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aggiedaniel06
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In reply to Dan Scott • 7:23p, 2/14/22
AG
Dan Scott said:
Futures pretty active going from green to red to green and back to red again


This is a reliable trade when markets are choppy and finding a footing for price - Look for the overnight low/high print, and trade during cash session knowing it will test that overnight high/low.
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HouAg12
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7:44p, 2/14/22
AG
Thoughts on ASO?
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Philip J Fry
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In reply to FTAG 2000 • 7:55p, 2/14/22
AG
AG 2000' said:
Philip J Fry said:








Okay. Superbowl is over. Let's start the week. BBW, DHX, and TMST were good to me last week. I decided to exit BBW completely with 16%+ profit in hand. Not bad considering I only held it for a couple weeks.

I re-entered RRC, but nervous tomorrow will eat in to my profits. We'll see if history repeats itself.

SAVA is going to to something this week. It's either going to break the 200EMA and go on up to 150, or it's heading back to the lower 40s. I took a gamble after it rejected 55 hard and sold out at 51. I'm banking on the lower 40s again while phase 3 is in work. I may enter again if it breaks the 200ema.

OSTK was my one real disappointment. I violated my own rules and bought in even though it's trading below the 200ema. I'm willing to hold on to this for a long time for a 200-300% return.

I'm adding HLLY and ICD to my watch this this week.

If you're looking to short a stock, WEAT looks like it may be at the top of it's cycle. I'm personally waiting to jump back in when it falls back to 7.23
Love this.

Remind me your scanning rules you're looking for?

Here's a link to this week's sheet:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1fdm-Iyn46J6M33KLfBjzfp8xgzi6lFIdhI8agpPnkrU/edit?usp=sharing

What I filter by is

1) 5EMA>120EMA
2) M-S>0 (sometimes I make it greater than -0.01)
3) MACD-MACD (Previous Day)>0 (trying to capture momentum here)
4) AverageVolume>100000
5) Sort by ascending RSIs. Filter out anything over 50.

Sometimes I'll violate the 5EMA>120EMA rule.

From here, I just start looking at the charts for something that makes sense to buy. I don't always find them though. I'm trying to teach myself that cash is a position and if there isn't anything to buy, to hold fast.


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Brewmaster
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In reply to $30,000 Millionaire • 8:45p, 2/14/22
AG
$30,000 Millionaire said:
On $50K account:

  • TTD still OK, you can get out for cheaper if you don't want to hold through earnings
  • KO - I was worried about this when it dripped into the 50s, but now that it's closed back above $60.50, I'm a bit less worried. This is a stable company that pays a dividend. If it goes below $58, probably a cut
  • APA - sold off more than I was expecting. We sold the ATM calls for this week for over $1, so our cost basis will be around $33 if we don't get assigned this week. Also a good company, I'll be worried under $30
  • PLTR - doing exactly what we hope it will, just need to wait
  • NEM - solid day today, doing nothing on this, I want to see if this can take out $65. May consolidate for a bit. I'll think about selling calls
  • DKNG - still up on this, not the best day, but a small position. I'm not surprised it was down with the market and the super bowl being yesterday. Premium is pretty good on this, so my plan here is to keep mining it unless we go under $20/share
  • CENX - small position but this has broken out. Let's see if we can clear 19.6. This does not have weeklies, so I want this to spike before we sell calls on it. Hopefully today wasn't the spike.
TTD: as in you think it will be cheaper after earnings??
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$30,000 Millionaire
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In reply to Brewmaster • 9:02p, 2/14/22
AG
Smaller loss. I sold the 70P for $2.5ish. They're about $3 now.
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YNWA_AG
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In reply to $30,000 Millionaire • 9:05p, 2/14/22
AG
$30,000 Millionaire said:
Smaller loss. I sold the 70P for $2.5ish. They're about $3 now.

I bought back my puts friday for a 20% gain. Would you reenter the 68 for 2.5? Gives you lower entry or the same max gain.
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Ragoo
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9:07p, 2/14/22
AG
Here's to the QQQ face ripper tomorrow - the one that was happening before the fake tweet.
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cptthunder
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In reply to $30,000 Millionaire • 9:15p, 2/14/22
$30,000 Millionaire said:
On $50K account:

  • TTD still OK, you can get out for cheaper if you don't want to hold through earnings
  • KO - I was worried about this when it dripped into the 50s, but now that it's closed back above $60.50, I'm a bit less worried. This is a stable company that pays a dividend. If it goes below $58, probably a cut
  • APA - sold off more than I was expecting. We sold the ATM calls for this week for over $1, so our cost basis will be around $33 if we don't get assigned this week. Also a good company, I'll be worried under $30
  • PLTR - doing exactly what we hope it will, just need to wait
  • NEM - solid day today, doing nothing on this, I want to see if this can take out $65. May consolidate for a bit. I'll think about selling calls
  • DKNG - still up on this, not the best day, but a small position. I'm not surprised it was down with the market and the super bowl being yesterday. Premium is pretty good on this, so my plan here is to keep mining it unless we go under $20/share
  • CENX - small position but this has broken out. Let's see if we can clear 19.6. This does not have weeklies, so I want this to spike before we sell calls on it. Hopefully today wasn't the spike.


