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25,020,625 Views | 233796 Replies | Last: 3 hrs ago by Heineken-Ashi
GreasenUSA
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8:28a, 1/12/23
AG
I know one president would have at least cared about inflation, and done everything in his power to abate it.

I know another president who is not doing those things.
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bigtoneag
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In reply to Red Pear Luke (BCS) • 8:30a, 1/12/23
AG
Core CPI IS higher month over month. Fed is going to dunk on us in February.
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BaylorSpineGuy
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In reply to 59 South • 8:31a, 1/12/23
59 South said:
$30,000 Millionaire said:
Anyone on this thread that really knows the markets knows that Biden isn't to blame for the inflation we are experiencing. It would have been exactly the same if the Donald got re elected.
Me watching the comments roll in on this one knowing how many standard deviations to the right on the political spectrum the average thread follower falls...



Standard deviations to the right…..ROTFLMAO!

Look…inflation is systemic. Both parties get to own it. Yet, both project it onto the other. Both parties emptied the vault on COVID spending bills. Let's not pretend otherwise.

Other things can be debated: energy policies, etc., but direct govt spending as a contributing cause of inflation is a two party problem.
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Charismatic Megafauna
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In reply to Charismatic Megafauna • 8:32a, 1/12/23
AG
Charismatic Megafauna said:
I'm just over here catching falling (flying) knives with teeny tiny position size. Tomorrow at the 396.4 touch I'll join fj in feb monthly puts instead of dailies or weeklies like I've been doing. When the trend flips i get paralysis because i don't believe it. Need to do some reading and see if i can fix that about me

Grabbed a feb17 367 put for 1.81
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sts7049
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In reply to Red Pear Luke (BCS) • 8:33a, 1/12/23
AG
Red Pear BCS Luke said:
I was just trying to make a funny!

Edit: if Inflation was higher still, you'd see Biden out there projecting the blame. But they (dems) are absolutely going to take the credit of it going lower.
every president /political party in history takes credit for good and blames the other for bad. politics 101
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irish pete ag06
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8:43a, 1/12/23
AG


Natural gas trying to break the down trend
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Saltyag15
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8:47a, 1/12/23
AG
Sooooo...safe to say that Goldman Sachs was a little optimistic with their forecast earlier this week? They were correct that it would fall, so it wasn't wrong. But if their goal was to pump the market for a couple of days, then I guess they succeeded.
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$30,000 Millionaire
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In reply to Heineken-Ashi • 8:51a, 1/12/23
AG
I just decided to move on.
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$30,000 Millionaire
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8:59a, 1/12/23
AG
Fixed a mistake. I'm out now.


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$30,000 Millionaire
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9:07a, 1/12/23
AG
Choose wisely today. You're fighting theta and volatility.
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$30,000 Millionaire
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9:28a, 1/12/23
AG
Up $2K now. Stopping while ahead.
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Brian Earl Spilner
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In reply to irish pete ag06 • 9:31a, 1/12/23
AG
irish pete ag06 said:


Natural gas trying to break the down trend


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wanderer
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9:38a, 1/12/23
XBI trying to break out of it's ~4mo box? ~85 is resistence
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Churlish Sambino
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In reply to irish pete ag06 • 9:43a, 1/12/23
AG
irish pete ag06 said:


Natural gas trying to break the down trend


Anyone think BOIL is looking more attractive now?
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$30,000 Millionaire
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10:03a, 1/12/23
AG
Boil will touch $20 again soon
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$30,000 Millionaire
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10:04a, 1/12/23
AG
See you all this afternoon.
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LMCane
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10:06a, 1/12/23
Nasdaq can't make up it's mind bouncing hundreds of points back and forth this morning
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Brewmaster
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In reply to $30,000 Millionaire • 10:11a, 1/12/23
AG
$30,000 Millionaire said:
Boil will touch $20 again soon
reverse split first? lol. it's almost due for one, looking at the last couple.
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irish pete ag06
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In reply to $30,000 Millionaire • 10:30a, 1/12/23
AG
$30,000 Millionaire said:
Boil will touch $20 again soon
Can I pay you $88 a month to make that happen.

