Mathguy64 said:
Yeah. Not throwing off a mound and not throwing breaking balls. Mid June at best. I'm betting July.
And it was just a minor forearm strain.
McCullers innings pitched per season and games played:
2015 - 125.2 (22 games started);
2016 - 81 (14 games started);
2017 - 118.2 (22 games started, All-star);
2018 - 128.1 (25 games played, 22 started);
2019 - 0 innings pitched (missed season);
2020 - 55 (11 games started during 60 game covid season);
2021 - 162.1 (28 games started, Astros decide that this is the new norm and lock him in for 5 years for $85 million. Not bad if he pitches 150 innings a year. Framber pitched over 200 innings last year);
2022 - 47.2 innings pitched (8 games started);
2023 - 0 innings pitched. (Assuming no more injuries or setbacks hopefully 80 innings pitched?)
2024, 2025, 2026, still on the books at $17 million per. If he was still at the beginning of his career we could hope for around 110 innings pitched per season and missing about 1/3 of his starts. Now much less based on the latter part of his career.
https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/m/mcculla02.shtmlhttps://www.spotrac.com/mlb/houston-astros/lance-mccullers-17540/But since 2019 he's pitched about 260 innings and made 47 starts. I'd say the covid season shouldn't be counted given how truncated it was, but it's his second best season since 2018 as far as longevity (11 games) even though it was only a 60 game season. Amusingly it would hurt his numbers to exclude it.
3 more years at 17 million per. I love him as a teammate and Astro, and he has nasty stuff, but he's never shown an ability to pitch a full season as a starter. Never getting to 30 starts in a season or even 170 innings pitched in the last decade isn't a good sign.
It will be interesting if LMJ or Jose Abreu put up more WAR over the next 3 years. At the current pace LMJ will win if he's injured all 3 years and doesn't play at all.