I might question the APA take there, I know they've cleaned things up in the last year but they lead the way in burning cash on trash assets for years
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$30,000 Millionaire
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In reply to YNWA_AG • 9:16p, 2/14/22
AG
YNWA_AG said:
$30,000 Millionaire said:
Smaller loss. I sold the 70P for $2.5ish. They're about $3 now.

I bought back my puts friday for a 20% gain. Would you reenter the 68 for 2.5? Gives you lower entry or the same max gain.


Yeah, probably.
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$30,000 Millionaire
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In reply to cptthunder • 9:22p, 2/14/22
AG
cptthunder said:
$30,000 Millionaire said:
On $50K account:

  • TTD still OK, you can get out for cheaper if you don't want to hold through earnings
  • KO - I was worried about this when it dripped into the 50s, but now that it's closed back above $60.50, I'm a bit less worried. This is a stable company that pays a dividend. If it goes below $58, probably a cut
  • APA - sold off more than I was expecting. We sold the ATM calls for this week for over $1, so our cost basis will be around $33 if we don't get assigned this week. Also a good company, I'll be worried under $30
  • PLTR - doing exactly what we hope it will, just need to wait
  • NEM - solid day today, doing nothing on this, I want to see if this can take out $65. May consolidate for a bit. I'll think about selling calls
  • DKNG - still up on this, not the best day, but a small position. I'm not surprised it was down with the market and the super bowl being yesterday. Premium is pretty good on this, so my plan here is to keep mining it unless we go under $20/share
  • CENX - small position but this has broken out. Let's see if we can clear 19.6. This does not have weeklies, so I want this to spike before we sell calls on it. Hopefully today wasn't the spike.


I might question the APA take there, I know they've cleaned things up in the last year but they lead the way in burning cash on trash assets for years


As an investor they look pretty good with good momentum. Earnings is next week and I think I want to be out by then (or at least buy a collar).
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cptthunder
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In reply to $30,000 Millionaire • 9:27p, 2/14/22
$30,000 Millionaire said:
cptthunder said:
$30,000 Millionaire said:
On $50K account:

  • TTD still OK, you can get out for cheaper if you don't want to hold through earnings
  • KO - I was worried about this when it dripped into the 50s, but now that it's closed back above $60.50, I'm a bit less worried. This is a stable company that pays a dividend. If it goes below $58, probably a cut
  • APA - sold off more than I was expecting. We sold the ATM calls for this week for over $1, so our cost basis will be around $33 if we don't get assigned this week. Also a good company, I'll be worried under $30
  • PLTR - doing exactly what we hope it will, just need to wait
  • NEM - solid day today, doing nothing on this, I want to see if this can take out $65. May consolidate for a bit. I'll think about selling calls
  • DKNG - still up on this, not the best day, but a small position. I'm not surprised it was down with the market and the super bowl being yesterday. Premium is pretty good on this, so my plan here is to keep mining it unless we go under $20/share
  • CENX - small position but this has broken out. Let's see if we can clear 19.6. This does not have weeklies, so I want this to spike before we sell calls on it. Hopefully today wasn't the spike.


I might question the APA take there, I know they've cleaned things up in the last year but they lead the way in burning cash on trash assets for years


As an investor they look pretty good with good momentum. Earnings is next week and I think I want to be out by then (or at least buy a collar).


