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FTAG 2000
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AG
Ragoo said:

wanderer said:

Ragoo said:

$30,000 Millionaire said:

also going to short wayfair. the premium is so high that you either need to use shares, sell call credits or use a put debit spread.
$MARA 5/21 $35/$20 put credit spread is stupid money IMO
Why even mess with a spread when selling a May $20p only gains you .50?
you sell the $35 and buy the $20.
Can you unpack this trade in more detail please?
FJ43
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$30,000 Millionaire said:

Crappy stocks update:

  • BTWN solid close, hoping it can work its way back to the mean
  • ASAN confirmed reversal, at last. it broke that descending trend line, hoping to ease out at 30.50
  • UPWK back at mean, breakout
  • OPEN weird butterfly doji, still in descending channel
  • MU earnings beat and up AH. let's see what happens



  • Love your title to this update each day.
    jwhitlock3
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    UAVS with a huge move A/H
    Ragoo
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    AG
    AG 2000' said:

    Ragoo said:

    wanderer said:

    Ragoo said:

    $30,000 Millionaire said:

    also going to short wayfair. the premium is so high that you either need to use shares, sell call credits or use a put debit spread.
    $MARA 5/21 $35/$20 put credit spread is stupid money IMO
    Why even mess with a spread when selling a May $20p only gains you .50?
    you sell the $35 and buy the $20.
    Can you unpack this trade in more detail please?

    Jet Black
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    Brewmaster
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    AG
    AG 2000' said:

    Ragoo said:

    wanderer said:

    Ragoo said:

    $30,000 Millionaire said:

    also going to short wayfair. the premium is so high that you either need to use shares, sell call credits or use a put debit spread.
    $MARA 5/21 $35/$20 put credit spread is stupid money IMO
    Why even mess with a spread when selling a May $20p only gains you .50?
    you sell the $35 and buy the $20.
    Can you unpack this trade in more detail please?
    He's selling the 35P and buying the 20P, so net credit (in this case put credit spread). So the 35P closed at 4.10 and the 20P around .50. So he gets 3.60 credited to him. He keeps it all IF MARA closes above 35 on May 21st. He can also close the position before expiration for a nice gain if MARA is well above 35. Say MARA is 50 on May 7th, the 35P and 20P won't be worth much. He can buy back the 35P and sell the 20P for peanuts.
    ag94whoop
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    AG
    $30,000 Millionaire said:

    ag94whoop said:

    was today the last bull day for a while or is there a decent chance this continues into tomorrow?

    today was quarter end. let's see what tomorrow brings. are you bearish?
    feels that way. I have no indicators other the fact I have had two days in a row of slight recovery and the last 5 weeks I only had one stretch of over 2 good days. So just gut feeling. Hope I am wrong.

    McInnis 03
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    AG
    AG 2000' said:

    Ragoo said:

    wanderer said:

    Ragoo said:

    $30,000 Millionaire said:

    also going to short wayfair. the premium is so high that you either need to use shares, sell call credits or use a put debit spread.
    $MARA 5/21 $35/$20 put credit spread is stupid money IMO
    Why even mess with a spread when selling a May $20p only gains you .50?
    you sell the $35 and buy the $20.
    Can you unpack this trade in more detail please?
    Forgive me for jumping in to answer but I think I can detail this one....

    A put credit spread is a BULLISH play on an equity. In this case, MARA is trading at $47-$48......the trade in question is a SALE of the $35p and a BUY of the $20p. This trade is put on for a CREDIT, meaning you'll take money INTO your account to step into this position.

    Part 1) The sale of the $35p makes you short the put and the cash to secure this transaction is $3500 per contract. On this play you're hoping that the equity stays ABOVE $35 at time of expiration.

    Part 2) The purchase of the $20p gives you protection from something severe happening......also lessens your cash burden. By purchasing the $20p, you take $2000 away from your responsibility per contract at a cost of (in this case) only $.50. So for $50 your buying power increases by $2000. Also, if something catastrophic were to happen to the stock, say it goes to $15....you take ownership at $35/sh but you can sell it away at $20/sh with your protection.

