Am I reading this wrong or DIS trying to fill a January gap?

Happy Friday everyone

Well after HEAR debacle, I have been sitting on the sidelines waiting for a pull back. Maybe I can make up some of those losses next week.

Everything is down, but DE good lord. Debating if I buy more at this low level and hope for a bounce next week or just ride out what I have?

So should we be worrying once again about a steeper pullback based on the inverse?

Putting the signal out for OA guidance
https://giphy.com/gifs/film-cinemagraph-cinemagraphs-l396BoOTIFem9xqQU

Fed's signaling no more rates raised in 2019 is a tailwind for the rest of the year, IMO.

HackerAg said:

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Fed's signaling no more rates raised in 2019 is a tailwind for the rest of the year, IMO.

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I agree. I'm starting to load up on NIO right or wrong. Anyone else riding the stupid train with me? ENPH has been bailing me out.

I loaded up on Nio a week ago. A little prematurely but am just riding it out. For better or worse.

I got in on NIO at 5.80 a week back or so.

May buy a little more at 5:60 range.

Feds didnt wang to raise rates due to the inverse yield curve would have flipped and people would have freaked.
I dont think the feds need to raise rates for the recession to happen this year due to the credit bubble and sales/housing markets slowing down.

Why can't the fed raise rates past 2.25 and removes all '19 dots in this booming economy?

A couple raises and we have a full year of bear.

It's a huge bubble that's going to pop but they're gonna try to let the air out slowly. We'll see if it works.

They'll roll out a baby QE if not.

The feds dont wan a be the cause of the recession. That's what trump was made about the increased rate increases. He didn't want it on his terms of presidency.

Would be hard for him to win reelection if a recession begins under his terms.

So they tried to he out and let it begin naturally which for me would indicate a very fast and massive drop. Rather than a slow and regular downturn.

Granted this is just from my research into what drives the yield curve. And my views on the recent months downturns.

Screw it, bought more DIS 4/18 calls on this dip. It has a month to turn it around

tramaro1 said:

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Screw it, bought more DIS 4/18 calls on this dip. It has a month to turn it around

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That's a good buy, it's showing pretty good strength on ma down day

I lowered my cost basis on the DIS calls as well, just in time it seems

DIS trying to go positive. Very very good sign.

tramaro1 said:

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Putting the signal out for OA guidance
https://giphy.com/gifs/film-cinemagraph-cinemagraphs-l396BoOTIFem9xqQU

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Helping you out Tramaro.

Lol thanks

Just took a peek at the screen since this AM. Loads of red, but the daily charts don't look too badly damaged -- no major supports broken - as of now (knock on wood). I'll hold and see if there's follow through next week. Hopefully, Trump keeps his mouth shut unless announcing a China deal.

Today is a buying opportunity.

Rally into the close?

That'd be one hell of a power hour.

Just wishful thinking

Large buy immediately after bell on GILD (1-min).

S&P closed below 10ma, probably gap down Monday if no news

Holy crap. Had close door meetings all day and you guys killed the markets!

I mean it's perfectly expected to have a post gap fill pull back but this was excessive. And last gap fill before all time highs at that. Interesting. Will have to wait and see.

Fed goes super dove, same week yield curve inverts...

claym711 said:

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Why can't the fed raise rates past 2.25 and removes all '19 dots in this booming economy?

A couple raises and we have a full year of bear.

It's a huge bubble that's going to pop but they're gonna try to let the air out slowly. We'll see if it works.

They'll roll out a baby QE if not.

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This is not a bubble. You tell me where there's a bubble? Real estate isn't still flying off the handle like in 08. Lenders aren't out there with tons of subprime lending. Yes credit card debt is high, but unemployment is low so as long as people can pay. You want to see a "bubble", go look at the Chinese real estate....empty cities and people with tons of loans to own two or three apartments in these empty cities. On top of the amount of leverage throughout their entire economy as a whole. Do I think there are idiots in real estate? Yes. But they aren't going to be taking the numbers to take us down.

Feds need to raise rates to a level that allows them to drop them in a recession. What happens if the fed didn't raise the rates and the economy ranks? We gonna be like the Germans and have negative yield in our bonds? Come on.

The recession is probably going to be triggered by lack of global growth and market pullback. We've been going for almost 11 years now. Look at how long an economy grows between recessions...average is 10 years and we are right there. There's no way we could continue to have an aggressive growth (and not price it into the market) for 15-20 years. We are a mature established economy. A little pullback is a good thing.

TLDR: stop saying we are in a bubble, without posting any evidence. Just cause you watched the big short and understand what an MBS means does not mean we are in a bubble.