Stock Markets

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badharambe
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In reply to drill4oil78 • 2:30p, 12/21/18
AG
yep. that was a strong indication once it sold all the way back down.

~took last 3 spy puts here at .70 from .17. Time decay really hurt these gains.
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Foamcows
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2:36p, 12/21/18
AG
so many companies hitting 52 week lows today.

Google,
Apple,
Halliburton,
Roku,
Facebook

Everything is on sale... hard to figure out which is the best one to buy
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drill4oil78
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In reply to Foamcows • 2:42p, 12/21/18
AG
You will have time ....

HAL and SLB are ones that are at levels I have not seen in 10 years .... Getting interesting, but I would give it some time. There will need to be time for many stocks to build a base before they can go up. This is not going to be a V recovery.
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In reply to Foamcows • 2:42p, 12/21/18
AG
Foamcows said:
so many companies hitting 52 week lows today.

Google,
Apple,
Halliburton,
Roku,
Facebook

Everything is on sale... hard to figure out which is the best one to buy


I haven't believed in the Stock market for a while, been investing in houses. I've been especially put off by the all time highs.

That said, these drops have me curious about jumping in - what's the no brainer time to jump in (I know the bottom is unpredictable, but when do you say f-it, I'm putting all of my chips in the game?)
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FriscoKid
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In reply to Baby Billy • 2:42p, 12/21/18
AG
Huell Babineaux said:
FriscoKid said:
Huell Babineaux said:
FriscoKid said:
I moved all of my 401k money to cash last week.

Trading account is a different $tory.

What? Why?
Because I can't day trade a 401k, nor would I want to. That money is out of sight out of mind and just a bunch of funds. Options are traded multiple times a day sometimes in my trading account. Two totally different animals and serve two different purposes.

The why was for why would you move your whole 401k to cash.
I'm sorry, but I just have to bump this. This is why.
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UpstateAg
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In reply to Foamcows • 2:43p, 12/21/18
AG
None of them right now. This is like a pre-Christmas Sale. Makes you feel good, saving money and getting those presents under the tree. I'm waiting for the new years day sale at Dillards. The sale where you look at the ad and feel dumb for spending 90 dollars on the Hart and Schaffner Marx pants when you could have had them at 35 dollars.
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Aggie09Derek
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2:57p, 12/21/18
AG
Picked up more FB, AAPL, NFLX today

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oldarmy1
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2:58p, 12/21/18
AG
What about NVDA all the way back down to its big initial gap that set its meteoric trend? $104. Not really all that far away.
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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2:58p, 12/21/18
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/two-senior-fed-officials-express-slightly-more-openness-than-powell-on-adjusting-balance-sheet-plans-2018-12-21

Caption under the picture is awesome!

Wonder way they don't capitalize the words "central bank"? LOL!
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drill4oil78
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3:05p, 12/21/18
AG
I am thinking we may have seen this selling wave end .... I have positions in SH and PSQ and they have gone up exponentially over the last few days. It can't maintain this much longer at this rate. Daily RSI is nearing 80 or at 80. Way over bought in here for these ETF short positions.
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drill4oil78
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In reply to oldarmy1 • 3:11p, 12/21/18
AG
oldarmy1 said:
What about NVDA all the way back down to its big initial gap that set its meteoric trend? $104. Not really all that far away.
Yea ... that gap in the 170-190 area will be filled someday as well. 10 years from now we may be looking back at this action as a blip in the chart.
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3:18p, 12/21/18
drill4oil78
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In reply to [removed post] • 3:27p, 12/21/18
AG
1/2 day Monday may be the Nightmare Before Christmas. We may get down to the 2350-2300 (SP500) area before the end of the year. As mentioned previously there is a long term trend line since the start of this bull that has stopped all declines and it is in the 2300 region. We should get a significant rally off that line back to the 2600 area. These exponential moves usually can't last much longer. You would think any way.
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claym711
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10:43p, 12/21/18
AG
There was comparatively close to zero volume traded between here and the 2016 top breakout. Market can rip down to 2200 very easily
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badharambe
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11:13p, 12/21/18
AG
I follow this guy for his great technical analysis. He called btc top, called s&p top this year and has had a large amount of other great calls.



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In reply to badharambe • 11:42p, 12/21/18
AG
badharambe said:
I follow this guy for his great technical analysis. He called btc top, called s&p top this year and has had a large amount of other great calls.





If it goes down to 17,000 I'll get in -


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Baby Billy
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In reply to FriscoKid • 11:56p, 12/21/18
AG
FriscoKid said:
Huell Babineaux said:
FriscoKid said:
Huell Babineaux said:
FriscoKid said:
I moved all of my 401k money to cash last week.

Trading account is a different $tory.

What? Why?
Because I can't day trade a 401k, nor would I want to. That money is out of sight out of mind and just a bunch of funds. Options are traded multiple times a day sometimes in my trading account. Two totally different animals and serve two different purposes.