    Anyways, this is a bullish play on an equity where you're going short on the put (means you'll take ownership at the short strike if the price goes below); however, you're buying protection in the form of a further out-of-the-money put (in this case the $20 strike).
    ***If this post is on Business and Investing, take it with a grain of salt. I am wrong way more than I am right (but I am less wrong than I used to be) and if you follow me you will be too.***

    B&I Key:
    ETH - Extended Trading Hours --- RTH - Regular Trading Hours
    ORH - Opening Range (1st 30min) High --- ORL - Opening Range Low
    R1, R2, R3 - Resistance 1, 2, or 3 --- S1, S2, S3 - Support 1, 2 or 3
    FTAG 2000
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    AG
    Ragoo said:

    AG 2000' said:

    Ragoo said:

    wanderer said:

    Ragoo said:

    $30,000 Millionaire said:

    also going to short wayfair. the premium is so high that you either need to use shares, sell call credits or use a put debit spread.
    $MARA 5/21 $35/$20 put credit spread is stupid money IMO
    Why even mess with a spread when selling a May $20p only gains you .50?
    you sell the $35 and buy the $20.
    Can you unpack this trade in more detail please?



    I understand the sell / buy part of it, but what's the strategy / payoff, and upside/downside?

    FTAG 2000
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    AG
    Thanks Brewmaster and McInnis.
    Ragoo
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    AG
    McInnis 03 said:

    AG 2000' said:

    Ragoo said:

    wanderer said:

    Ragoo said:

    $30,000 Millionaire said:

    also going to short wayfair. the premium is so high that you either need to use shares, sell call credits or use a put debit spread.
    $MARA 5/21 $35/$20 put credit spread is stupid money IMO
    Why even mess with a spread when selling a May $20p only gains you .50?
    you sell the $35 and buy the $20.
    Can you unpack this trade in more detail please?
    Forgive me for jumping in to answer but I think I can detail this one....

    A put credit spread is a BULLISH play on an equity. In this case, MARA is trading at $47-$48......the trade in question is a SALE of the $35p and a BUY of the $20p. This trade is put on for a CREDIT, meaning you'll take money INTO your account to step into this position.

    Part 1) The sale of the $35p makes you short the put and the cash to secure this transaction is $3500 per contract. On this play you're hoping that the equity stays ABOVE $35 at time of expiration.

    Part 2) The purchase of the $20p gives you protection from something severe happening......also lessens your cash burden. By purchasing the $20p, you take $2000 away from your responsibility per contract at a cost of (in this case) only $.50. So for $50 your buying power increases by $2000. Also, if something catastrophic were to happen to the stock, say it goes to $15....you take ownership at $35/sh but you can sell it away at $20/sh with your protection.

    Anyways, this is a bullish play on an equity where you're going short on the put (means you'll take ownership at the short strike if the price goes below); however, you're buying protection in the form of a further out-of-the-money put (in this case the $20 strike).
    IMO, you buy the $20p for the cash reason only

    If you sell a put you better have the mindset you are OK being assigned there or better just buying the contracts back at whatever price if the trade goes against you. You don't have to take assignment.

    Otherwise just let it run it's course.
    Charismatic Megafauna
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    AG
    Irish 2.0 said:

    Fightin_Aggie said:

    NRD09 said:

    You mean congrats mvis players...
    How is mvis involved?
    Microsoft is a customer


    Not just a customer, iirc mvis owns the patented technology behind the hololens and licenses it to msft. Mvis is hololens and vice versa. Y'all gotta know what you're holding. This could be the event that precipitates buyout
    McInnis 03
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    AG
    Ragoo said:

    McInnis 03 said:

    AG 2000' said:

    Ragoo said:

    wanderer said:

    Ragoo said:

    $30,000 Millionaire said:

    also going to short wayfair. the premium is so high that you either need to use shares, sell call credits or use a put debit spread.
    $MARA 5/21 $35/$20 put credit spread is stupid money IMO
    Why even mess with a spread when selling a May $20p only gains you .50?
    you sell the $35 and buy the $20.
    Can you unpack this trade in more detail please?
    Forgive me for jumping in to answer but I think I can detail this one....

    A put credit spread is a BULLISH play on an equity. In this case, MARA is trading at $47-$48......the trade in question is a SALE of the $35p and a BUY of the $20p. This trade is put on for a CREDIT, meaning you'll take money INTO your account to step into this position.

