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24,676,113 Views | 233375 Replies | Last: 25 min ago by Towns03
irish pete ag06
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AG
And if it does... will we fill the gap today?.. I can see 3760 being a magnet to the upside potentially
topher06
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Ha nice edit there
irish pete ag06
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AG
Haha... yes
BaylorSpineGuy
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Reversal here ? Seeing buying weakness setting in at this level. On different time frequencies too.
Triple_Bagger
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It's rally time today with interest rates tanking
Brian Earl Spilner
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AG
Do we fill the gap?
irish pete ag06
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AG


Almost there
topher06
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Brian Earl Spilner said:

Do we fill the gap?
I dumped all my calls I bought earlier, I'm not option-less (other than GOLD, which isn't ideal right now).
$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
No but should have bought more.
Ragoo
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AG
$1400 on the day
Headed to the ranch tomorrow for guys weekend. 10 college buddies from A&M. Met in 2004 and been best friends since.
$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
I just quickly built up a couple net free 3725C. Going to let go into close.
Heineken-Ashi
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Triple_Bagger said:

It's rally time today with interest rates tanking


The 10-year does not seem done pushing upward. We need to see 3.50 again if there's any hope for downward relief to be underway. Otherwise, this might merely be short term relief before the next push up to 4.25.

Remember, the FED reiterated over and over their commitment to crushing inflation at any cost. 50bp is the minimum for the next raise while 75 is on the table. And the market has now been surprised (stupidly.. it's like they listen to CNBC every morning who continually tells them we've seen peak inflation and the FED is going to pause - ALWAYS WRONG) 3 times. The market will price in 75 and might even go over.

And that's not all. If the 2 year is still higher at that point, the 10 year can extend upward.

The good news is, there will be relief at some point. After the next rate increase by the FED I fully expect a 1-2Q pause, especially since crude oil prices will be exploding upward again in the coming European winter of death. The FED will have no choice but to pause and "let the market soak it in".

During that period, equities will show some strength. But I do fear winter 23/24. Lots to play out until then. Follow the beer candles. Follow the trend. Bet with the trend. When someone tells you they are going to swing at the next pitch, the only reason you throw a strike is if it's a 3-2 count in the bottom of the 9th with the bases loaded in a tie game. So unless you are about to retire and have nothing to your name but your cash equities account and have all of your chips sitting in cash with no ability to trade margin and short things, you believe them and get the easy out.
"H-A: In return for the flattery, can you reduce the size of your signature? It's the only part of your posts that don't add value. In its' place, just put "I'm an investing savant, and make no apologies for it", as oldarmy1 would do."
- I Bleed Maroon (distracted easily by signatures)
irish pete ag06
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AG
You're gonna be rich.

If we move through 3720 it's gonna move fast to 3750
BlueTaze
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I think the highest probability long in this market is oil related equities. Both TA and fundamentals point to higher oil. The central bank demand destruction will likely be offset by a China reopen.
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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If I were me, I'd probably try to determine what happens after the oil & dollar correlation brakes. The decouple will happen.

I'm still banging on my (oil) drum all day....can y'all hear it yet?
Heineken-Ashi
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:

If I were me, I'd probably try to determine what happens after the oil & dollar correlation brakes. The decouple will happen.

I'm still banging on my (oil) drum all day....can y'all hear it yet?


I (Heine) ken hear it.

I'll see myself out.
"H-A: In return for the flattery, can you reduce the size of your signature? It's the only part of your posts that don't add value. In its' place, just put "I'm an investing savant, and make no apologies for it", as oldarmy1 would do."
- I Bleed Maroon (distracted easily by signatures)
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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If you hadn't heard, Germans took to the streets protesting green energy and wanted relations mended with Putin so Nat Gas would be available this winter....only to learn later that their pipelines were blown up. Got riots yet?

2 pipelines go down and one comes up - all on the same day. As they say, timing is everything!

Greenies are pretty serious about sticking to the plan, but I think Putin will destroy the NWO all by himself.

Go XOM!
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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<rim shot>
topher06
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Loaded a few 9/30 370 SPY calls. Premium is intense though. EDIT: Sold them for a little gain, not comfortable with buying so close shouldn't have even done it. Holding a few 10/21 385 SPY calls.
Saltyag15
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Prayers for all of our folks in South West Florida today. Watching a live weather feed right now of Hurricane Ian making landfall. Going to be a rough next 24 hours for that state. And then recovery long after.
$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
Built up a few more net free runners for the close. 3725C
topher06
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Testing SPY 370
$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
$30,000 Millionaire said:

Built up a few more net free runners for the close. 3725C


Now the hard part. Not selling things that have doubled.
Philip J Fry
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AG
We are overbought on the 10 minute.
irish pete ag06
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$30,000 Millionaire said:

I just quickly built up a couple net free 3725C. Going to let go into close.
NICE
irish pete ag06
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AG
SPX over 3720 and in the gap... will it reject or close it
wanderer
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Nice!

I'd love to hear a bit about your 0DTE SPX strategy. Is it pure support/resistance based? ATR? EMA? 30k algo?
Charismatic Megafauna
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AG
irish pete ag06 said:

SPX over 3720 and in the gap... will it reject or close it

Power hour lfg!
irish pete ag06
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AG
WHERE'S THE RALLY @$$
$30,000 Millionaire
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Built up some more net free 3730.

Hold onto your damn butts guys.
topher06
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Out on all long SPY calls. Good luck 30k
irish pete ag06
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MAN
gig em 02
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Red dog reversals everywhere, time to revisit some 21 EMAs?
irish pete ag06
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AG
Big wick off 3720 once it passed it on SPX 3 minute.

Think she's gonna go again.

$30,000 Millionaire
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This is building up energy. Could go to 3750 if it doesn't puke.
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