Good points, it's hard for me at times to look at certain companies I probably know "too" much about as purely trades or shorter term investments
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Brewmaster
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In reply to $30,000 Millionaire • 9:43p, 2/14/22
AG
$30,000 Millionaire said:
Smaller loss. I sold the 70P for $2.5ish. They're about $3 now.
Ahhh I see, sorry you were talking put selling and I was thinking about the equity.
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Brewmaster
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In reply to Ragoo • 9:46p, 2/14/22
AG
Ragoo said:
Here's to the QQQ face ripper tomorrow - the one that was happening before the fake tweet.
Yes! I'd love a dip by 9 or so then rip faces!
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cptthunder
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10:12p, 2/14/22
It's been awhile I feel like since the best broker for this boards type of trading is
From what I can recall it's:
Fidelity: Great fills but a pain for 0DTE options
TOS: all around good platform
IBKR: best tactical platform but more advanced system that may take awhile to get used to
Robinhood: no fees but you pay for it in a different way and run far away

Am I missing anything? Thanks

Also forgot to ask about future availability
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Ragoo
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In reply to cptthunder • 10:16p, 2/14/22
AG
cptthunder said:
It's been awhile I feel like since the best broker for this boards type of trading is
From what I can recall it's:
Fidelity: Great fills but a pain for 0DTE options
TOS: all around good platform
IBKR: best tactical platform but more advanced system that may take awhile to get used to
Robinhood: no fees but you pay for it in a different way and run far away

Am I missing anything? Thanks
i have never been able to understand TOS desktop platform. I can see charts and studies just fine but for the life of me cannot figure out how to execute trades. Their mobile app is great though and easy to execute trades.
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Charismatic Megafauna
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10:19p, 2/14/22
AG
I regularly place the same trade in td and fidelity and consistently get better fills with fidelity. That said, it's annoying that i can't place 0dte options trades on it (including selling expiring puts) and i like the td/tos interface a lot better
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Charismatic Megafauna
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In reply to Ragoo • 10:20p, 2/14/22
AG
Yeah i keep td desktop open in one window and tos open in another and place trades on desktop then hear the ding in tos when they fill
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McInnis 03
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4:19a, 2/15/22
AG
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Charismatic Megafauna
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In reply to McInnis 03 • 4:55a, 2/15/22
AG
What's got 2 thumbs and bought weekly spy calls yesterday?
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sts7049
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5:42a, 2/15/22
AG
not the guy that bought a SPY put hedge
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Bob Knights Paper Hands
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In reply to Charismatic Megafauna • 6:06a, 2/15/22
Charismatic Megafauna said:
What's got 2 thumbs and bought weekly spy calls yesterday?

Bob did.

If these turn out how it looks like they will, during the euphoria I'm going to use some of the profits to buy put hedges for next week.


Change the bunny to "Ukraine". Stolen from rocky the dog
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gougler08
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6:08a, 2/15/22
AG
So do we think that this was a Biden mastermind in calling out Putin publicly and causing him to backoff, or were was Biden just dead wrong the whole time?
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McInnis 03
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In reply to gougler08 • 6:12a, 2/15/22
AG
gougler08 said:
So do we think that this was a Biden mastermind in calling out Putin publicly and causing him to backoff, or were was Biden just dead wrong the whole time?


Whatever it is, the play is making Olaf Schultz look like a hero and usa a zero
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Bob Knights Paper Hands
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In reply to gougler08 • 6:26a, 2/15/22
gougler08 said:
So do we think that this was a Biden mastermind in calling out Putin publicly and causing him to backoff, or were was Biden just dead wrong the whole time?

These are the same media outlets that 12 hours ago couldn't pump out "Russia will invade on Wednesday" stories fast enough. I honestly don't think this makes an invasion any more or less likely than before I read that story. All FOS.

Market-wise I think we get back to our regularly scheduled OPEX week and then see how the markets stomach inflation, rare hikes, Fed trimming, etc. That's if Russia and China don't invade.
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In reply to Charismatic Megafauna • 6:44a, 2/15/22
Saltyag15
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6:54a, 2/15/22
AG
I've started to adopt the "don't catch a falling knife" mentality, and it has saved me from making some bad decisions, especially in January. However, the market reacts so hard and fast these days to news that you can miss out on some great deals if you don't buy when things look doom and gloom. Damned if you do, damned if you don't!
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BaylorSpineGuy
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6:55a, 2/15/22
This just feels like institutional money luring in retail to rug pull soon. I can't get a real sense for anything.

So much misdirection.
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austinAG90
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7:21a, 2/15/22
AG
Russia Blinks...Risk On...Stocks Soar to Overnight Highs 3am...Bonds slump

The roller-coaster of Ukraine and Russia continues... Markets took a dive yesterday when the sarcasm of the Ukrainian President, saying that Russia would invade tomorrow, was taken as a given rather than how he, a former comedian, meant it... Nonetheless at 3 am there were multiple reports that the Southern and Western Armies of Russia were reporting back to their barracks... S+P started to rally and are at near overnight highs, up 70 points... Similarly the Dow is up over 400 and Nasdaq up over 300. Corporate spreads are tighter by over 10 in CDX HY....European equities are up about 2%... Overnight Chinese equities were up over 1% as the Chinese Central bank continues to ease... The PBOC pumped in cash via policy loans for the second straight month.

