


Some of this is position size as well I think. If your positioned small enough you're more willing to let the play work.
we're up $4K plus. It's OK to let one trade not work. We gave QQQ a lot of room today. It didn't work. We sacrifced $200. Big whoop.
BourbonAg
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BourbonAg said:

BourbonAg said:

Looks like /ES is getting close to the pivot point on Woodie's Pivots. 4356.25
Bought 1 XSP 4 Mar 22 441c for $1.60 just to experiment with using pivots and practice setting my stops.
Out for a 25% gain.
Brian Earl Spilner
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