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Mostly Foggy Recollection
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11:48a, 1/25/21
Volatility is still elevated and slowly ticking up. Be on guard.
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Mostly Foggy Recollection
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In reply to aggies4life • 11:48a, 1/25/21
Both.

I'll post examples tonight of my cash position, bull trade positions and hedges.
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Jet Black
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11:52a, 1/25/21
Something like UVXY seems like easy money right now. Why am I wrong?
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oldarmy1
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In reply to Brewmaster • 11:52a, 1/25/21
AG
BREwmaster said:
McInnis 03 said:
Mancini seems to like the fact that ES is trying to push back to 3840, and he's of the thought that if we get back to 3840 the near term bottom was just had.
Sounds right, I think he is also of the thought we hit 3900 before any sizeable pull back.
It was within 5 points of where I had charted and hope this develops. Right now all the selling was quick consolidation on partial profit taking from big money. Money flow would balance out and continue upward unless it was the first salvo and that's what I'm wanting to determine as quickly as possible.
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McKinney Ag69
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11:54a, 1/25/21
AG


LOL
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South Platte
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In reply to McKinney Ag69 • 11:54a, 1/25/21
Isn't that just incredible. Wow, what a day.
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McKinney Ag69
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12:00p, 1/25/21
AG
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ClutchCityAg
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12:01p, 1/25/21
Let it ride
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khaos288
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12:01p, 1/25/21
AG
TDA you've got to have the buying power to hold 100 shares of amzn to sell the bull credit spread?

That's some bull credit spread right that
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BrokeAssAggie
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12:01p, 1/25/21
Newbie question, so when you see these big rug pulls like today is that because a big institution started it then lots people with stop losses in place followed suit?
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bmks270
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12:02p, 1/25/21
AG
I went long 3 GME shares premarket at $98 just to participate in the madness. Set a $71 stop. Got stopped out, total loss on GME $82. It was fun at least to watch it hit $160.
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McInnis 03
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In reply to khaos288 • 12:03p, 1/25/21
AG
Somethings wrong there. You should only have to have power to handle the difference of the spreads
***If this post is on Business and Investing, take it with a grain of salt. I am wrong way more than I am right (but I am less wrong than I used to be) and if you follow me you will be too.***

B&I Key:
ETH - Extended Trading Hours --- RTH - Regular Trading Hours
ORH - Opening Range (1st 30min) High --- ORL - Opening Range Low
R1, R2, R3 - Resistance 1, 2, or 3 --- S1, S2, S3 - Support 1, 2 or 3
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khaos288
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In reply to McKinney Ag69 • 12:04p, 1/25/21
AG
Challenger 17 said:
bought 300 shares and sold 2 covered calls
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ProgN
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12:05p, 1/25/21
Something tells me the close today could get very interesting.
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khaos288
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In reply to McInnis 03 • 12:06p, 1/25/21
AG
McInnis 03 said:
Somethings wrong there. You should only have to have power to handle the difference of the spreads
Yeah, may be a weird account thing. I'm chatting trade desk now. Wait time 1 hour.
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Mostly Foggy Recollection
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In reply to Jet Black • 12:09p, 1/25/21
Let it settle back into the 10s. Yes, taking a starter position here wouldn't be terrible but I don't want you upset if we go on another mini tear upwards here and it settles at 10.
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backintexas2013
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In reply to ProgN • 12:10p, 1/25/21
AG
Prognightmare said:
Something tells me the close today could get very interesting.


Good or bad?
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Charlie Conway
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In reply to backintexas2013 • 12:11p, 1/25/21
backintexas2013 said:
Prognightmare said:
Something tells me the close today could get very interesting.


Good or bad?
yes
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AgEE10
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In reply to khaos288 • 12:14p, 1/25/21
AG
khaos288 said:
McInnis 03 said:
Somethings wrong there. You should only have to have power to handle the difference of the spreads
Yeah, may be a weird account thing. I'm chatting trade desk now. Wait time 1 hour.
Do you have margin on? I think I had that same issue before margin turned on.
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McInnis 03
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12:15p, 1/25/21
AG
Wonder if anyone has ever researched if there are correlations on days like today where lots of vendors had issues (etrade, vanguard, etc) and stop loss runs occur....
***If this post is on Business and Investing, take it with a grain of salt. I am wrong way more than I am right (but I am less wrong than I used to be) and if you follow me you will be too.***

B&I Key:
ETH - Extended Trading Hours --- RTH - Regular Trading Hours
ORH - Opening Range (1st 30min) High --- ORL - Opening Range Low
R1, R2, R3 - Resistance 1, 2, or 3 --- S1, S2, S3 - Support 1, 2 or 3
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McInnis 03
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12:16p, 1/25/21
AG
***If this post is on Business and Investing, take it with a grain of salt. I am wrong way more than I am right (but I am less wrong than I used to be) and if you follow me you will be too.***

