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SF2004
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8:01p, 3/12/23
AG
Welp, the feds bail out the banks again. Allowing them to borrow at the FED window at FED rate and use an asset that could be 30% underwater.

Essentially they can ride this out with a spread of FED funds minus ~1.5% (which is what most of these HTM securities are).

Small loss for banks so they can continue to make stupid decisions.

What this will do is give JP more room to raise rates short term as he doesn't have to worry about banks liquidity now.

Market should rally from here and not look back as the 5.5-5.75 is pretty priced in.

Pain to come in the real world and lending will dry up. Why take a chance with my capital at a bank when I can make 5% at the FED.

All hail mega banks and S&P 500 companies... They are our overlords now.
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Heineken-Ashi
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In reply to Dan Scott • 8:35p, 3/12/23
Dan Scott said:
Fed was created to prevent bank runs. They are lender of last resort. They just did their job. Taxpayers would have been more screwed if this didn't occur and then have more money spent with the stimulus that would occur.
That you and many others think and believe this nonsense is why the charade continues.
"H-A: In return for the flattery, can you reduce the size of your signature? It's the only part of your posts that don't add value. In its' place, just put "I'm an investing savant, and make no apologies for it", as oldarmy1 would do."
- I Bleed Maroon (distracted easily by signatures)
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M4 Benelli
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In reply to M4 Benelli • 9:40p, 3/12/23
M4 Benelli said:
I overzealously bought up a crap ton of SBNY and PACW today. Need to take a chance at shooting some 3 pointers. Blood in the streets, bleh bleh bleh.

Right now my port looks like an overturned canoe.


Cool a 50k loss out of the blue. Ive been having a lovely year.

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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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9:52p, 3/12/23
Anybody seeing, hearing, reading or know anyone that is deeply market connected that can verify the Shorting of bank stocks has been put on hold? Also, all Shorting put on hold? I highly doubt this, but life ain't like it use to be either..

ETA: TD Ameritrade hurting from naked Short FTDs...??? Just rumblings I'm guessing.
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$30,000 Millionaire
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In reply to M4 Benelli • 10:29p, 3/12/23
AG
M4 Benelli said:
M4 Benelli said:
I overzealously bought up a crap ton of SBNY and PACW today. Need to take a chance at shooting some 3 pointers. Blood in the streets, bleh bleh bleh.

Right now my port looks like an overturned canoe.


Cool a 50k loss out of the blue. Ive been having a lovely year.



I'm really sorry.
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Bonfire1996
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10:39p, 3/12/23
AG
Goldman makes the call. No more rate increases. 2 year is crashing right now.

Pivot has been called.

For reference, historical bear markets do not end until pivot in fed policy takes place. Very interesting.
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Dan Scott
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In reply to M4 Benelli • 10:41p, 3/12/23
AG
M4 Benelli said:
M4 Benelli said:
I overzealously bought up a crap ton of SBNY and PACW today. Need to take a chance at shooting some 3 pointers. Blood in the streets, bleh bleh bleh.

Right now my port looks like an overturned canoe.


Cool a 50k loss out of the blue. Ive been having a lovely year.



That sucks. I bought Washington Mutual around $2 just a couple hours before it went under. Not $50k but a lot for me at the time
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Dan Scott
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10:45p, 3/12/23
AG
SPX back to 200MA. Fudge it happened without me
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M4 Benelli
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In reply to $30,000 Millionaire • 10:53p, 3/12/23
$30,000 Millionaire said:
M4 Benelli said:
M4 Benelli said:
I overzealously bought up a crap ton of SBNY and PACW today. Need to take a chance at shooting some 3 pointers. Blood in the streets, bleh bleh bleh.

Right now my port looks like an overturned canoe.


Cool a 50k loss out of the blue. Ive been having a lovely year.



I'm really sorry.


