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FJ43
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Ragoo
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AG
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:

Ragoo said:

CrazyRichAggie said:

Ay yes. Makes sense.
I put an alert at $16 to begin shorting 100 shares at a time to capture a double. If we get there.
If you're shorting at $16 I guess the twitter post (pages back) of going to $100 and then a $1,000 has no merit, no?
i am in the weekly $14c at a little over $1. Shorting 100 shares captures profit on 1 call contract. I wouldn't short the full lot at $16.

Further more the expectation when shorting the AH move is that it fades into the open and you cover before the market opens.
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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Got it! Thx!
trip98
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:

T - taken to the woodshed today (...and tonight).

Started out fine this morning. Day Range $31.24 to $33.88.

Extended Hours hits $30.04.

What a ride.
no doubt....I got in at 27.77 which was a nice 7.5% dividend. Now looking at 3% after the cut. Which if you're an old income investor may not be a bad thing.
I'm debating selling. At current price 30.17 that's an 8.6% return plus the little dividends I've received within the last year. Not a big return but not bad either.
I dunno....maybe this bodes well for them long term.
$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:

T - taken to the woodshed today (...and tonight).

Started out fine this morning. Day Range $31.24 to $33.88.

Extended Hours hits $30.04.

What a ride.
I tried to tell ya
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
FJ43
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McInnis 03
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AG
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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$30,000 Millionaire said:

Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:

T - taken to the woodshed today (...and tonight).

Started out fine this morning. Day Range $31.24 to $33.88.

Extended Hours hits $30.04.

What a ride.
I tried to tell ya
Yes sir, I know. You did indeed.

FJ43
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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trip98 said:

Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:

T - taken to the woodshed today (...and tonight).

Started out fine this morning. Day Range $31.24 to $33.88.

Extended Hours hits $30.04.

What a ride.
no doubt....I got in at 27.77 which was a nice 7.5% dividend. Now looking at 3% after the cut. Which if you're an old income investor may not be a bad thing.
I'm debating selling. At current price 30.17 that's an 8.6% return plus the little dividends I've received within the last year. Not a big return but not bad either.
I dunno....maybe this bodes well for them long term.
Yep, I am having the same debate in my mind. There are some better payors out there, but the share prices on those have a wide range. T is pretty stable in share price and I am okay with that even at 3%. I know it was announced as a ~50% dividend haircut; however, from what I read the 52 cents per share per quarter holds through the calendar year. Not sure if that is correct. The Warner Media/Discovery deal isn't finalized until 1st or 2nd Qtr 2022. I may hang on to ownership to see this play out. T reacts more like a bond over the past couple years. If we have a pull back in June, T may be a nice reward. I wasn't expecting the dividend cut announcement today....dang it.
Ornithopter
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AG
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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cptthunder said:

Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:

cptthunder - did not connect withmy bud on Sunday. Looking to connect today.
Thanks for the heads up, really appreciate it
Talked to my bud. He had no comments on IPI or potash. He did not believe the price fixing/counter vale duty applied to more than phosphorus/phosphates.

I'm am going to wait until June to see if the market pulls back. Somewhere between Now and July 2021 I'll be establishing a position in MOS. It will likely be a 2 to 3 year hold with expected positive performance along the way.
$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
I think the question to ask is why would AT&T fare better with integrating Discovery than they did with Time Warner, DirecTV, and tons of other businesses that they've bought.

The SBC / AT&T and Bell South acquisitions made sense for access to their assets, Cingular in particular. I don't think they've exactly crushed it with the IusaCell assets in Mexico.

What should speak volumes is that when they acquire companies, the former CEOs and executives can't get out of the place fast enough.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
cmk10
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AG

Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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$30,000 Millionaire said:

I think the question to ask is why would AT&T fare better with integrating Discovery than they did with Time Warner, DirecTV, and tons of other businesses that they've bought.

The SBC / AT&T and Bell South acquisitions made sense for access to their assets, Cingular in particular. I don't think they've exactly crushed it with the IusaCell assets in Mexico.

What should speak volumes is that when they acquire companies, the former CEOs and executives can't get out of the place fast enough.
It read to me that the integration is a separate company and AT&T will own 71% while Discovery owns 29%. I can't answer the question(s) on their integration success or failure, but if the current AT&T leadership team can't, or don't want to, make a go of Warner Media within the AT&T structure; then spinning it out is a better option to see if that business can be successful versus selling it. At least they're giving it a chance to survive on its own.

I am not taking up for AT&T leadership (especially per what you relayed to me) but a sound team would do the above if they aren't comfortable with business diversification.

