***** Official Houston Astros 2019 Season Thread *****

W
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
as I recall the SoS discussion from last year involved the Indians. And all the pundits heaping praise on the Tribe and Lindor & Ramirez...

while completely, completely ignoring the garbage schedule they played (via 60 games vs. the Royals, White Sox, and Tigers). And that was proven out in the ALDS beatdown.

kudos to the many posters that recognized that during the 2018 season
Rustys-Beef-o-Reeno
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Reddick thankfully has learned from last year that he can't beat the shift so it appears he spent a lot of time working on his oppo swing and it opens up the field for him.
I get it if you are a homerun power hitter, it makes math sense to try and lift the ball, but someone like reddick it's imperative to hit to all fields
Harry Dunne
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Kudos indeed, because as I remember they took a ton of $hi7 about it. I need to apologize as well to whoever it was, because I took some cheap shots.
Deluxe
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Rustys-Beef-o-Reeno said:

Reddick thankfully has learned from last year that he can't beat the shift so it appears he spent a lot of time working on his oppo swing and it opens up the field for him.
I get it if you are a homerun power hitter, it makes math sense to try and lift the ball, but someone like reddick it's imperative to hit to all fields
Exactly. He's not a good enough pull-power hitter to warrant attempting to beat the shift every time up (like maybe Bryce Harper or Jose Ramirez). Really happy to see him abandon that approach this year.

It's very possible that Brantley is also having an effect on him. After Reddick's home run last night, he made a gesture with his hands/wrists toward Brantley as if to say "I did what you said and it worked" and Brantley made the same motion back like "yessir".
W
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
you know Reddick is going to start drawing the ire of all the "shift gurus" and analytics guys.

big league players are not supposed to willingly make adjustments to their game to defy the numbers.

those folks count on MLB players being stubborn
Harry Dunne
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Deluxe said:

Rustys-Beef-o-Reeno said:

Reddick thankfully has learned from last year that he can't beat the shift so it appears he spent a lot of time working on his oppo swing and it opens up the field for him.
I get it if you are a homerun power hitter, it makes math sense to try and lift the ball, but someone like reddick it's imperative to hit to all fields
Exactly. He's not a good enough pull-power hitter to warrant attempting to beat the shift every time up (like maybe Bryce Harper or Jose Ramirez). Really happy to see him abandon that approach this year.

It's very possible that Brantley is also having an effect on him. After Reddick's home run last night, he made a gesture with his hands/wrists toward Brantley as if to say "I did what you said and it worked" and Brantley made the same motion back like "yessir".
Good catch, just went back and watched that.
Ag_07
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Cole v Bauer tonight

Things may get chipping. Should be a good matchup.
Beat40
How long do you want to ignore this user?
W said:

you know Reddick is going to start drawing the ire of all the "shift gurus" and analytics guys.

big league players are not supposed to willingly make adjustments to their game to defy the numbers.

those folks count on MLB players being stubborn
I think some of that is predicated on the thought that if people are beating the shift, they are most likely getting singles. For example, with Joey Gallo, the thought is you're ok with him beating the shift because it usually results in singles and you're limiting his power threat. How many of us say someone should just lay down a bunt to beat the shift?

However, Reddick isn't just hitting oppo for singles. He's showing some power with doubles and a HR. And he's doing this with men on base. He's doing exactly what a big leaguer should do.

Someone like Gallo should learn from Josh and start trying to actually hit oppo because I'm sure he has enough power to get doubles and probably 5-8 HRs.

I also would like to see Altuve get back to the approach of hitting oppo more. It's staggering to see people shift against him, especially when all we need is a single from him to score a run.
Stros Schadenfreude
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Ag_07 said:

Cole v Bauer tonight

Things may get chipping. Should be a good matchup.


Cole has the fire, these guys have bad blood since College
Harry Dunne
How long do you want to ignore this user?
I'm not trying to rain on the Reddick parade. He's one of my favorite guys on the team and he has obviously worked hard to improve in this area.

That said, he has been hitting singles and doubles to the opposite field his whole career. I know the "he was a dead pull hitter and worked hard to beat the shift and become a spray hitter" narrative is more fun, but it's just not true.

https://www.fangraphs.com/spraycharts.aspx?playerid=3892&position=OF&type=battedball&pid2=3892&ss1=2019&se1=2019&ss2=2012&se2=2019&cht1=hangtime&cht2=hittype&vs1=ALL&vs2=ALL

I was surprised to see this as well, and all but a few of his HR have been to RF, but he's about as much of a spray hitter as they come.
Farmer1906
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Look at the pull %.

