***Official Houston Astros 2022-23 Offseason Thread***

1,071,824 Views | 12340 Replies | Last: 1 yr ago by Beat40
tremble
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JV was such a workhorse that I'd find it very hard to trade SP talent. He gave you 29+ games last year and pitched 6 innings, or more, in like 22 of those games. We have depth but it's not going to replace what he brought every start.
Farmer1906
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tremble said:

JV was such a workhorse that I'd find it very hard to trade SP talent. He gave you 29+ games last year and pitched 6 innings, or more, in like 22 of those games. We have depth but it's not going to replace what he brought every start.


2023 JV won't do that either.
Farmer1906
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2nd offseason Houston sporting event for Pena & Hensley. With the McCullers/Correa & Tucker/Straw separations, we needed a new team bromance.
MosesHallRAB04
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The other pitching thing to consider is Javier, LMJ, Garcia not Urquidy are guys you pencil in for 6-7 innings per start. They are 5, maybe 6 innings typically. That gives you 1 horse in Framber and a little unknown in Brown. The 6 man rotation will be key I believe.
Farmer1906
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McCullers went 6 or more in 5/8 starts. 17/28 in 2021.
Javier went 6 or more in 11/25 starts.
Garcia 14/28
Urquidy 16/28

When healthy, it looks like Lance is best equipped to give you 6.
Mathguy64
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IIRC Javier was kept on a pretty strict pitch limit of around 90 per game. With his high K stuff getting through 6 made for a tough thing.
EastCoastAgNc
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Went back and looked at all the Cy Young winners since 2010. For whatever reason, seems like in that timespan, the NL winners did a better job of bouncing back after their Cy Young winning season. Seems less common for AL pitchers in recent years to match their performance the year after winning. Wonder if the DH has something to do with that vs having an automatic out in the lineup in the NL for the pitcher. Anyway, here's the info:

NL:
2010: Roy Halliday
- 2010: 2.44 ERA, 21-10 in 33 games started
- 2011: 2.35 ERA, 19-6 in 32 games started

2011: Clayton Kershaw
- 2011: 2.28 ERA, 21-5 in 33 games started
- 2012: 2.53 ERA, 14-9 in 33 games started

2012: R.A. Dickey
- 2012: 2.73 ERA, 20-6 in 33 games started
- 2013: 4.21 ERA, 14-13 in 34 games started

2013: Clayton Kershaw
- 2013: 1.83 ERA, 16-9 in 33 games started
- 2014: 1.77 ERA, 21-3 in 27 games started

2014: Clayton Kershaw
- 2014: 1.77 ERA, 21-3 in 27 games started
- 2015: 2.13 ERA, 16-7 in 33 games started

2015: Jake Arrieta
- 2015: 1.77 ERA, 22-6 in 33 games started
- 2016: 3.10 ERA, 18-8 in 31 games started

2016: Max Scherzer
- 2016: 2.96 ERA, 20-7 in 34 games started
- 2017: 2.51 ERA, 16-6 in 31 games started

2017: Max Scherzer
- 2017: 2.51 ERA, 16-6 in 31 games started
- 2018: 2.53 ERA, 18-7 in 33 games started

2018: Jacob deGrom
- 2018: 1.70 ERA, 10-9 in 32 games started
- 2019: 2.43 ERA, 11-8 in 32 games started

2019: Jacob deGrom
- 2019: 2.43 ERA, 11-8 in 32 games started
- 2020: 2.38 ERA, 4-2 in 12 games started

2020: Trevor Bauer
- 2020: 1.73 ERA, 5-4 in 11 games started
- 2021: 2.59 ERA, 8-5 in 17 games started prior to suspension

2021: Corbin Burns
- 2021: 2.43 ERA, 11-5 in 28 games started
- 2022: 2.94 ERA, 12-8 in 33 games started

AL:
2010: Felix Hernandez
- 2010: 2.27 ERA, 13-12 in 34 games started
- 2011: 3.47 ERA, 14-14 in 33 games started

2011: Justin Verlander
- 2011: 2.40 ERA, 24-5 in 34 games started
- 2012: 2.64 ERA, 17-8 in 33 games started

2012: David Price
- 2012: 2.56 ERA, 20-5 in 31 games started
- 2013: 3.33 ERA, 10-8 in 27 games started

2013: Max Scherzer
- 2013: 2.90 ERA, 21-3 in 32 games started
- 2014: 3.15 ERA, 18-5 in 33 games started

2014: Corey Kluber
- 2014: 2.44 ERA, 18-9 in 34 games started
- 2015: 3.49 ERA, 9-16 in 32 games started

2015: Dallas Keuchel
- 2015: 2.48 ERA, 20-8 in 33 games started
- 2016: 4.55 ERA, 9-12 in 26 games started

2016: Rick Porcello
- 2016: 3.15 ERA, 22-4 in 33 games started
- 2017: 4.65 ERA, 11-17 in 33 games started