Rates... As the risk on started the selloff of FTQ assets reversed.. European 10 years are back by 2 basis, remember they were closed when treasuries rallied at the end of the day yesterday... US rates are higher and steeper with 2/3 only higher by 1.5 basis while 10/20/30 are back by 4.6 basis...

Fed... Bullard tried to double down with his 100 basis by July talk, but he has not been backed up by anyone and the time for an inter-meeting has passed with the Fed Normal Board meeting yesterday...Rate hikes remain closer to 7 than 6 for year end, but we are not wavering from 4... And we think the market is way ahead of a plodding Fed... If the Fed was going to be as aggressive on rates that many project, would you not think they would have ended QE?... We see no Fed speakers today and the next event is the FOMC minutes tomorrow, where we will look for clues...The NYT has an article today " FEDERAL RESERVE OFFICIALS CALL FOR A MEASURED RESPONSE TO INFLATION...the article did not say anything new that we did not hit yesterday... But we think the big boys have it wrong and are too aggressive...

Inflation..PPI is supposed to drop from 9.7 to 9.1 today for YOY...things are changing so fast that the information is already old... The SF Fed put out a report on the soaring rents and inflation ""the extraordinarily large increases in two leading indicators of future rent inflationasking rent inflation and house price inflationpoint to significant upside risks to the overall inflation outlook. The potential increases are particularly significant for CPI inflation, which places a larger weight on shelter costs." FRBSF

Bank America Survey... Reuters put out a report on the latest Bank of America survey at 4.40 am BOFA SURVEY

BOFA: ONLY 30% INVESTORS EXPECT AN EQUITY BEAR MARKET IN 2022; 41% OF INVESTORS EXPECT FLATTER YIELD CURVE, HIGHEST SINCE FEB 2005

RUSSIA-UKRAINE TENSIONS IS 5TH BIGGEST "TAIL RISK" FOR MARKETS; HAWKISH CENTRAL BANKS REMAIN TOP RISK

BOFA FEB INVESTOR SURVEY: BIGGEST UNDERWEIGHT POSITION OF TECH SINCE AUG 2006

BOFA SURVEY: CASH LEVELS JUMP TO 5.3%, HIGHEST SINCE MAY 2020; BANKS REMAIN TOP GLOBAL SECTOR OVERWEIGHT FOR VALUE

Rtrs


Outlook...we do not want to repeat anything we wrote yesterday so here is what we are thinking... Still think rates are going higher, but we are not convinced this is the big back up and that Central Banks are still going to manipulate rates to where they want them rather than where they should go... Looking at the chart of the ETF TLT, we can see support around 134.25... Which would equate with a long bond yield of 2.44... We can see 10 years more in line with 2.20... And 5 years slightly above 2%... But if the street is right as to what they expect in inflation and rate rises, then these will not be the levels that hold...Meanwhile BOFA said that they think the worst of the this years selloff in Munis might already be over.

Equities... The biggest tech underweight of 16 years tells us that the bottom of the Nasdaq may be in... And with plenty of money on the sidelines and our idea that the Fed will be going slow, we think the bottom of the S+P is probably not far away... But it is way too early. So enjoy the big upside move in equities today, it could reverse at any time...as Rick Rieder said over the weekend, the top cut of liquidity in equities is at times only 1-2 million rather than the 10-20 times higher he has seen over the years.
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Max Stonetrail
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7:22a, 2/15/22
Turnaround Tuesday!
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$30,000 Millionaire
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7:28a, 2/15/22
AG
I don't know what to think about this move. Not sure I trust the news yet.
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gougler08
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7:29a, 2/15/22
AG
I think it was Mancini that said even with all this volatility over the last 2-3 weeks, it's just been rangebound trading. This doesn't really change that, just continues the big swings
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McInnis 03
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7:29a, 2/15/22
AG
Cross your fingers for me. MGI getting bought for $1Bn. I'm long leaps.

update: damn. $11/share. My leaps are $15c
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Red Pear Luke (BCS)
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7:31a, 2/15/22
Sponsor
AG
PPI is up 1% month over month. Way above estimates of 0.5%. Year over year is 9.8%
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Spoony Love
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7:58a, 2/15/22
AG
I'm thinking SPY to $450 as that has been a target lately. Maybe not today but outside of any other news we could see that by end of week. Not jumping in blindly though.
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TecRecAg
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8:20a, 2/15/22
AG
Missed MTTR on the big run up to $37. Feel like it's on sale right now. Going long at open with shares and will look to sell CCs where advantageous.
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