Early in his career, he was a pull hitter (38-43%). He got better at using more of the field (35-36% pull). Then last year happened when he pulled 45% of the time. So far this year he's only pulling <31%. A career low by far. He's also going opposite field >30%, a career high.
Deluxe
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Do 2018 only
Harry Dunne
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Yes, like I said he has worked hard and improved (especially from last year to this year), but people are portraying it like he went from being Chris Davis to Tony Gwynn over the offseason.
Ag_07
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Because it's a slow day at the office. Here's some of his batted ball profile

% Pull / % Straight / % Oppo
Career 36.6/36.1/27.3
2018 43.2/33.1/23.7
2019 30.6/41.9/27.4

% GB / % FB / % LD / % PU
Career 38.9/24.5/27.3/9.3
2018 39.0/27.9/21.7/11.4
2019 38.7/19.4/35.5/6.3

So looking at things it seems like over his career he wasn't that far on the pull side of things but there was an uptick in 2018. So it wasn't he wanted to become a spray hitter but more like he wanted to get back to being a spray hitter. And the improvement this year isn't so much in the oppo category as it is in the straight up the middle category.

I also think's it interesting to see the increase in LD% and decrease in PU% this year. He's even improved those numbers to better than his career numbers.
Marvin
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
I'm really liking this Brantley signing. The team was missing a Beltran last year and I think we may have found a great (and still productive, which is even better) replacement.
Stros Schadenfreude
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Marvin said:

I'm really liking this Brantley signing. The team was missing a Beltran last year and I think we may have found a great (and still productive, which is even better) replacement.


Dude looks so effortless, one of the best offensive signings in a decade
Harry Dunne
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Beat40 said:


Someone like Gallo should learn from Josh and start trying to actually hit oppo because I'm sure he has enough power to get doubles and probably 5-8 HRs.

Never going to happen. Reddick was a spray hitter that got into a rut, worked hard at something he was already pretty good at, and is now doing it very well again (better than ever).

What Reddick is doing is awesome, but obviously not everyone has the skill to do it. Albert Pujols was the best hitter of his generation and the shift ruined him. Father time has gotten him a little now too, but a few years ago when he was still hitting 40 bombs, he was leading the league in exit velocity and hard hit outs. He was still tagging the ball, but just not able to go where the defense wasn't and it took 50-100 points off his batting average. This is a guy who has walked more than he struck out over his career and was a career .330+ BA guy going into his 30s.

Gallo is a dead pull hitter that strikes out 200 times per year. Although he has laughably been compared to Dave Winfield on here, he is much more like Chris Carter. I'm not saying he can't improve on his usual .200 BA, but he's never going to do what Reddick is doing.

Harry Dunne
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Exactly.
Farmer1906
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Speaking of pulling the ball. Using more of the field isn't always better. Bregman needs to start pulling it more again.
Stros Schadenfreude
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Farmer1906 said:

Speaking of pulling the ball. Using more of the field isn't always better. Bregman needs to start pulling it more again.


He has an ops of 971 and an Ops+ of 162, better than last year.....what is the problem?
Ag_07
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Stros Schadenfreude said:

Farmer1906 said:

Speaking of pulling the ball. Using more of the field isn't always better. Bregman needs to start pulling it more again.


He has an ops of 971 and an Ops+ of 162, better than last year.....what is the problem?

His last name isn't Tucker
Buck Compton
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
I like arguing with you but damn if this isn't spot on.
Harry Dunne
How long do you want to ignore this user?
The Tucker brothers have a combined -2.0 major league WAR.
PSully97
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Buck Compton said:

I like arguing with you but damn if this isn't spot on.
Farmer1906
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Stros Schadenfreude said:

Farmer1906 said:

Speaking of pulling the ball. Using more of the field isn't always better. Bregman needs to start pulling it more again.


He has an ops of 971 and an Ops+ of 162, better than last year.....what is the problem?
He's been flying under my radar, I guess. I hadn't checked the numbers and was just going off feel.

You do you, Bregman,
astros4545
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Looks like there are gonna be a lot of bearkats in this thread for Kyle Tucker

Tucker isn't even on the big team and he gets it worse than Tyler white
Stros Schadenfreude
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Trevor Bauer is like the Bryson Dechambeau of baseball
W
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
need a professional start from Cole tonight. Nothing of this coming apart in the 1st inning stuff
Deluxe
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Stros Schadenfreude said:

Trevor Bauer is like the Bryson Dechambeau of baseball


Underrated
Farmer1906
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
He's my least favorite person in baseball, but he's also a damn good pitcher.
mathguy86
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Pretty sure Stassi had started with Coke every game. Not tonight. Wonder if that's an accident or Cole wanting a change after last time out.
W
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
I don't think it's a coincidence that Chirinos is starting tonight
mathguy86
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
I don't either.
titanmaster_race
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Throw strikes
titanmaster_race
How long do you want to ignore this user?
he's all over the place
Page 141 of 407
 
×
Verify your student status
See Subscription Benefits
Trial only available to users who have never subscribed or participated in a previous trial.