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McInnis 03
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In reply to Dan Scott • 5:32p, 1/31/21
AG
Dan Scott said:
Opening move is down for S&P futures. 3650 seems like a magnet and then well see if they take us down to 3600.

I may be overreacting but read a lot this weekend about the backend of the market. It is wounded right now and could trigger another financial crisis. Margin debt is at all-time highs.


So much for an apple pop.
***If this post is on Business and Investing, take it with a grain of salt. I am wrong way more than I am right (but I am less wrong than I used to be) and if you follow me you will be too.***

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Philip J Fry
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In reply to bigcat22 • 5:38p, 1/31/21
AG
bigcat22 said:
Don't want to be reactionary, but I'm tempted to unwind a lot of positions tomorrow and go heavy cash until the meme mania settles


I did that very thing at the beginning of the year after the Jan 6 shenanigans.
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backintexas2013
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5:45p, 1/31/21
AG
I am predicting a rebound tomorrow. Futures going to come back.
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Mostly Foggy Recollection
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5:52p, 1/31/21

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Cartographer
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In reply to Mostly Foggy Recollection • 5:59p, 1/31/21
I'm stoked for the coming correction.

Bring on the red days!
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cageybee77
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In reply to Cartographer • 6:02p, 1/31/21
AG
I'm looking for buying opportunities myself.
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LarryL
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In reply to McInnis 03 • 6:10p, 1/31/21
McInnis 03 said:
If we can get an instant pop of AAPL to 135 I may remain in a good mood all week
100% same
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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6:12p, 1/31/21
SPY - should it punch through 364, likely to see 358 during the week. If closes sub 364 Monday, 358 is Tuesday. If 358 is in the cards, my calcs project 119-123 AAPL. We'll see,...
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Colt98
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In reply to LarryL • 6:12p, 1/31/21
AG
Well early it looks like the spy hedge will off set what appl does to us tomorrow.
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Dan Scott
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6:20p, 1/31/21
AG
If anybody wants to see a bunch of Model T's, the 1 minute $ES chart is beautiful right now.
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backintexas2013
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6:38p, 1/31/21
AG
It's a long way till morning. Let's see if it can continue to bounce back.
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McKinney Ag69
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6:42p, 1/31/21
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If physical silver is squeezed by retail investors, is there any concern about banks collapsing? They have been manipulating the silver market for decades and would probably have to pay trillions to cover their positions if an Ounce of silver hits triple digits. Also Citadel owns a ton of SLV, so they could be behind the pump to try and recoup some of their losses. Screw em.
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98PercenterAg
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6:47p, 1/31/21
AG
Anyone planning to buy SPY Puts at open tomorrow? Which ones are you looking at if so?
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FbgTxAg
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In reply to 98PercenterAg • 6:49p, 1/31/21
AG
98percenterr said:
Anyone planning to buy SPY Puts at open tomorrow? Which ones are you looking at if so?


I'll be buying 2/12 120 AAPL puts in the morning
The greatest argument ever made against democracy is a 5 minute conversation with the average voter.
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BrokeAssAggie
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In reply to 98PercenterAg • 6:49p, 1/31/21
98percenterr said:
Anyone planning to buy SPY Puts at open tomorrow? Which ones are you looking at if so?


I have been buying spy puts on Green Day's
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gig em 02
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6:56p, 1/31/21
Y'all need to watch out for the printers this week, if everyone thinks we are going to crash that's the perfect time to catch some bears before we really dive in 4-6 weeks
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McInnis 03
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In reply to McKinney Ag69 • 7:12p, 1/31/21
AG
Challenger 17 said:
If physical silver is squeezed by retail investors, is there any concern about banks collapsing? They have been manipulating the silver market for decades and would probably have to pay trillions to cover their positions if an Ounce of silver hits triple digits. Also Citadel owns a ton of SLV, so they could be behind the pump to try and recoup some of their losses. Screw em.


This is exactly what happened. Citadel bots infiltrated wsb and convinced then they could squeeze silver
***If this post is on Business and Investing, take it with a grain of salt. I am wrong way more than I am right (but I am less wrong than I used to be) and if you follow me you will be too.***

B&I Key:
ETH - Extended Trading Hours --- RTH - Regular Trading Hours
ORH - Opening Range (1st 30min) High --- ORL - Opening Range Low
R1, R2, R3 - Resistance 1, 2, or 3 --- S1, S2, S3 - Support 1, 2 or 3
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Mostly Foggy Recollection
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7:17p, 1/31/21



Ahem....
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bmks270
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In reply to McInnis 03 • 7:17p, 1/31/21
AG
McInnis 03 said:
Challenger 17 said:
If physical silver is squeezed by retail investors, is there any concern about banks collapsing? They have been manipulating the silver market for decades and would probably have to pay trillions to cover their positions if an Ounce of silver hits triple digits. Also Citadel owns a ton of SLV, so they could be behind the pump to try and recoup some of their losses. Screw em.


This is exactly what happened. Citadel bots infiltrated wsb and convinced then they could squeeze silver

Everything these days seems to be fake propaganda. It has become impossible to trust any source or media report.

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Engine10
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7:33p, 1/31/21
AG
Has Asia BTFD?
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Lt. Joe Bookman
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In reply to aggies4life • 7:33p, 1/31/21
AG
aggies4life said:
Any one able have access to the CNBC pro article: Ark Invest's Cathie Wood says stocks are not in a bubble and neither are her fund's top holdings...