B&I Key:
ETH - Extended Trading Hours --- RTH - Regular Trading Hours
ORH - Opening Range (1st 30min) High --- ORL - Opening Range Low
R1, R2, R3 - Resistance 1, 2, or 3 --- S1, S2, S3 - Support 1, 2 or 3
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aggies4life
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12:19p, 1/25/21
AG
What would you do with a big position in $nkla. Cut the loss and put that money to work in something else??
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ebdb_bnb
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In reply to McInnis 03 • 12:19p, 1/25/21
I follow Adam as well. I took some 385 calls last week on the 3840 break. They successfully shook me out when it broke 3800.
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Mostly Foggy Recollection
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12:22p, 1/25/21
I'm still of the belief this is our last hurrah, especially with huge earnings reports this week. I expect a tear into close and a strongish week before you start to see liquidity dry and volatility sky rocket.

We are on the cusp of a correction. It may be a month or two, but it's coming. You can see signs this morning.
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Shundere
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12:22p, 1/25/21
On think or swim when doing covered calls, so I have to choose covered stock instead of single when selling a call? Or does it not matter as long as I hold at least 100 shares of a stock?
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Esteban du Plantier
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In reply to Shundere • 12:24p, 1/25/21
AG
Shundere said:
On think or swim when doing covered calls, so I have to choose covered stock instead of single when selling a call? Or does it not matter as long as I hold at least 100 shares of a stock?


Covered stock would mean you buy 100 shares and sell the call at the same time.

If you have shares, just a single leg is what you do.
.
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$30,000 Millionaire
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12:25p, 1/25/21
AG
I am taking some heat on SQ - this could be setting a hammer bottom.
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Brewmaster
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In reply to oldarmy1 • 12:26p, 1/25/21
AG
oldarmy1 said:
BREwmaster said:
McInnis 03 said:
Mancini seems to like the fact that ES is trying to push back to 3840, and he's of the thought that if we get back to 3840 the near term bottom was just had.
Sounds right, I think he is also of the thought we hit 3900 before any sizeable pull back.
It was within 5 points of where I had charted and hope this develops. Right now all the selling was quick consolidation on partial profit taking from big money. Money flow would balance out and continue upward unless it was the first salvo and that's what I'm wanting to determine as quickly as possible.
Yep great call! I sold my lone spy put near the bottom today and bought a couple SPY calls on the dip, for play money (just sold them for doubles). These levels don't lie!

Looking forward to the seminar Thursday!
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McKinney Ag69
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In reply to Mostly Foggy Recollection • 12:26p, 1/25/21
AG
Mostly Foggy Recollection said:
I'm still of the belief this is our last hurrah, especially with huge earnings reports this week. I expect a tear into close and a strongish week before you start to see liquidity dry and volatility sky rocket.

We are on the cusp of a correction. It may be a month or two, but it's coming. You can see signs this morning.
Isn't this just pure conjecture? It could go on for another two years, or crash and burn tomorrow. No one really knows.
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fightintxag13
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In reply to McKinney Ag69 • 12:30p, 1/25/21
AG
As one of the guys I subscribe to constantly says, we don't make money trading predictions. We make money trading price. I should emphasize that he says "trading" and not "investing."
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Mostly Foggy Recollection
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In reply to McKinney Ag69 • 12:31p, 1/25/21
Well, in theory, anything can happen, so yeah, call it conjecture.

My view on the market is backed by things happening in it right now. I also talk to professionals who have the same sentiment.

Hell, I'm all for this thing rocketing to Jupiter, but I'm much stronger hedge positions than I've been in a long while.
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leoj
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12:32p, 1/25/21
AG
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McInnis 03
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12:32p, 1/25/21
AG
Anyone grab ABML or BMIX from Houstonaggies picks?????
***If this post is on Business and Investing, take it with a grain of salt. I am wrong way more than I am right (but I am less wrong than I used to be) and if you follow me you will be too.***

B&I Key:
ETH - Extended Trading Hours --- RTH - Regular Trading Hours
ORH - Opening Range (1st 30min) High --- ORL - Opening Range Low
R1, R2, R3 - Resistance 1, 2, or 3 --- S1, S2, S3 - Support 1, 2 or 3
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BrokeAssAggie
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In reply to Mostly Foggy Recollection • 12:32p, 1/25/21
Mostly Foggy Recollection said:
Well, in theory, anything can happen, so yeah, call it conjecture.

My view on the market is backed by things happening in it right now. I also talk to professionals who have the same sentiment.

Hell, I'm all for this thing rocketing to Jupiter, but I'm much stronger hedge positions than I've been in a long while.
What % of your portfolio?
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Mostly Foggy Recollection
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In reply to fightintxag13 • 12:33p, 1/25/21
fightintxag13 said:
As one of the guys I subscribe to constantly says, we don't make money trading predictions. We make money trading price. I should emphasize that he says "trading" and not "investing."
Agreed. If you have a plan, stick to it closely right now, and don't get out over your skis.

My 50% cash rule typically serves me well, especially in times like this.
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