2017: Corey Kluber
- 2017: 2.25 ERA, 18-4 in 29 games started
- 2018: 2.89 ERA, 20-7 in 33 games started

2018: Blake Snell
- 2018: 1.89 ERA, 21-5 in 31 games started
- 2019: 4.29 ERA, 6-8 in 23 games started

2019: Justin Verlander
- 2019: 2.58 ERA, 21-6 in 34 games started
- 2020: 3.00 ERA, 1-0 in 1 game started followed by Tommy John

2020: Shane Bieber
- 2020: 1.63 ERA, 8-1 in 12 games started
- 2021: 3.17 ERA, 7-4 in 16 games started

2021: Robbie Ray
- 2021: 2.84 ERA, 13-7 record in 32 games pitched
- 2022: 3.95 ERA, 12-12 record in 32 games pitched
AggiEE
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tremble said:

JV was such a workhorse that I'd find it very hard to trade SP talent. He gave you 29+ games last year and pitched 6 innings, or more, in like 22 of those games. We have depth but it's not going to replace what he brought every start.

Yes but he also missed the previous two seasons. It's hard to know what will happen vs. what is just an outlier season.

We shouldn't expect JV to repeat last year for the duration of the contract he signs. Expecting that for 3 years is pretty hard to believe. If he does it, then obviously it's a legendary stretch of performance for a pitcher not too dissimilar from Nolan before he got injured.
Farmer1906
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EastCoastAgNc
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Winter meetings started today, probably gonna be a lot of these rumors coming
The Porkchop Express
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Farmer1906 said:


We play the A's 73 times a season and I have no clue who this guy is.
Life is better with a beagle
McInnis
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MosesHallRAB04 said:

The other pitching thing to consider is Javier, LMJ, Garcia not Urquidy are guys you pencil in for 6-7 innings per start. They are 5, maybe 6 innings typically. That gives you 1 horse in Framber and a little unknown in Brown. The 6 man rotation will be key I believe.
Will six man rotations start to become more of a norm? Look how many high profile pitchers have broken down in post season the past couple of years. Kershaw and Scherzer last year, as well as LMJ. Then Scherzer again this year. Maybe it seemed like Urquidy was wasted once the playoffs started but was he part of the reason we had all healthy starters by then?
Prosperdick
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McInnis said:

MosesHallRAB04 said:

The other pitching thing to consider is Javier, LMJ, Garcia not Urquidy are guys you pencil in for 6-7 innings per start. They are 5, maybe 6 innings typically. That gives you 1 horse in Framber and a little unknown in Brown. The 6 man rotation will be key I believe.
Will six man rotations start to become more of a norm? Look how many high profile pitchers have broken down in post season the past couple of years. Kershaw and Scherzer last year, as well as LMJ. Then Scherzer again this year. Maybe it seemed like Urquidy was wasted once the playoffs started but was he part of the reason we had all healthy starters by then?
Urquidy wasn't a waste at all...he gave us 3 strong innings when LMJ didn't have it and was the main reason Dusty didn't have to fire the Montero, Abreu, and Pressly bullets that night. The next night history was made.
linkdude
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EastCoastAgNc
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Farmer1906
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EastCoastAgNc
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Farmer1906 said:


Insurance for Judge signing elsewhere? Would seem like an odd add given they traded for Bader
Ag_07
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The Pirates will ask for a king's ransom until the Yankees step in then they'll lower their ask significantly and throw in cash just so they can do a deal with the Yankees.
EastCoastAgNc
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amercer
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Anyone ever done spring training? We were thinking about it last year as a Christmas present for the kids, but with the labor deal I didn't end up looking into too long and we did a different trip.

This year I think we will head down for a long weekend. Any tips? At least in my mind, the coolest part would be just hanging out while the players are practicing/working out/coming and going. I'm sure we'll time it up to see a couple of games but I assume the stars don't play much?
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The Porkchop Express
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I've come to the realization that the off-season is boring as *****
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Ag4life80
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I went in 2015 with my son. It was great as we watched a game between the Astros top prospects and the Mets' top prospects on a back field. It was like standing by the bleachers at a high school game, except I was standing next to Cesar Cedeno. I've heard that since the Astros have 'arrived', the players are roped off more than they used to be. It was also a little spooky have many adults were there hunting autographs.
JohnnyTexAg1995
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amercer said:

Anyone ever done spring training? We were thinking about it last year as a Christmas present for the kids, but with the labor deal I didn't end up looking into too long and we did a different trip.

This year I think we will head down for a long weekend. Any tips? At least in my mind, the coolest part would be just hanging out while the players are practicing/working out/coming and going. I'm sure we'll time it up to see a couple of games but I assume the stars don't play much?
spring training is the best! Been twice and loved every minute I was at the facility!
Mathguy64
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I went to a spring training game many years ago in Kissimmee when we were at Disney for Spring Break. The only thing I remember was that Billy Wagner worked and at that time they thought he may be a possible starter for the team.
Mathguy64
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The special Contemporaries Committee for the Baseball HOF announced tonight that Fred McGriff was a unanimous selection. No one else made it. You needed 75% of the vote. Mattingly got 50%, Shilling 43%, and it went down from there. All they said about Bonds, Clemens, Palmiero was they got less than 25%.