Personal Opinion,...based on what you conveyed to me about T's leadership and my experience with similar leadership teams, current leadership knows the old business is a money making machine and want the old business to function as it always has so they keep their Exec roles, and no boat rocking. That leadership team doesn't want a Warner Media distraction to explain at the earnings call or to the rest of the employees. They deemed it necessary to distance themselves from Warner Media and the former AT&T CEO regime. Sounds like this leadership group wants back to basics, because they're smart enough to know that the old model works, regardless if growing shareholder value is achieved.

I'm interested to see who the new CEO will be for the Warner Media/Discovery company, could be a "yes man" for the current AT&T leadership group. However, if this CEO is motivated and a go-getter, that person just may embarrass the AT&T leadership for spinning it out and expose those who inhabit the C-Suite in AT&T. Political temperatures will be a measured daily. Either way, success or failure of the new company, the current leadership group has a message scripted for how it plays out. Leadership selling that message to the public, shareholder, and market, will be the deal maker or breaker.

$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:

$30,000 Millionaire said:

I think the question to ask is why would AT&T fare better with integrating Discovery than they did with Time Warner, DirecTV, and tons of other businesses that they've bought.

The SBC / AT&T and Bell South acquisitions made sense for access to their assets, Cingular in particular. I don't think they've exactly crushed it with the IusaCell assets in Mexico.

What should speak volumes is that when they acquire companies, the former CEOs and executives can't get out of the place fast enough.
It read to me that the integration is a separate company and AT&T will own 71% while Discovery owns 29%. I can't answer the question(s) on their integration success or failure, but if the current AT&T leadership team can't, or don't want to, make a go of Warner Media within the AT&T structure; then spinning it out is a better option to see if that business can be successful versus selling it. At least they're giving it a chance to survive on its own.

I am not taking up for AT&T leadership (especially per what you relayed to me) but a sound team would do the above if they aren't comfortable with business diversification.

Personal Opinion,...based on what you conveyed to me about T's leadership and my experience with similar leadership teams, current leadership knows the old business is a money making machine and want the old business to function as it always has so they keep their Exec roles, and no boat rocking. That leadership team doesn't want a Warner Media distraction to explain at the earnings call or to the rest of the employees. They deemed it necessary to distance themselves from Warner Media and the former AT&T CEO regime. Sounds like this leadership group wants back to basics, because they're smart enough to know that the old model works, regardless if growing shareholder value is achieved.

I'm interested to see who the new CEO will be for the Warner Media/Discovery company, could be a "yes man" for the current AT&T leadership group. However, if this CEO is motivated and a go-getter, that person just may embarrass the AT&T leadership for spinning it out and expose those who inhabit the C-Suite in AT&T. Political temperatures will be a measured daily. Either way, success or failure of the new company, the current leadership group has a message scripted for how it plays out. Leadership selling that message to the public, shareholder, and market, will be the deal maker or breaker.




Great post. I hope they're successful for their sake. It's an American institution.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
OKC~Ag
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:

$30,000 Millionaire said:

I think the question to ask is why would AT&T fare better with integrating Discovery than they did with Time Warner, DirecTV, and tons of other businesses that they've bought.

The SBC / AT&T and Bell South acquisitions made sense for access to their assets, Cingular in particular. I don't think they've exactly crushed it with the IusaCell assets in Mexico.

What should speak volumes is that when they acquire companies, the former CEOs and executives can't get out of the place fast enough.
It read to me that the integration is a separate company and AT&T will own 71% while Discovery owns 29%. I can't answer the question(s) on their integration success or failure, but if the current AT&T leadership team can't, or don't want to, make a go of Warner Media within the AT&T structure; then spinning it out is a better option to see if that business can be successful versus selling it. At least they're giving it a chance to survive on its own.

I am not taking up for AT&T leadership (especially per what you relayed to me) but a sound team would do the above if they aren't comfortable with business diversification.

Personal Opinion,...based on what you conveyed to me about T's leadership and my experience with similar leadership teams, current leadership knows the old business is a money making machine and want the old business to function as it always has so they keep their Exec roles, and no boat rocking. That leadership team doesn't want a Warner Media distraction to explain at the earnings call or to the rest of the employees. They deemed it necessary to distance themselves from Warner Media and the former AT&T CEO regime. Sounds like this leadership group wants back to basics, because they're smart enough to know that the old model works, regardless if growing shareholder value is achieved.