I longed it at 13 and averaged down at 10.50ish. Long dated options. I'm targeting 15 and then 20.
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Heineken-Ashi
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10:30a, 1/12/23
Long auto insurance stocks

Car insurance rates to rise 8.4% in 2023: Report - ABC News (go.com)
"H-A: In return for the flattery, can you reduce the size of your signature? It's the only part of your posts that don't add value. In its' place, just put "I'm an investing savant, and make no apologies for it", as oldarmy1 would do."
- I Bleed Maroon (distracted easily by signatures)
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irish pete ag06
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In reply to Heineken-Ashi • 11:05a, 1/12/23
AG
Heineken-Ashi said:
Long auto insurance stocks

Car insurance rates to rise 8.4% in 2023: Report - ABC News (go.com)
I can provide some real insight here.

Insurance companies got smoked last year (apparently one major carrier lost $ on their investments for the first time in their history). So yes they are going to use this opportunity to raise rates.

If the market has also recovered quite a bit by the end of 2023 then you will see some major profits in this year.

Take a look at Chubb (CB)



Steady uptrend. Not many stocks have a chart like this since the COVID crash.


Also if you have a high earner, you should definitely look at Chubb for insuring your stuff. You are their targe market and they really differentiate themselves in this segment. I would gladly look at it for you (shameless plug), but our home/auto insurance division is not up and running yet (still got hoops and a little red tape to clear)



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not hedge
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11:34a, 1/12/23
Funny how when my funds are on the sidelines the market goes up
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Ags2013
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In reply to not hedge • 11:53a, 1/12/23
AG
not hedge said:
Funny how when my funds are on the sidelines the market goes up
YUP
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BaylorSpineGuy
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11:56a, 1/12/23
Measured move of the inverse H&S breakout is 3995 and we are approaching that level now.
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gougler08
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In reply to BaylorSpineGuy • 12:16p, 1/12/23
AG
BaylorSpineGuy said:
Measured move of the inverse H&S breakout is 3995 and we are approaching that level now.
Could also be looking at cup/handle formation on the daily, which would put top of this run around 410 for SPY
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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In reply to Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX • 12:21p, 1/12/23
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:
Quote:
Latest estimate: 4.1 percent January 10, 2023

The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2022 is 4.1 percent on January 10, up from 3.8 percent on January 5. After recent releases from the Institute for Supply Management, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, and the US Census Bureau, the nowcasts of fourth-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth and fourth-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth increased from 3.2 percent and 5.8 percent, respectively, to 3.5 percent and 6.8 percent, respectively.
https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow


I'd guess the narrative will eventually change,...no recession to a soft landing & slow growth.

Narrative started today. Timing.

BTW, your next 5, maybe 6, CPI's SHOULD show improvement. It's math. Someone posted earlier about the MoM difference. You have to look at YoY. Media only looks at MoM for a news bullet point. Financial markets use YoY.

Be on the look out for when the State of the Union address will be given. Will it be the latest ever delivered?

Just like Randy Bullock,....that danged ol' XOM just don't miss..

Moo
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$30,000 Millionaire
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12:27p, 1/12/23
AG
Market makers gonna git ya. Lol.
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FTAG 2000
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12:28p, 1/12/23
AG
What's with the drop in the last few?
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$30,000 Millionaire
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In reply to FTAG 2000 • 12:32p, 1/12/23
AG
See above
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FTAG 2000
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In reply to $30,000 Millionaire • 12:35p, 1/12/23
AG
$30,000 Millionaire said:
See above

Tree shake for stops?

We just filled a gap on SPY from 12/14-15 (396.33ish).
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$30,000 Millionaire
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In reply to FTAG 2000 • 12:37p, 1/12/23
AG
You don't think they're going to pay on these call contracts do you?
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ProgN
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12:38p, 1/12/23
That was a very impressive stop loss raid.
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txaggieacct85
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In reply to $30,000 Millionaire • 12:38p, 1/12/23
AG
$30,000 Millionaire said:
See above
Theres a lot above
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$30,000 Millionaire
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12:39p, 1/12/23
AG
I mean it's just so classic. Lunch hour, low volume time, they'll push it down to get you out.
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$30,000 Millionaire
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12:43p, 1/12/23
AG
It's like taking candy from babies.
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