    Part 1) The sale of the $35p makes you short the put and the cash to secure this transaction is $3500 per contract. On this play you're hoping that the equity stays ABOVE $35 at time of expiration.

    Part 2) The purchase of the $20p gives you protection from something severe happening......also lessens your cash burden. By purchasing the $20p, you take $2000 away from your responsibility per contract at a cost of (in this case) only $.50. So for $50 your buying power increases by $2000. Also, if something catastrophic were to happen to the stock, say it goes to $15....you take ownership at $35/sh but you can sell it away at $20/sh with your protection.

    Anyways, this is a bullish play on an equity where you're going short on the put (means you'll take ownership at the short strike if the price goes below); however, you're buying protection in the form of a further out-of-the-money put (in this case the $20 strike).
    IMO, you buy the $20p for the cash reason only

    If you sell a put you better have the mindset you are OK being assigned there or better just buying the contracts back at whatever price if the trade goes against you. You don't have to take assignment.

    Otherwise just let it run it's course.
    Therein lies the power of the put spread. Spend $.50 now to get $19.50 in buying power for the next 6 weeks........not a bad deal.
    ***If this post is on Business and Investing, take it with a grain of salt. I am wrong way more than I am right (but I am less wrong than I used to be) and if you follow me you will be too.***

    B&I Key:
    ETH - Extended Trading Hours --- RTH - Regular Trading Hours
    ORH - Opening Range (1st 30min) High --- ORL - Opening Range Low
    R1, R2, R3 - Resistance 1, 2, or 3 --- S1, S2, S3 - Support 1, 2 or 3
    Ragoo
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    AG
    AG 2000' said:

    Ragoo said:

    AG 2000' said:

    Ragoo said:

    wanderer said:

    Ragoo said:

    $30,000 Millionaire said:

    also going to short wayfair. the premium is so high that you either need to use shares, sell call credits or use a put debit spread.
    $MARA 5/21 $35/$20 put credit spread is stupid money IMO
    Why even mess with a spread when selling a May $20p only gains you .50?
    you sell the $35 and buy the $20.
    Can you unpack this trade in more detail please?



    I understand the sell / buy part of it, but what's the strategy / payoff, and upside/downside?


    max profit is credit
    Max loss is $15 less the credit received
    Max cash requirement is $35 if the trade goes against you and instead of buying out the contracts you want to own the equity.
    McInnis 03
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    AG

    ***If this post is on Business and Investing, take it with a grain of salt. I am wrong way more than I am right (but I am less wrong than I used to be) and if you follow me you will be too.***

    B&I Key:
    ETH - Extended Trading Hours --- RTH - Regular Trading Hours
    ORH - Opening Range (1st 30min) High --- ORL - Opening Range Low
    R1, R2, R3 - Resistance 1, 2, or 3 --- S1, S2, S3 - Support 1, 2 or 3
    Ragoo
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    AG
    Ragoo said:

    McInnis 03 said:

    AG 2000' said:

    Ragoo said:

    wanderer said:

    Ragoo said:

    $30,000 Millionaire said:

    also going to short wayfair. the premium is so high that you either need to use shares, sell call credits or use a put debit spread.
    $MARA 5/21 $35/$20 put credit spread is stupid money IMO
    Why even mess with a spread when selling a May $20p only gains you .50?
    you sell the $35 and buy the $20.
    Can you unpack this trade in more detail please?
    Forgive me for jumping in to answer but I think I can detail this one....

    A put credit spread is a BULLISH play on an equity. In this case, MARA is trading at $47-$48......the trade in question is a SALE of the $35p and a BUY of the $20p. This trade is put on for a CREDIT, meaning you'll take money INTO your account to step into this position.

    Part 1) The sale of the $35p makes you short the put and the cash to secure this transaction is $3500 per contract. On this play you're hoping that the equity stays ABOVE $35 at time of expiration.

    Part 2) The purchase of the $20p gives you protection from something severe happening......also lessens your cash burden. By purchasing the $20p, you take $2000 away from your responsibility per contract at a cost of (in this case) only $.50. So for $50 your buying power increases by $2000. Also, if something catastrophic were to happen to the stock, say it goes to $15....you take ownership at $35/sh but you can sell it away at $20/sh with your protection.

