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Exsurge Domine
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In reply to La Bamba • 8:16p, 4/8/20
La Bamba said:
Exsurge Domine said:
FAT SEXY said:
How are minorities affected more by this pandemic?


Apparently it's killing the **** out of black people

My thesis is that it has more to do with socioeconomic factors than anything else. But race is a better headline.


Yeah that's a given, different races have different prevalence of comorbidities
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claym711
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8:28p, 4/8/20
AG
Easy short this afternoon at 2750 (e mini price). Quick stop above and downside is big.
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Agswinning
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In reply to Exsurge Domine • 8:31p, 4/8/20
Exsurge Domine said:
La Bamba said:
Exsurge Domine said:
FAT SEXY said:
How are minorities affected more by this pandemic?


Apparently it's killing the **** out of black people

My thesis is that it has more to do with socioeconomic factors than anything else. But race is a better headline.


Yeah that's a given, different races have different prevalence of comorbidities


I'd argue it has more to do with diet, exercise and overall health than race.
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thirdcoast
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In reply to claym711 • 8:33p, 4/8/20
AG
All the way down to 1750
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Talon2DSO
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In reply to La Bamba • 8:44p, 4/8/20
AG
La Bamba said:
Exsurge Domine said:
FAT SEXY said:
How are minorities affected more by this pandemic?


Apparently it's killing the **** out of black people

My thesis is that it has more to do with socioeconomic factors than anything else. But race is a better headline.


I was thinking sickle cell or something related. This affects the respiratory system so perhaps it affects those with oxygen saturation issues?
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FriendlyAg
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9:00p, 4/8/20
I have been reading this thread for a while. It's fascinating to keep up with. I primarily deal with illiquid large commercial real estate investments, so I am a bit of a fish out of water in here.

When I rolled over my 401k at age 24 to Fidelity since my employers 401k plan wasn't great. I had about 12k saved. I bought 2000 shares of FSELX at 5.84. I did some analysis at the time, but can't really remember. I believe I read a bunch and couldn't shake the idea that semiconductors are used in almost all electronics, so there would be consistent, long-term demand and continued growth. The current price is 10.09.

My question to you guys is, should I cash out and look to buy something else in the next 6 months at low prices?

I have a ROTH and a 401k that I am maxing in a different account, so I am almost view this as play money. I definitely can afford to lose it, but I am also interested in rational long term plays.

I am very liquid outside of this and am also contemplating opening an after tax account.

TIA
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IrishTxAggie
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In reply to thirdcoast • 9:00p, 4/8/20
AG
thirdcoast said:
All the way down to 1750
Not yet. There should still be one more leg up between ~2790 and 2890 before the magic carpet is pulled out from under.
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Agnzona
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In reply to La Bamba • 9:03p, 4/8/20
La Bamba said:
Exsurge Domine said:
FAT SEXY said:
How are minorities affected more by this pandemic?


Apparently it's killing the **** out of black people

My thesis is that it has more to do with socioeconomic factors than anything else. But race is a better headline.


Actually it's 2 things l, unhealthy lifestyle and a reluctance to follow rules.
"Fort Worth where the West begins...and Dallas is where the East peters out!"
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ProgN
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In reply to FriendlyAg • 9:20p, 4/8/20
Let's revisit this in the morning
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McInnis 03
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9:59p, 4/8/20
AG
If you had to pick your 2-3 favorite stock twitter follows, who'd they be? Here's my 3

@Psk2329
@permabear_uk
@wallstjesus
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azul_rain
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In reply to McInnis 03 • 10:01p, 4/8/20
@rampcapitalLLc
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La Bamba
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In reply to McInnis 03 • 10:11p, 4/8/20
AG
McInnis 03 said:
If you had to pick your 2-3 favorite stock twitter follows, who'd they be? Here's my 3

@Psk2329
@permabear_uk
@wallstjesus

@InvestorsLive (Nate runs the top notch trading community)
@CiovaccoCapital (great content and his weekly YouTube videos are absolutely fantastic)
@RedDogT3 (nice chart analysis of SPY)
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GreasenUSA
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In reply to McInnis 03 • 10:23p, 4/8/20
AG
*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaOne

First Squawk @FirstSquawk

Best two I have for getting instant news that can move the markets.
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Carlo4
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In reply to ProgN • 10:29p, 4/8/20
AG
Prognightmare said:
2790 will also be the upper Bollinger Band and bring the stochastic into overbought territory, so a lot of indicators are in that danger zone.


I'm learning quickly and saw this as well from experienced traders giving information on what they see. Really interesting to see what will happen quite possibly tomorrow or in the next few trading days and weeks.
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thirdcoast
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10:36p, 4/8/20
AG
I'm sure most aware already, and prob posted, but market closed on Friday
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spud1910
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In reply to oldarmy1 • 11:13p, 4/8/20
AG
oldarmy1 said:
boyz05 said:
DIS throwing a party aftermarket...nice sub numbers.