I haven't listened yet, but she was on the recent "We study billionaires" podcast.

https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/we-study-billionaires/
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Colt98
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7:33p, 1/31/21
AG
SPX futures showing you new guys exactly what model T is all about tonight.
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7:36p, 1/31/21
ag94whoop
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In reply to [removed post] • 7:39p, 1/31/21
AG
jj9000 said:
All this pessimism around here and the Market opens green tomorrow.


This week will probably look good

Correction will likely happen in next 30-60 days. It may be 10%, it may be 35-40-%. The shape of the recovery and timeline is what I'm interested in and what the volatility will look like and the stocks to play the volatility.
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khaos288
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In reply to ag94whoop • 7:45p, 1/31/21
AG
ag94whoop said:
jj9000 said:
All this pessimism around here and the Market opens green tomorrow.


This week will probably look good

Correction will likely happen in next 30-60 days. It may be 10%, it may be 35-40-%. The shape of the recovery and timeline is what I'm interested in and what the volatility will look like and the stocks to play the volatility.


I'm always curious. If we go up 10% in the next 60 days, what is the timeline to drop 10% and call it a correction?

I've felt like the market was heavy for what seems like ever, but if I were sidelined this whole time I'd have made no money.
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$30,000 Millionaire
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7:47p, 1/31/21
AG
6/13 of the last mondays has been a gap up. the gap from Friday on ES has already been filled (3696). 55 EMA holding so far.

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backintexas2013
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7:48p, 1/31/21
AG
VIX has been interesting to watch
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$30,000 Millionaire
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7:55p, 1/31/21
AG
Silver futures. Notice volume for this time of day. Candle currently in a gravestone doji, but too early to say that.



Looks like short interest is 12-14%. Finviz doesn't have it.
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$30,000 Millionaire
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8:02p, 1/31/21
AG
VIX futures spiked on Wednesday. Thurs/Fri both lower in volume. Watching with interest.

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bmks270
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In reply to khaos288 • 8:02p, 1/31/21
AG
khaos288 said:
ag94whoop said:
jj9000 said:
All this pessimism around here and the Market opens green tomorrow.


This week will probably look good

Correction will likely happen in next 30-60 days. It may be 10%, it may be 35-40-%. The shape of the recovery and timeline is what I'm interested in and what the volatility will look like and the stocks to play the volatility.


I'm always curious. If we go up 10% in the next 60 days, what is the timeline to drop 10% and call it a correction?

I've felt like the market was heavy for what seems like ever, but if I were sidelined this whole time I'd have made no money.


Most data supports the never sell philosophy. Still requires diversification across some non correlated sectors to reduce sector risk (don't want to be a dotcom bag holder for a decade).

Right now I think most of the risk is in large cap growth, but revenues still look strong. Right now the only shift I'm thinking of making is selling SPYG and putting it into individual stocks or another ETF or stocks.
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Mostly Foggy Recollection
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In reply to [removed post] • 8:03p, 1/31/21
New to this?

No one was forecasting a dive off the cliff tomorrow. Most of us still believe we melt up for the near term especially during earnings.

But the minute you hear Biden declaring a National Emergency on Climate Change, I suggest you get ready because what's coming in the EO behind it will be UGLY and extremely Ugly for Texas.

Markets will react.... poorly.

Even without this action, we are on borrowed time for a correction, but the severity will be far less if he doesn't go full dumbass on CC.
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backintexas2013
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In reply to $30,000 Millionaire • 8:04p, 1/31/21
AG
So VIX was up early tonight and now down a little. What are your thoughts?
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khaos288
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In reply to bmks270 • 8:09p, 1/31/21
AG
bmks270 said:
khaos288 said:
ag94whoop said:
jj9000 said:
All this pessimism around here and the Market opens green tomorrow.


This week will probably look good

Correction will likely happen in next 30-60 days. It may be 10%, it may be 35-40-%. The shape of the recovery and timeline is what I'm interested in and what the volatility will look like and the stocks to play the volatility.


I'm always curious. If we go up 10% in the next 60 days, what is the timeline to drop 10% and call it a correction?

I've felt like the market was heavy for what seems like ever, but if I were sidelined this whole time I'd have made no money.


Most data supports the never sell philosophy. Still requires diversification across some non correlated sectors to reduce sector risk (don't want to be a dotcom bag holder for a decade).

Right now I think most of the risk is in large cap growth, but revenues still look strong. Right now the only shift I'm thinking of making is selling SPYG and putting it into individual stocks or another ETF or stocks.


Makes sense. Im heavy in TAN, ARKK, ARKG, and some individual stocks. I'll probably liquidate the individuals soon, and put some cash in the pocket for a dip. It's been such a run lately, it's hard not to book some.
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gig em 02
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In reply to backintexas2013 • 8:09p, 1/31/21
backintexas2013 said:
So VIX was up early tonight and now down a little. What are your thoughts?
"If you arent trading futures then dont pay attention to them" Irish (RIP)
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gig em 02
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In reply to Mostly Foggy Recollection • 8:12p, 1/31/21
Mostly Foggy Recollection said:
New to this?

No one was forecasting a dive off the cliff tomorrow. Most of us still believe we melt up for the near term especially during earnings.

But the minute you hear Biden declaring a National Emergency on Climate Change, I suggest you get ready because what's coming in the EO behind it will be UGLY and extremely Ugly for Texas.

Markets will react.... poorly.

Even without this action, we are on borrowed time for a correction, but the severity will be far less if he doesn't go full dumbass on CC.
Hopefully what follows is an enormous number of lawsuits in key judges courtrooms. Next will be declaring gun violence a national emergency.
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