    Anyways, this is a bullish play on an equity where you're going short on the put (means you'll take ownership at the short strike if the price goes below); however, you're buying protection in the form of a further out-of-the-money put (in this case the $20 strike).
    IMO, you buy the $20p for the cash reason only

    If you sell a put you better have the mindset you are OK being assigned there or better just buying the contracts back at whatever price if the trade goes against you. You don't have to take assignment.

    Otherwise just let it run it's course.
    another trick. Say in week two the trade works against you. You are long the $20p that could suddenly be up a lot. Roll that sucker down to $10 and collect more premium. You should have already accepted assignment at $35. And you now have 4 weeks to let it continue playing out.
    Brewmaster
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    AG
    McInnis 03 said:





    Interesting stuff...
    Add MARA to this list... almost a 5 bagger since January 1st. And we're not even to btc 70k yet
    $30,000 Millionaire
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    AG
    Ag94, in the interest of being helpful, here are a couple of market things to look at. I hope you are charting these yourself.

    #1 seasonality



    Index positioning right now
    • Nasdaq - it is above all of its EMAs. They will go positively stacked with 1-2 more up days
    • S&P - above all EMAs, all stacked positively
    • Russell - closed above 8 EMA today, will go positively stacked with 1-2 more up days
    • Most indexes has touched their mean recently. Nasdaq did it today, ES was last week

    Market internals
    • VIX closed today at 19.4, it is below all its moving averages, this is near a 52 week low
    • TRIN today was 1.53, which is fairly balanced
    • VOLSPD was slightly down today, which is normal for quarterly balancing
    • ADD was 312 today, meaning 312 more stocks went up than went down

    Bonds
    • 10 year and 2 year continue to decline, this will makes yields higher. This is negative for stocks, but these are not making gigantic moves

    Commodities and other
    • DXY (dollar index) hit and rejected from +3 ATR. A strong dollar impairs stock advancement. The dollar is likely to mean revert from here which is bullish for stocks
    • Bitcoin spot price is $59K
    • Carry trade / currencies are in an up trend
    • Crude continues to decline after the Suez spike, WTI now 59.4 per barrel. Weak dollar also helpful to crude prices
    • Gold and silver have probably bottomed and are resuming an uptrend
    • Most food commodities also up

    Government
    • a $2T infrastructure package will be unveiled and this is expected to include proposals to increase corporate tax rates. That likely impacts growth stocks, but it is for all intents and purposes already priced in. Don't forget companies are experts at avoiding taxes. https://www.wsj.com/articles/biden-set-to-unveil-2-trillion-infrastructure-plan-11617181208
    • No hearings yet from the Archegos blow-up, with losses seemingly limited to Credit Suisse and Nomura
    • Fed is pretty quiet at the moment

    In summary - it is quite possible there are big sell offs and big down days. we've had a lot of selling lately and mean reversions. I think we'll get some strength into mid April.


    You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
    agdaddy04
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    AG
    I'm in on FRX for whole shares in anticipation of it changing to BODY in 2nd quarter... anyone else? Anyone in on the warrants instead?
    FJ43
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    Great stuff and insight.
    FJ43
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    So what does tomorrow look like?

    FbgTxAg
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    AG
    FJ43 said:


    So what does tomorrow look like?





    I'll tell you what it looks like, man....

    The greatest argument ever made against democracy is a 5 minute conversation with the average voter.
    LOYAL AG
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    AG
    FJ43 said:


    So what does tomorrow look like?


    Low volume melt up to around 3990. That's what I predicted coming into the week and prior to a late selloff that's about where we were. My weekly S&P post from Sunday said small green candle testing 3947 as support but failing to reach 4000. So far so good.



    A fearful society is a compliant society. That's why Democrats and criminals prefer their victims to be unarmed. Gun Control is not about guns, it's about control.
    Mostly Foggy Recollection
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    Probably a red day to kick off Q2 and finish the week.

    Last day of quarters are typically green and first day of quarters are usually red.
    FTAG 2000
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    AG
    FJ43 said:


    So what does tomorrow look like?


    FTAG 2000
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    AG
    Anyone else in Ion ($IO)?

    Did you get a notification like this?


