KT 90 said:What is the ETA for Jung's return? Don't recall seeing an update on him recently.MrCoachEricTaylor said:DallasAg 94 said:You've made a special point and I'll remind you of it... You can't cherry-pick stats and then misapply their use.Proposition Joe said:DallasAg 94 said:We are 2nd in Runs (708) and 2nd in Run Differential (+181).Grapesoda2525 said:I had mixed feelings about who to root for. We are going to have to start focusing on the wildcard if we continue to have the most anemic offense in the game ( I'm over exaggerating a little) but damn we get shut out and shut down wayyyy too often for being a top 5 ranked offense.Coppell97 said:
Red Sox win
Relax.
Obviously he is the biggest over-reactor in this thread, but important to realize that much of our gaudy run #'s were all put up in the first 2-3 months of the season.
Post ASB we are #12th in runs scored -- behind both Houston (who actually has had offensive woes this season) and Seattle.
This is a completely different offense than it was in April/May/June. Some of it is injury (Jung) but most of it is simply regression.
Are we going with regression or arbitrary dates to suit your need? At least give context... I'm limiting it to AL for a variety of reasons... one of which I'm not going to go into the full number of teams because it isn't necessary to make my point.
Pre ASB: Runs
531 Rangers - 91 G = 5.84 R/G
506 Tampa - 93 G
451 Boston - 91 G
-
417 Astros (6th) - 91 G = 4.58 R/G
404 Mariners (7th) - 89 G = 4.54 R/G
Post ASB: Runs
212 Astros (1st) - 37 G = 5.73 R/G
198 Mariners (2nd) - 38 G = 5.21 R/G
181 Twins (3rd) - 36 G = 5.03 R/G
181 Rays (4th) - 35 G = 5.17 R/G
180 O's (5th) - 37 G = 4.86 R/G
180 Royals (6th) - 38 G = 4.74 R/G
177 Rangers (7th) - 35 G = 5.05 R/G
Technically, yes the Rangers are 7th in AL in Runs scored since the ASB... but based on R/G, they are 4th. So, are we going to revert back to the 5.84 R/G team and the Astros/Mariners going back to the 4.5-4.6 range... or is baseball fickle based on slumps and hot streaks and Seattle is just en fuego, right now?
Here is what matters:
Record:
72-54 Rangers
72-56 Astros
71-56 Mariners
Post ASB:
26-12 Mariners
22-15 Astros
20-15 Rangers
Both the Astros and Mariners are averaging fewer R/G post ASB, than the Rangers were Pre-ASB. And while the Mariners have certainly closed the gap... The Astros have made up exactly 1Game since. And we've had as many as 5 of our 6 All-Stars on the IL simultaneously.
Let that sink in... 4th in AL in R/G since the ASB while 5 of 6 All-Stars have been on the IL. And the Astros have made up exactly 1 Game.
Does that bode well for any of the teams? To your point, the Mariners will likely regress. Their PED cycle will end and the Rangers' will ramp up.
ETA - This post isn't meant to be hostile, but mostly tongue-in-cheek banter while adding context to your stats.
Jung can't get back soon enough
At the beginning it was kinda 50/50 about coming back. But Bochy has come out and said that he's expecting him to rehab with the team and be back with a couple of weeks back before playoffs. But we'll see, with all the times Jung has gotten hurt, I do feel like he heals up pretty quick.