The committee was made of 16 people: Greg Maddux, Jack Morris, Ryne Sandberg, Lee Smith, Frank Thomas, Alan Trammell; major league executives Paul Beeston, Theo Epstein, Derrick Hall, Arte Moreno, Kim Ng, Dave St. Peter, Ken Williams; and veteran media members Steve Hirdt, LaVelle Neal and Susan Slusser

Interesting that the players themselves didn't want the steroid users.
Cobra39
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Ag_07 said:

I would have a hard time not giving him 2 years $70mm

That seems pretty reasonable
I say go for it. Doesn't seems reasonable to me. And the fact that you got literally zero in value for $66 million in '20-'21 should not factor in (edit: forgot he did start one game and won it).

But.....if JV and Montero and Abreu cost you signing Tucker, figuring out Bregman or Framber/Javier in a year or two or taking a fair shot at a healthy Brantley, it is my opinion that these were bad decisions.....I have less of a problem with Abreu....I think you spent maybe $4-$5 million too much and pushed it on the 3rd year.

If the pie is just ballooning.....the Astros should have been in the running for DeGrom....maybe they were.

Update that I am sure has been covered.......Brian Reynolds with Pittsburgh has requested a trade......it's time for GM's Crane and Bagwell to make a run. Pirate management does drink heavily on some days (that would at least be an explanation)....but they don't drink heavily every day....they should be treated like receivers of email advertising.......you need to contact them every day.....or maybe even twice a day.

Cobra39
. . .
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agproducer
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Diamondbacks are shopping Varsho.

I think he could be an option. He's an outfielder and catcher.

Not Contreras, but he is much younger. His stats in MLB so far don't wow me, but his potential does.



Farmer1906
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agproducer said:

Diamondbacks are shopping Varsho.

I think he could be an option. He's an outfielder and catcher.

Not Contreras, but he is much younger. His stats in MLB so far don't wow me, but his potential does.






He's such a random player. Plays fantastic defensive OF yet can catch too. He doesn't hit it hard. Whiffs too much. Doesn't make enough contact. But when he does time it up be hits homers. High barrel rate.
agproducer
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Farmer1906 said:

agproducer said:

Diamondbacks are shopping Varsho.

I think he could be an option. He's an outfielder and catcher.

Not Contreras, but he is much younger. His stats in MLB so far don't wow me, but his potential does.






He's such a random player. Plays fantastic defensive OF yet can catch too. He doesn't hit it hard. Whiffs too much. Doesn't make enough contact. But when he does time it up be hits homers. High barrel rate.


Absolutely. I think he could be a nice project since he is so young. He likely could really benefit from some guys like the Astros who have experience and don't strikeout a bunch.
Farmer1906
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Prosperdick
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$43.4M per year...yeah I don't think Crane will go anywhere near that nor should he. What's odd is that would be the team I hate the least out of the Dodgers/Yankees/Mets...I guess time does heal all wounds.

What's great is it's yet another NL East team we would face in the World Series and we would get to feast on World Series Justin.
Marvin
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amercer said:

Anyone ever done spring training? We were thinking about it last year as a Christmas present for the kids, but with the labor deal I didn't end up looking into too long and we did a different trip.

This year I think we will head down for a long weekend. Any tips? At least in my mind, the coolest part would be just hanging out while the players are practicing/working out/coming and going. I'm sure we'll time it up to see a couple of games but I assume the stars don't play much?


A few comments- happy to talk direct if you'd like:

Pick a game(s) when the team is playing in West Palm so you get the most exposure to the players.

Get there before the gates open and hit the practice areas. Long lines so show up early.

Players respond to kids first, then women.

Know something personal about them. Mrs. Marvin always says or asks something about their kids, wives, charities, something that gets them to engage. Just yelling gimme an autograph doesn't get their attention.

I usually go straight to the outfield berm and shag balls during batting practice. DON'T be one of those dudes that takes balls away from kids, though!

Stick around afterwards and you'll see more activity.

Starters don't play much the first week. They may not even be in the dugout.

Mrs. Marvin likes to stick around the practice areas during the games. Sometimes boring, but sometimes you get five minutes with a Correa or Reddick. Just never know.

Be flexible and have alternate plans in case the weather is bad.

Check the schedule and see when the Astros travel locally. Are they still doing the pod thing like during COVID? A trip to Jupiter or Port St. Lucie is no big deal, but the west side of teams is a long day trip. Plan accordingly.

Spring training is the best baseball experience ever!!! You will have a blast. Enjoy!
I love Texas Aggie sports, but I love Texas A&M more.
Farmer1906
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Lots of great info.
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