    Quote:


    Latest Update:03/30/2021 12:51 PM ET
    CUTOFF DATE: 04/07/2021 7:00 PM ET
    EXPIRATION DATE: 04/08/2021 1:00 PM ET
    *** This offer is for holders electing to exercise for common stock. ***

    ION Geophysical Corporation has announced a non-transferable rights offering
    for the holders of their common shares.

    You received (1) right for every (1) share you held as of the record date,
    03/22/2021.

    Each right will entitle a holder to purchase the following:

    (i) a principal amount of 8.00% Senior Secured Second Priority Convertible
    Notes due 2025 equal to $50,000,000 divided by the number of shares of
    the company's common stock outstanding as of the record date, at a
    purchase price of 100% of the principal amount thereof.
    or:

    (ii) a number of shares of common stock equal to $50,000,000 divided by
    the purchase price of $2.57 per share divided by the number of shares of
    the company's common stock outstanding as of the record date, at a
    purchase price of $2.57 per whole share of common stock.

    If you exercise all of your allocated rights, you have the opportunity to
    oversubscribe for additional shares, subject to availability and proration.

    Holders should note that notes will only be issued in minimum increments of
    $1,000 and any exercise of rights therefor will be rounded down to the nearest
    whole increment of $1,000 and any shares of common stock will only be issued in
    whole numbers of shares with any fractional shares of common stock rounded
    down to the nearest whole share.

    Pursuant to the terms of this rights offering, the rights may be exercised for
    a maximum of $52,500,000 of notes and common stock.


    Seems like taking the stocks is the way to go, agree?
    $30,000 Millionaire
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    AG
    Mostly Foggy Recollection said:

    Probably a red day to kick off Q2 and finish the week.

    Last day of quarters are typically green and first day of quarters are usually red.
    https://mrtopstep.com/market-typically-strong-day-before-good-friday-and-weak-day-after/
    You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
    Mostly Foggy Recollection
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    Interesting to see how it shakes out. I still lean red.
    $30,000 Millionaire
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    AG
    I don't know. it will not be dull.
    You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
    Irish 2.0
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    Mostly Foggy Recollection said:

    Interesting to see how it shakes out. I still lean red.


    QQQ had a great showing today and a pretty decent close. Tomorrow will be attempt 4 (I think) on that 321 break. If it finally pushes through, in good shape to start April IMO.
    FJ43
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    Mostly Foggy Recollection said:

    Interesting to see how it shakes out. I still lean red.
    My initial take...

    SPY a bit overbought.
    Qs still a bit oversold.
    Possibly some more rotation?
    Don't think we blow through 4k and when/if we do it has to hold and not be a one hit wonder.

    Think it was Irish that posted earlier about expectations. Easy for those to get out of whack given recent success. Not everything we buy goes to the moon by the end of the week/month because we bought it. Heck might even go against us.

    Tomorrow I think is a choppy day and possibly red but not a huge sell off. I liked the Qs close. Hope that has continuation and translates into some of what we are all playing.

    Me...I will trim trades into strength tomorrow, make sure I have maximized covered calls, tweak short term hedges and make sure I do a better job of managing my trading account cash position heading into the long weekend.

    There will be opportunities...just have to find them.


    Bob Knights Paper Hands
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    Mostly Foggy Recollection said:

    Probably a red day to kick off Q2 and finish the week.

    Last day of quarters are typically green and first day of quarters are usually red.

    This is my expectation as well. Add to that tomorrow is the last trading day before a holiday weekend and I think we get some selling, but I don't expect it to be massive down day. We'll see.

    I want AAPL to close 120-122 and then begin the rocket on Monday. /praying boy and dog gif.
    Bob Knights Paper Hands
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    $30,000 Millionaire said:

    Mostly Foggy Recollection said:

    Probably a red day to kick off Q2 and finish the week.

    Last day of quarters are typically green and first day of quarters are usually red.
    https://mrtopstep.com/market-typically-strong-day-before-good-friday-and-weak-day-after/

    I see your historical statistics and raise you my gut feels.
    Agsrback12
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    Is MBIO done?
    BrokeAssAggie
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    Agsrback12 said:

    Is MBIO done?


    It's a long term play. I think lots have this in a retirement account.
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