$BYON looking good for a launch.

Marcos Lemonis has his hands in this recovery story.

Just being fully transparent here.. this doesn't have to be the day that UPST takes off. I hope it is, and I have a large position. But I can see a scenario where it falls back under $60 today. If you can't stomach that, then please use risk management.

I would not be buying calls. IV is very high. On the flip side, selling puts can be a great way to extract some premium here. IV decay is going to crush the value of options in the coming days, even if there's a sizeable move.

Man, I looked into UPST, but I just can't figure out how the win in this environment.

You just love to piss in Cheerios

bmoochie said:

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You just love to piss in Cheerios

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I want people to understand the opportunity and the risk and to make the best decision for themselves. I try to let them know where I stand and what I have to gain or lose so they know I'm not pump and dumping or talking out of my ass. I'm not an investment advisor. Just someone trying to help. But I learned the hard way not to follow anyone who doesn't advise where their analysis could be wrong. Sometimes I rush to make a post during a busy period of the day. This one, I realized I didn't highlight any risks. We have earnings. There's always risks on earnings moves. Wanted people to know Im bullish, but what the downside could be if Im wrong.

i know i know. just giving you a hard time

bmoochie said:

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i know i know. just giving you a hard time

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Heineken-Ashi said:

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Just being fully transparent here.. this doesn't have to be the day that UPST takes off. I hope it is, and I have a large position. But I can see a scenario where it falls back under $60 today. If you can't stomach that, then please use risk management.

I would not be buying calls. IV is very high. On the flip side, selling puts can be a great way to extract some premium here. IV decay is going to crush the value of options in the coming days, even if there's a sizeable move.

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Sold 2/14 $45P for $0.20. Let's get this beer money.

this is a don't look at your app kinda day. Oof. Ordinarily, I'd be shopping, but this market insanity doesn't give much confidence in dip buy ups

Just a reminder, no matter what your methodology is, the patience and uncertainty you have to fight through. But if you have a sound system and stick with your conviction, it can work out beautifully. I posted this on Jan 16th.





Projecting the consolidation. But won't rule out a rip straight to target.

my netfree Call will gladly accept your target by tomorrow.

Heineken-Ashi said:

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Just a reminder, no matter what your methodology is, the patience and uncertainty you have to fight through. But if you have a sound system and stick with your conviction, it can work out beautifully.





Projecting the consolidation. But won't rule out a rip straight to target.

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I took my gains and ran $2 too early and climbing, mostly to offset the pain of some of my stop outs, but also cuz I'm a *****. Hope yall have better diamond hands than me

Have 200 net free shares left of UPST so now need to decide how to play it. Let it ride to $100 or sell some here?

gougler08 said:

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Have 200 net free shares left of UPST so now need to decide how to play it. Let it ride to $100 or sell some here?

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geez, I feel so inadequate with my 30 share play

zgolfz85 said:

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gougler08 said:

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Have 200 net free shares left of UPST so now need to decide how to play it. Let it ride to $100 or sell some here?

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geez, I feel so inadequate with my 30 share play

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I had a big negative for a while so don't feel bad on this one!

gougler08 said:

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Have 200 net free shares left of UPST so now need to decide how to play it. Let it ride to $100 or sell some here?

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I'm riding. Ideally it doesn't see below $78 again. Last earnings had an initial push on earnings day, then ripped the next couple of days.

Quote:

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August 5th low - $19.95. Earnings Aug 6th.
August 29th post earnings high - $45.54 - over 2x

Nov 4th low - $47.11. Earnings Nov 7th.
Nov 11th post earnings high - $86.07 - nearly 2x

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That was from the post I had on Jan 16th. If tomorrow doesn't move any higher, it's likely going to consolidate and can be at the mercy of market volatility. Anywhere between $60 and $70 is possible, even after this rip, while maintaining bullishness. I have my stop at $73.50 pre-breakout range and would be willing to get back on a hold anywhere above $60. But if this is like the last earnings move, you could see this play out over the next week..

I feel ya, rocking a measly 25 shares

Brian Earl Spilner said:

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**** it. I guess I'm back in on SMCI.

A tiny sliver of my position from last year though. And I'm annoyed I jumped back in almost $13 above where I sold, but eh. I made those losses back with SOXL at least.

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Im using todays low / earnings low as stop.

And if it plays out, I'm GTFO near target.

Long ways out, but Honeywell officially announced the spinoff likely happening 2nd half of 2026. Automation and then aerospace. Definitely has my attention and worth a bookmark

am I reading that right? you're thinking SMCI goes to 120's...and then tanks back down to $10...yeesh!!! I'm almost to net free valuations...might just have to thin out with a bit more pop...

I started buying at 32. Got out in the upper 20s and I think it started going up the next day it feels like.

You all are welcome.

I'm not nearly that optimistic. I've got my SMCI target at $60.

EnronAg said:

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am I reading that right? you're thinking SMCI goes to 120's...and then tanks back down to $10...yeesh!!! I'm almost to net free valuations...might just have to thin out with a bit more pop...

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I'll probably sell when it hits the 161.8% extension on my chart which is $70 range. But I'm just looking at the way the fibs set up. It has a lot of room to climb and bullish sentiment can do crazy things, especially on stocks like this. Timeline is likely longer than shown.

Anyone have an insight as to if the CPI/inflation data is supposed to be positive or negative?

I see SMCI is ripping early (+9.5%)

Woof.