The why was for why would you move your whole 401k to cash.
I'm sorry, but I just have to bump this. This is why.

Okay. It still isn't rational.
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ProgN
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In reply to oldarmy1 • 8:05a, 12/22/18
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IrishTxAggie
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In reply to ProgN • 9:40a, 12/22/18
AG
Well...Monday for 1/2 a day will be a fun ride.
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drill4oil78
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In reply to badharambe • 10:39a, 12/22/18
AG
badharambe said:
I follow this guy for his great technical analysis. He called btc top, called s&p top this year and has had a large amount of other great calls.

H&S pattern suggest 19500-20000. Also the weekly trend line also suggest 20000 area.
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ProgN
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In reply to oldarmy1 • 2:25p, 12/22/18
JD news:

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6522135/Chinese-billionaire-accused-raping-student-not-face-charges.html

Quote:
Chinese billionaire Richard Liu will not face charges over the alleged rape of a woman in Minnesota because prosecutors said they could not prove his guilt beyond a reasonable doubt.

Liu, founder of the Beijing-based e-commerce site JD.com, was arrested August 31 in Minneapolis on suspicion of felony rape and released within hours. He returned to China.

Prosecutors said that 'profound evidentiary problems' would have made it 'highly unlikely' that any charge could have been proven beyond a reasonable doubt.

Liu was alleged to have attacked a 21-year-old Chinese student at the University of Minnesota after they went out for dinner as part of a group on August 30.
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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3:02p, 12/22/18
https://www.brookings.edu/blog/ben-bernanke/2017/01/26/shrinking-the-feds-balance-sheet/

Interesting to reread Bernanke's article from January 2017 on FED Balance Sheet size. Bernanke thought the US would naturally grow into it over time.
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claym711
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In reply to Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX • 7:09p, 12/22/18
AG
They've already been dumping assets. Fed has caused every crash.
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oldarmy1
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In reply to Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX • 12:10p, 12/23/18
AG
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:
https://www.brookings.edu/blog/ben-bernanke/2017/01/26/shrinking-the-feds-balance-sheet/

Interesting to reread Bernanke's article from January 2017 on FED Balance Sheet size. Bernanke thought the US would naturally grow into it over time.
Not sure if the balance sheet would have ever made it back naturally but there is no doubt that this Fed has purposelly accelerated a rate increase for absolutely no reason I can see except to derail economic growth. That makes it look increasingly political, and creates the duped down dumb to believe lowering taxes does not spur long-term economic growth.

In my assessment this is criminal and it hasn't impacted me over a 4% loss personally.
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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In reply to oldarmy1 • 6:51p, 12/23/18
Agree, especially on the accelerated interest rate upward moves. December rate increase made no sense. However, I do believe rates need to go up.

President Trump should fire Powell. And, considering what Sec. Mnuchin did today, President Trump should fire him today as well.
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ProgN
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In reply to oldarmy1 • 7:05p, 12/23/18
Agreed! Interest rates should have gone up gradually at the end of the Bamsters second term but Yellen didn't and now they've gone up too much. You pair this with the Fed decreasing their balance sheet and it stinks of politics. IMO, they want a recession going into 2020 to turn working class people against Trump due to layoffs before the election.
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pacecar02
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10:40p, 12/23/18
Mnuchin is calling a meeting with big banks

https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2018/12/23/treasury-secretary-makes-unusual-pre-christmas-call-top-bank-ceos-amid-market-mayhem/?noredirect=on&utm_term=.8e47574bce86
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leoj
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In reply to pacecar02 • 11:26p, 12/23/18
AG
What an idiot. What is the point of doing that?
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IrishTxAggie
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In reply to leoj • 11:38p, 12/23/18
AG
Try to stop the hemorrhaging because Powell won't stfu.
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wessimo
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6:14a, 12/24/18
AG


Thanks for making me more worried!!
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Wrighty
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6:25a, 12/24/18
AG
I'm not sure what's worse about Secretary Mnuchin's statement.
a) that he decided to focus attention on liquidity concerns in the market.
b) that he is stupid enough to think that we are all stupid enough to believe that a public statement like this would be anything other than a rosy colored view, like Baghdad bob would give.

If I didn't know that trump was behind him putting huge pressure to "get the market back up", I would be concerned.
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pfo
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7:44a, 12/24/18
AG
Mnuchin's "Plunge Protection Team" need only consist consist of Fed Chairman Powel announcing there will be no more interest rates hikes! That alone would probably result in a 10% rise in the S&P within about 5 minutes.
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leoj
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In reply to IrishTxAggie • 8:13a, 12/24/18
AG
But no one was concerned about those banks, or any banks really, having a liquidity crisis?
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UpstateAg
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8:15a, 12/24/18
AG
Nothing says "Everything is fine" like assembling a team called Plunge Protection Team.
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leoj
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8:46a, 12/24/18
AG
Thisisfine.gif
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