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25,707,297 Views | 234953 Replies | Last: 4 hrs ago by frankm01
Bob Knights Paper Hands
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Irish 2.0 said:

TSLA?! My God!!

I wouldn't have, but if I had held those last 8 $805 puts overnight that would have been a good mistake.
E
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AG
Woke up to seeing Putin bombed our accounts… T&P to all my fellow bagholders accounts
bmoochie
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AG
Has anyone seen this?? Means I bet people in power knew ahead of time and could have shorted majorly. Wonder how rich Pelosi and gang got on this

BrokeAssAggie
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oldarmy1
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AG
Redler beginning his portional entry strategy today.

Bob Knights Paper Hands
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What is the blood in the streets account?
oldarmy1
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AG
First trigger pull is $BABA under $100. Taking a risk it doesn't tank prior to options trading opening. Not for most
oldarmy1
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It's his 100% cash account he uses for long entries versus his active trading account.
Irish 2.0
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I'm eyeing NVDA Jan 24 $300C
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ProgN
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#MeToo
Touchless
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AG
Thinking back to that chart the other day about markets after an invasion, I would say the other day wasn't a real 'invasion' as there was no fighting over it. Maybe this is the real invasion and we bounce soon.

I don't really see it playing out that way, but just a thought.
ProgN
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jj9000 said:

oldarmy1 said:

It's his 100% cash account he uses for long entries versus his active trading account.


I agree with the layering strategy for long term entries.

But, do our current SPY levels really qualify as 'blood in the streets' ? We were around these levels around 8 months ago.
Yes, unless you believe we're going to war with Russia, then no. The market is the best vehicle to outpace inflation and buying the best of the best stocks while they're on sale is tha smart play.
Irish 2.0
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Hell, we might actually be getting close to a time to buy ARKK...
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59 South
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Irish 2.0 said:

Hell, we might actually be getting close to a time to buy ARKK...
Patience to $50 yo
Spoony Love
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I'm inclined to agree with you. I still think there is more pain to come for the markets from this current conflict. But as mentioned by others, there are other looming economic factors that can push this much lower.

But starting with 25% entry of his account is a good layering strategy. We may see an uptick in the short term and he can decide to take the profits then or stay depending on his outlook.
Bob Knights Paper Hands
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Short-term long side if we appear to bounce with volume I'm looking at TSLA, MSFT, AAPL, SPX, and QQQ.

Short-term downside I'm probably still on NDVA, OSTK, and SPX.

I'll look at buying VIX $24-26 puts for 3/9 or 3/23 if they get cheap enough to be lottos.
gig em 02
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jj9000 said:

ProgN said:

jj9000 said:

oldarmy1 said:

It's his 100% cash account he uses for long entries versus his active trading account.


I agree with the layering strategy for long term entries.

But, do our current SPY levels really qualify as 'blood in the streets' ? We were around these levels around 8 months ago.
Yes, unless you believe we're going to war with Russia, then no. The market is the best vehicle to outpace inflation and buying the best of the best stocks while they're on sale is tha smart play.


Individual stocks will outperform...no doubt.

That's not what he's layering into though...he's dropping 25% into SPX today and layering downward. My point is that there isn't 'blood in the streets' on SPX as he suggests.


It's just what he calls the account.
oldarmy1
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AG
jj9000 said:

oldarmy1 said:

It's his 100% cash account he uses for long entries versus his active trading account.


I agree with the layering strategy for long term entries.

But, do our current SPY levels really qualify as 'blood in the streets' ? We were around these levels around 8 months ago.


China is saber-rattling about Taiwan. Certainly could be escalation. I prefer my approach. I may have less uncommitted shares for gains but I eliminate all downside risk.
$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
Don't use all your bullets today. 4270 was the key support and. now that it's failed the 3XXX handles are now in the cards. Not directly, but I think this could go a bit deeper.

For now, I still think we get an oversold bounce before another leg down.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
wanderer
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oldarmy1 said:

Only way I trade during these events is using covered calls on 50-75% shares entered and 100% puts against all shares, paid for with the covered call premium. I get 50-25% unentangled share upside with little risk to even moderate gain even if stock craters.

Do the math and target earnings for higher premiums.
How far out to do target? 30, 60, 90 days? What's your deciding factor?
oldarmy1
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wanderer said:

oldarmy1 said:

Only way I trade during these events is using covered calls on 50-75% shares entered and 100% puts against all shares, paid for with the covered call premium. I get 50-25% unentangled share upside with little risk to even moderate gain even if stock craters.

Do the math and target earnings for higher premiums.
How far out to do target? 30, 60, 90 days? What's your deciding factor?


However far that your premium on calls negates the put cost. Use time to your advantage because its the one sure thing.
Engine10
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oldarmy1 said:

wanderer said:

oldarmy1 said:

Only way I trade during these events is using covered calls on 50-75% shares entered and 100% puts against all shares, paid for with the covered call premium. I get 50-25% unentangled share upside with little risk to even moderate gain even if stock craters.

Do the math and target earnings for higher premiums.
How far out to do target? 30, 60, 90 days? What's your deciding factor?


However far that your premium on calls negates the put cost. Use time to your advantage because its the one sure thing.

This. You have to ensure the call premium pays for the put. Keep it zero cost to you any way you slice it and takes risk off.
DDSO
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Why did I sell my 2955 amzn puts at the close, yesterday? I am in idiot, that's why.
$30,000 Millionaire
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You can't predict the future is why
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
DDSO
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Yeah but I was telling my buddy we would gap down after we took out 334 on the QQQ. It's fine I put money in my pocket. I just needed to get it out to people who would understand.

I understand I couldn't predict Putin and Russia.
aggie_fan13
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AG
So how we feeling, time to start buying yet?
some men you just cant reach ...
59 South
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oldarmy1 said:

wanderer said:

oldarmy1 said:

Only way I trade during these events is using covered calls on 50-75% shares entered and 100% puts against all shares, paid for with the covered call premium. I get 50-25% unentangled share upside with little risk to even moderate gain even if stock craters.

Do the math and target earnings for higher premiums.
How far out to do target? 30, 60, 90 days? What's your deciding factor?


However far that your premium on calls negates the put cost. Use time to your advantage because its the one sure thing.
For $SQ you only have to go out till tomorrow due to earnings

Example, buy 300 at 82-83, sell 2 calls and buy 3 puts at 80 which should be about equal (look in option chain for call = 1.5x put). I've almost talked myself into this trade at open here.

Also at a good price that is exactly back test of past long term resistance.
Cloud
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Anyone know why $CEI is going crazy last couple days?
Bob Knights Paper Hands
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China-Taiwan potential could be the reason TSLA has sold off so much? If we do have that happen my downside plays are AMZN, AMD, and TSLA. Big companies whose business would be most immediately and directly impacted without Taiwan chips or with China embargo. Probably also a lot of those Chinese stocks.
FTAG 2000
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AG
DDSO said:

Why did I sell my 2955 amzn puts at the close, yesterday? I am in idiot, that's why.
I sold my SPY $425 puts before the close yesterday too, you've got company on the short bus.

BaylorSpineGuy
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Any chance you think INTC rallies long term this? One of k my chip makers in USA.
Bob Knights Paper Hands
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EAT might be another one to go short on if we continue down. Maybe DRI as well, though it's been beaten up pretty good.

For LEAPs fans, we may be getting close to where UAL and JETS LEAPs start becoming attractive again.
tailgatetimer10
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AG
If Taiwan is in the cards, rip to:

NVDA, amd, AMZN, MSFT, AAPL, QCOM, etc

Basically anyone related to TSM. To be honest this is the most scary scenario
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