Who bought the $115 April 17th with me?
I am in those and the 105s. Thanks!
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Brewmaster
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In reply to thirdcoast • 11:30p, 4/8/20
AG
thirdcoast said:
All the way down to 1750
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thirdcoast
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In reply to Brewmaster • 11:44p, 4/8/20
AG
80% chance we re-test lows in next 6-8 weeks, 50% chance we go down to 1750 range, 10% chance of testing 1500.

Mostly a prediction based on fact we were already inflated after 10 yr bull market, and now bankruptcies, unemployment, and limited stimulus in global markets has a ways to go before a GDP recovery gets priced back in.
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Aggies1322
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In reply to thirdcoast • 11:48p, 4/8/20
AG
thirdcoast said:
80% chance we re-test lows in next 6-8 weeks, 50% chance we go down to 1750 range, 10% chance of testing 1500.

Mostly a prediction based on fact we were already inflated after 10 yr bull market, and now bankruptcies, unemployment, and limited stimulus in global markets has a ways to go before a GDP recovery gets priced back in.

Are these real stats or your opinion? Genuinely curious considering my position in SPXS.
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thirdcoast
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In reply to Aggies1322 • 11:54p, 4/8/20
AG
An opinion with reasoning in my post. There aren't stats for what is going on now. There is bear market history which isn't certain to repeat, and there is reliable short term TA that experts here provide. But NO ONE knows 6-8 weeks or months out.

I like SPXS, been building a position this week averaged around 15, will buy more in 10-12 range.
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jamaggie06
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12:39a, 4/9/20
AG
Ugh... trendline analysis; it works until it doesn't. I see people trendlining Nat Gas prices back to 1990 something.... like the spot price from 1990 has anything to do with current gas prices. Support/resistance is all predicated off of the belief that someone (an unknown someone) has stakes in a particular security at a given price. You are betting against their moves/motives. When you go back to 1929 or even 1980 for your justification, you have to be realistic and understand that the people betting on gas or the S&P from that era are dead. They aren't holding positions thinking "OMG , I would lose a fortune if prices go below XXXX" based on 30 or 40 year old prices. No one was betting on todays prices back then. They literally have zero influence on today.

That doesn't mean, short term that you can't profit from expected moves in markets. Just base your opinions in current data. Basing your actions on one time events from historical data is a recipe for disaster. There's no justification that today's market will behave anything like past markets. Remember that.

The trend is your friend... until it isn't. Especially when you're basing your trend on 10+ year old data.
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tam2002
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6:14a, 4/9/20
AG
No one knows what going to happen. I've listened to tons of hedge fund managers, rich guys, oil guys...EVERYONE has a different opinion. We've never truly had a situation like this one, and the Fed and Trump seem like they are ready to throw trillions of dollars at this thing every week until it's fixed.

History says we're retesting the lows and I'm with most of y'all on that, but I'm starting to think we might not get that crazy and it won't take as long as we think.

Americans are tired of being in. I've got tons of friends on Facebook still excited about a cruise they have booked end of May. I've even took a position in CCL. I know everyone says don't, but I think in the end we have enough people that just don't care what common sense says and by August at the latest are gonna be pretending nothing has happened and will be cruising and surrounding the craps table at your fav casino

Should be interesting
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oldarmy1
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6:15a, 4/9/20
AG
You should be able to sell no more than 30% of your DIS calls to get your money out and then Of the remaining 70% I'm selling half of we reach $112 today, leaving 35% and then half of that if we reach $115. With markets closed Friday you lose 3 days of Premium so depending on any run up you want to be out of the majority.
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AnyOtherName
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6:17a, 4/9/20
AG
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McInnis 03
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6:41a, 4/9/20
AG
And crude goes from 27 to 25 on that
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McInnis 03
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6:49a, 4/9/20
AG
I like his take

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ProgN
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6:52a, 4/9/20
RIG up big
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Cadet05
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6:57a, 4/9/20
AG
Why the pre market party on OVV? Up 12%
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AnyOtherName
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In reply to Cadet05 • 7:22a, 4/9/20
AG
Cadet05 said:
Why the pre market party on OVV? Up 12%
wondering the same about other independents...I shorted some after the Putin info above. Is that not bad news for the independents?
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Carlo4
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In reply to ProgN • 7:22a, 4/9/20
AG
Prognightmare said:
RIG up big


It's like poetry. It rhymes
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Carlo4
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7:23a, 4/9/20
AG
Debating on selling my SDOW gains now as I'm even. Have a feeling jobs numbers are going to cause market to go green...
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texagbeliever
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7:31a, 4/9/20
Rookie here, is buying spxs considered a dirty hedge for your investments? They should counter to a degree what you have invested by moving in the opposite direction.
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Carlo4
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7:31a, 4/9/20
AG
Yup. 300 point swing in seconds positive. Eff me
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Hendrix
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7:34a, 4/9/20
AG
What's the feds mandate again? Criminal.
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AgShaun00
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7:34a, 4/9/20
AG
read an interesting article on finiancial engineering and share buyback that puts a company in a low cash position where they can't handle any type of emergency.

balance sheet evolution
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