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24,768,320 Views | 233469 Replies | Last: 21 min ago by confucius_ag
$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
I will be curious to see how this plays out. We did not get the june dip. Will we get the July dip?

You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
khkman22
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AG
zwhag2010 said:

Do I see a W on the daily for AAPL?

Looks more Bactrian to me, but I'll let McInnis confirm.
$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
I think for the near-term, there is very little realistic chance of the S&P trading below 4180 without a major reversal and/or black swan type of event. The S&P has not traded below -2 ATR at any point in the last year.



You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
Bob Knights Paper Hands
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Wait, so now you're feeling bullish?
Bob Knights Paper Hands
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$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
We are caught between two major weekly trendlines dating back several years, each of which has strong support and resistance. I think it is possible we are range bound for a while. We entered this megaphone in March and we have established into it, with two backtests that could not successfully break down. The most we have sold off in a multi-day dip is about 300 points on average, so the worst worst case is probably a 4000 test.

Might be a long time before we see a 3XXX trade without a catalyst.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
Tomas Hermensa said:

Wait, so now you're feeling bullish?
I think the current move is low volume melt-up and there will need to be some consolidation, but we probably consolidate flat to slightly down based on the price action. I wouldn't believe any move is serious to the downside without a daily close below 4248. I don't think there is a ton of upside either without a catalyst.

Fed still printing like mad, Biden policies are market friendly.

Could there be a rug pull - of course, but I think the "fed iron condor" is now in effect (fed put + fed call).

TL;DR I was probably wrong about early summer weakness.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
look at these tests of the megaphone.

You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
lobwedgephil
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TheCellarDoor said:



Redler has been banging the small cap breakout drum and now Mancini sees the same thing. IWM calls may pay.
They bought 8 million in August 219P a few days ago.
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FJ43
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Morning!

Mostly green around the horn......



Nonfarm payrolls out this morning at 8:30. We'll see if it has any impact on today's trading but not much seems to impact the machine at the moment.

Do we continue the melt up more without and back tests on SPY?
Did Qs consolidate enough the last 3 days to make another move yet?
Is today the day for the Russell to breakout?

All I know is its lotto Friday......let's try and find one or two.



Trade wisely!



FJ43
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Lotto Friday


Just some quick reminders should a lotto or two present themselves today....

I will have identified a few potential ones as well as get them from subscription feeds throughout the day.

  • These are for fun most of all.
  • I'll post as quick as I can should they trigger or sometimes I will front run if I like the price action.
  • Please at least take a quick look at the chart vs. hitting buy or blindly jumping in the deep end.
  • They will be today's expiration unless otherwise stated.
  • They can move quick for or against you.
  • Manage the trade in and out to your own risk.
  • Greed kills great lunch money.
  • Play small and please don't let it ruin your day or week if you play at all.
  • And last but not least these are usually hero or zero.

Trade wisely...well sort of.

FJ43
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Redler sends these out on Premium each Friday. Always great watches to get motivated. Especially if you're having a rough go or bad week. About 8 min from Motiveristy.

FJ43
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ROKU - possible lotto

Keep an eye on ROKU opening.

If confirms yesterdays low within the first 15 could be a lotto play back to yesterday's intraday MT.

440C are about $2.75 for a play back to MT of yesterday around 446.50

Loses 431.30 and I think she is done for the day for me.
Charismatic Megafauna
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AG
Off work today. Let's lotto!
Edit: but daycare is closed and i shocked the pool yesterday, so lottos may be all i have time for!
FJ43
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NRD09 said:

Off work today. Let's lotto!
Edit: but daycare is closed and i shocked the pool yesterday, so lottos may be all i have time for!
If payroll is a lot lower than what the street thinks then tech could have a day. I'll be looking for those that showed any weakness yesterday for rebounds today.

I think the payroll report will help decide.

wanderer
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Mornin gents.

I'm usually not very good at spotting candles, but looks like FTCH put in a big green hammer yesterday.
FJ43
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APPL could be a fun quick lotto today. Any flash down then back to 137.80+

138 & 9s could be a play with that scenario.
Charismatic Megafauna
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NRD09 said:

Mrin has potential too

Mrin looking good so far this morning!
FJ43
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NRD09 said:

NRD09 said:

Mrin has potential too

Mrin looking good so far this morning!
No options
Charismatic Megafauna
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FJ43 said:

NRD09 said:

NRD09 said:

Mrin has potential too

Mrin looking good so far this morning!
No options

Sorry... didn't mean as a lotto. I bought some shares yesterday
oldarmy1
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AG
McInnis 03
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AG
NASDAQ FUTURES 14600
FJ43
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oldarmy1 said:


OA unless I am doing something wrong it is defaulting to donate the fund goal of $7,500 as a fixed amount. Can't seem to enter a donation amount?
cisgenderedAggie
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$30,000 Millionaire said:

Tomas Hermensa said:

Wait, so now you're feeling bullish?
I think the current move is low volume melt-up and there will need to be some consolidation, but we probably consolidate flat to slightly down based on the price action. I wouldn't believe any move is serious to the downside without a daily close below 4248. I don't think there is a ton of upside either without a catalyst.

Fed still printing like mad, Biden policies are market friendly.

Could there be a rug pull - of course, but I think the "fed iron condor" is now in effect (fed put + fed call).

TL;DR I was probably wrong about early summer weakness.


So is it time to start putting cash back in?
BrokeAssAggie
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ABNB to $160 todaylet's go!
oldarmy1
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AG
FJ43 said:

oldarmy1 said:


OA unless I am doing something wrong it is defaulting to donate the fund goal of $7,500 as a fixed amount. Can't seem to enter a donation amount?


Let me have them fix it. Hey, you just go ahead and hit that $7500 in the meantime.
FJ43
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U.S. added 850,000 jobs in June, vs 706,000 estimate
Agvet12
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AG
FJ43 said:

U.S. added 850,000 jobs in June, vs 706,000 estimate


Is this the revised or is that next week? When it comes in at 650k actual a
FJ43
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Agvet12 said:

FJ43 said:

U.S. added 850,000 jobs in June, vs 706,000 estimate


Is this the revised or is that next week? When it comes in at 650k actual a
Its probably half
McInnis 03
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AG
low volume meltup friday theme again?
Agvet12
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FJ43 said:

Agvet12 said:

FJ43 said:

U.S. added 850,000 jobs in June, vs 706,000 estimate


Is this the revised or is that next week? When it comes in at 650k actual a
Its probably half


Probably all those blue states adding welfare as jobs

But enough of politics lol - let's hear those lottos ideas (other than the ones previously posted)
LOYAL AG
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AG
$30,000 Millionaire said:

Tomas Hermensa said:

Wait, so now you're feeling bullish?
I think the current move is low volume melt-up and there will need to be some consolidation, but we probably consolidate flat to slightly down based on the price action. I wouldn't believe any move is serious to the downside without a daily close below 4248. I don't think there is a ton of upside either without a catalyst.

Fed still printing like mad, Biden policies are market friendly.

Could there be a rug pull - of course, but I think the "fed iron condor" is now in effect (fed put + fed call).

TL;DR I was probably wrong about early summer weakness.


IIRC Mancini has been calling for 4370 before a pull back. Volume seems to suggest we're losing steam although it's worth noting that heading into a holiday weekend volume is always low. Still inclined to follow Mancini's lead til it's proven wrong.
$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
Yeah, I'm kind of pissed off at myself, but I am going to wait.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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