Thanks brutha, its not the money per se, but all the time I put into it. Shouldve just tossed it at an index, or bought something stupid.
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Fightin2010
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In reply to Bonfire1996 • 11:00p, 3/12/23
AG
Isn't the bottom typically in around six months after rate decrease? Haven't double checked it but if true we still have a ways to go down
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Heineken-Ashi
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In reply to Fightin2010 • 11:07p, 3/12/23
Fightin2010 said:
Isn't the bottom typically in around six months after rate decrease? Haven't double checked it but if true we still have a ways to go down
March 2008 Bear Sterns collapses
September 2008 FED takes over Freddie and Fannie and Lehman goes bust.
October 2008 TARP followed by big market drop.
March 2009 market low
"H-A: In return for the flattery, can you reduce the size of your signature? It's the only part of your posts that don't add value. In its' place, just put "I'm an investing savant, and make no apologies for it", as oldarmy1 would do."
- I Bleed Maroon (distracted easily by signatures)
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Heineken-Ashi
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11:08p, 3/12/23
Forgot December 08 FED drops rates to 0
"H-A: In return for the flattery, can you reduce the size of your signature? It's the only part of your posts that don't add value. In its' place, just put "I'm an investing savant, and make no apologies for it", as oldarmy1 would do."
- I Bleed Maroon (distracted easily by signatures)
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irish pete ag06
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1:14a, 3/13/23
AG
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Dan Scott
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3:55a, 3/13/23
AG
Bank stocks giving up premarket gains. BAC went red
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Dan Scott
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4:27a, 3/13/23
AG
Futures go red. Bank of America down 5%. Charles Schwab down another 5% that's my broker
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Dan Scott
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5:09a, 3/13/23
AG
Charles Schwab down 15%
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JobSecurity
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7:07a, 3/13/23
AG
Biden to speak around 8am ct
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Dan Scott
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7:13a, 3/13/23
AG
Market getting nasty
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FJ43
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7:15a, 3/13/23
VIX 29.50

Sold a bit op early those calls
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

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DeangeloVickers
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In reply to JobSecurity • 7:26a, 3/13/23
AG
JobSecurity said:
Biden to speak around 8am ct


It might get worse
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Red Pear Luke (BCS)
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7:26a, 3/13/23
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AG
10YR has shed 20bps
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FJ43
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7:28a, 3/13/23
Could we get a sell in first hour into 379ish? Asking for a friend.
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

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Bird Poo
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In reply to Bonfire1996 • 7:40a, 3/13/23
AG
Bonfire1996 said:
Goldman makes the call. No more rate increases. 2 year is crashing right now.

Pivot has been called.

For reference, historical bear markets do not end until pivot in fed policy takes place. Very interesting.


So, Goldman is fighting the fed?
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FJ43
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In reply to FJ43 • 7:44a, 3/13/23
FJ43 said:
Quick chart (close but not exact SRs) while I wait to go into my barber.

Zones I am targeting to downside in weeks ahead.

Notice the volume Friday.

Of course trade what's in front of you.






Looks like we may achieve my zone 1 target. Let's see.
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

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Charismatic Megafauna
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7:55a, 3/13/23
AG
So hard right now
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ProgN
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7:57a, 3/13/23
Red to Green today
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FJ43
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7:59a, 3/13/23
Few hours ago

Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

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Dan Scott
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8:02a, 3/13/23
AG
I've been up since 3am. This premarket trading today is the most wild I've ever seen. Multiple 100+ points swings all morning
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Ag CPA
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In reply to Dan Scott • 8:13a, 3/13/23
AG
Dan Scott said:
SPX back to 200MA. Fudge it happened without me


Came back, this is your lucky day.
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FTAG 2000
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8:18a, 3/13/23
AG
You guys, Biden has a plan. Everything is fine.
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GreasenUSA
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In reply to Dan Scott • 8:22a, 3/13/23
AG
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Red Pear Luke (BCS)
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In reply to FTAG 2000 • 8:23a, 3/13/23
Sponsor
AG
FTAG 2000 said:
You guys, Biden has a plan. Everything is fine.


The taxpayer is about to witness the strength of street knowledge



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cone
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8:26a, 3/13/23
AG
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$30,000 Millionaire
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8:27a, 3/13/23
AG
This is no touch for me right now
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$30,000 Millionaire
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8:28a, 3/13/23
AG
Technicals don't matter right now
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