I'm interested to see who the new CEO will be for the Warner Media/Discovery company, could be a "yes man" for the current AT&T leadership group. However, if this CEO is motivated and a go-getter, that person just may embarrass the AT&T leadership for spinning it out and expose those who inhabit the C-Suite in AT&T. Political temperatures will be a measured daily. Either way, success or failure of the new company, the current leadership group has a message scripted for how it plays out. Leadership selling that message to the public, shareholder, and market, will be the deal maker or breaker.


Zaslav will be the new CEO combined enterprise. Zaslav is the current CEO of Discovery.

Truly criminal destruction of capital at the hands of a couple of bad AT&T CEO...
Buys Direct TV for 48.5 $Billion and sell years later for $16 B
Buys Times Warner for 85$Billion and spins out for 46$Billion
Attempts to buy T mobile, fails and AT&T pays T mobile 5$Billion in fee and spectrum for failed merger...Years later T mobile usurp 2nd mobile rank from AT&T after the sprint merger...

Stankey, current CEO of AT&T was lieutenant to the previous CEO, Stephenson. Stephenson was a dumb-ass OU grad. *effing Stephenson

Yea, a bunch of shmucks


post rant...Zaslav may not be a shmuck
FJ43
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Morning!

Futures up this morning.
ES at 4174.25
NQ at 13,410
SPY opening up at 417.08
Qs opening at 327
VIX down to 19.08
SKEW at 138.35

SPY - Would love to see a test of the trend line around 415.70s and bounce to confirm and hold above 417.50. Think 418.50 could be some resistance. Back to 414 and I suspect we remain in chop or consolidation as long as 414 holds.

Qs - Holding above 326 would get us moving. Resistance 328.30s then 330.
FWIW Qs are opening sitting on top of the downtrend line. Breakout here of the downtrend would do us some good.

My plan A is to the long side today. I enter today with weekly SPY 418C bought on yesterday's move off 414. Will remain flexible to trade any downside.

AMC call holders. Currently at $15.34. Those 14c should pay nicely if you took the trade.

Don't know about you but would love to get some momentum and get out of the jungle battle.

Trade wisely!



FJ43
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AMC

$15.34 early PM.

Think the weekly 14c will open at $1.75+ from $1.11 entry. Should this gap up hold and get any push at open, I will scale out to runners only.
ProgN
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Home Depot crushes estimates, its sales jump 32.7% as customers rang up bigger purchases

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/05/18/home-depot-hd-q1-2021-earnings.html?__source=iosappshare%7Ccom.apple.UIKit.activity.CopyToPasteboard
FJ43
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KIQ

Maybe watch this little guy.

Currently at $0.695

  • Opening above two downtrend lines.
  • Coming off a bottom.
  • SAR may be cross over
  • MACD possible cross.
  • Resistance at about $0.76 then $0.79/.80 which is also the 50 & 100 EMAs

Could be a play back to $0.90+ which is MT.

Just need some volume.






jimmo
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BrokeAssAggie
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ibdm98
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AG
Big jump off that news
Ccutamu
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$ONTX rocket! Up 30% PM.
BrokeAssAggie
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ibdm98 said:

Big jump off that news


Think this gap gets filled and we see $145 today.
BrokeAssAggie
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McInnis 03
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Ccutamu said:

$ONTX rocket! Up 30% PM.


ABOUT TIME!
McInnis 03
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Ccutamu said:

$ONTX rocket! Up 30% PM.


Guggenheim initiates coverage at $4
gougler08
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McInnis 03 said:

Ccutamu said:

$ONTX rocket! Up 30% PM.


Guggenheim initiates coverage at $4
My 28k shares wouldn't mind seeing $4
BrokeAssAggie
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Rice and Fries
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gougler08 said:

McInnis 03 said:

Ccutamu said:

$ONTX rocket! Up 30% PM.


Guggenheim initiates coverage at $4
My 28k shares wouldn't mind seeing $4
Brewmaster
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gougler08 said:

McInnis 03 said:

Ccutamu said:

$ONTX rocket! Up 30% PM.


Guggenheim initiates coverage at $4
My 28k shares wouldn't mind seeing $4
congrats ONTX holders! I missed my last buy in could gap up and go from here. Looks like above .80 could see 1.20's. Give me a little model T pullback first so I can sneak in
gougler08
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Rice and Fries said:

gougler08 said:

McInnis 03 said:

Ccutamu said:

$ONTX rocket! Up 30% PM.


Guggenheim initiates coverage at $4
My 28k shares wouldn't mind seeing $4

McInnis 03
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CrazyRichAggie said:


AMC just did y'all dirty, offer announced.
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