For established companies, I agree.

These guys are new. Let's see how it shakes out.

oldarmy1 said:

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Now don't be a bunch of goobers and sell your AAPL after going through all the waiting for peanuts.

That would reflect poorly on this forum's progress.

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Not a Chance in Hell, Sir!!

Mostly Foggy Recollection said:

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Isn't helpful if you're in 2/19s.

I have shares so I'm patient.

If youre in the XL 2/19s, I don't think there is going to be a lot of movement north in the next week, but sometimes these things will shake investors, then it explodes.

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The big option flow a month or so ago was for 3/19s so I picked that date for my spreads. I'm actually up on them so maybe I'll just close them out and pick some april ones...

I still think AAPL will have to fight a little to break through 138ish again.

I believe it ultimately happens this week, but I'm not convinced it's going to plow through it without some effort. Hopefully sometime tomorrow morning, that way I can stop stressing....

Is SAVA still a buy in the $100's?

OA - On SPY Puts...

The March 335P are at about $2.17 at the close. I put some on the other day about at $2.60 and am thinking it may be prudent to add to those tomorrow. Maybe against the grain when riding above the 8 $ 21 day.

Thoughts on seeing how the action is up until noon or so then decide or better to wait until we break below 377.40...ish?

I am hoping we can get some positive press in the morning and maybe someone upping their price target. That and if the markets are strong it could run.

Mostly Foggy Recollection said:

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For established companies, I agree.

These guys are new. Let's see how it shakes out.

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I was just thinking through it, they are new off a spac merger. They probably don't have a grip on the process yet

zgolfz85 said:

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Jet Black said:

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Is SAVA still a buy in the $100's?

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Seen a couple of articles that put the price target just shy of 300 if trials continue to do well. Who knows...still a bit rattled from the gme roller coaster. Wish I'd trusted my gut yesterday and made an entry

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I'm not saying buy it here.....I will say there is only like 1% short interest

The audit must be going really bad.

This Adam guy does not like Sava.....But interesting offering timing data here if accurate

OA answered a similar question before the lost drop. At the time he said if you're already in it, then wait until the next pop to buy more. If you're not in it, you can get in.

I honestly have no idea. That story about Apple and Kia working together on an EV car actually came out yesterday after hours.

AAPL's movement this week is almost making me think the institutional players had the good earnings and any other good news priced in already.

I'm a total novice at reading this stuff, but that's what it feels like to me.

Dan Scott said:

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OA answered a similar question before the lost drop. At the time he said if you're already in it, then wait until the next pop to buy more. If you're not in it, you can get in.

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Thanks. Didn't see that one. Hedging and the strategies surrounding it are where I spend most of my time these days gaining tactical experience. Do it cheaply now to perfect as best as I can for when I need it most.

So, super high level potential valuation for SAVA

Average Alzheimer's patient spends $200-400 per month on medications to treat. https://www.medpagetoday.com/neurology/dementia/50154#:~:text=The%20cost%20was%20%2424.76.,the%20costs%20of%20specialized%20care.

5.8 million people in the US have Alzheimer's of some sort
https://dshs.texas.gov/alzheimers/qanda.shtm#:~:text=The%20Alzheimer%27s%20Association%20estimates%20that,disease%20in%20the%20United%20States.

Let's say that 25 percent of the Alzheimer's patients use SAVA. That would give us 5,800,000 persons*$200/month/person*12 months in a year = $3.48 billion per year in revenue. If we value the company at 5x revenue, that's a $17.4 billion dollar company. At close SAVA was a $3B company today

Is this analysis crazy or is SAVA still that undervalued?

CrazyRichAggie said:

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oldarmy1 said:

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AgCPA95 said:

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AAPL

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I'm changing my stock trading company name from OA1 to Hand-holding Trading.

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I feel attacked but I dont care..

2% weekly

I took out my hedges today. They had bled 75%, but I'm up 2.7% this week so they've more than paid for themselves.

Going to reset some longer term for tomorrow

DubFalls said:

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So, super high level potential valuation for SAVA

Average Alzheimer's patient spends $200-400 per month on medications to treat. https://www.medpagetoday.com/neurology/dementia/50154#:~:text=The%20cost%20was%20%2424.76.,the%20costs%20of%20specialized%20care.

5.8 million people in the US have Alzheimer's of some sort
https://dshs.texas.gov/alzheimers/qanda.shtm#:~:text=The%20Alzheimer%27s%20Association%20estimates%20that,disease%20in%20the%20United%20States.

Let's say that 25 percent of the Alzheimer's patients use SAVA. That would give us 5,800,000 persons*$200/month/person*12 months in a year = $3.48 billion per year in revenue. If we value the company at 5x revenue, that's a $17.4 billion dollar company. At close SAVA was a $3B company today

Is this analysis crazy or is SAVA still that undervalued?

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They're still a long way (maybe next year if everything went perfect) from FDA approval. Going to need another trial with a lot more patients. But looking promising. Hope it works.

Still wish I'd held my shares longer.

Prognightmare said:

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I am now. I had a violent allergic reaction to sunflower seeds, I've eaten them all my life but not anymore. I went into anaphylactic shock and now I have to carry an Epi Pen.

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Is it definitely the seeds, or what they were prepared with?

Highly recommend allergy testing if you haven't done so. Hate for you to later find out the hard way it was due to the preparation instead of the sunflower seed (ps - I have zero idea how a sunflower seed is prepared, so I may be way off base).