***** Official Houston Astros 2019 Season Thread *****

3,750,839 Views | 74451 Replies | Last: 27 days ago by PSully97
Teddy Perkins
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Yup.
Quote:

Every seemingly minor edge can matter immensely in a postseason series, and the sweeping slider that revived Peacock's major league career in 2017 has the potential to be a difference-maker. Of all the weapons the Astros can deploy from their bullpen, it is one of the most difficult for right-handed batters to hit.

Before his latest IL stint, he held righties this season to a combined .180/.251/.302 batting line in 191 plate appearances. Among Houston's pitchers, only side-armer Joe Smith's .460 opponent OPS against righties is better than Peacock's .554, and it has come in a dramatically smaller sample size.

Peacock started against the Yankees in June and struck out 11 batters without issuing a walk in six innings of two-run ball. If he's unable to make it back for the playoffs, Smith would figure to be the Astros' primary right-handed specialist to face the likes of Judge, Snchez and Stanton in the middle innings.
https://theathletic.com/1200735/2019/09/11/why-brad-peacock-might-still-have-an-important-role-to-play-in-the-astros-postseason/
Ag_07
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I guess numbers indicate otherwise but damn the thought of relying on Brad Peacock to face Judge, Stanton, Sanchez in the playoffs makes my stomach churn.

Harry Dunne
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Ag_07 said:

Teddy Perkins said:

He's too important for the playoffs against righties.

He is?
Regardless of whether he is or not, if we roll into the playoffs with the Big 3 healthy but Miley is still toast, someone is going to have to give us innings. If you don't start Peacock in G4, you're looking at starting Framber or Urkeeding...or Sneed? How do you think that's going to go and who do you think is going to pitch the last 6-7 innings of that game?

Trust me I'm not that pumped about rocking the 'Cock as a postseason SP, but I don't think we're deep enough to be using him as a situational reliever vs righties.


Marvin
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Goodness, imagine- even with some struggles of his own- where this team would be without the Greinke acquisition...
W
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Teddy Perkins said:

Does Justice read this thread?

Here's why Bregman should be AL MVP

Quote:

"All these games matter to all these guys," Hinch said. "It's not an exhibition game. I have great respect for the guys who are doing it on teams not in contention. You shouldn't punish Mike Trout. At the same time, I think it's a notch in the favor of guys that are doing it with playoff pressure or playoff-chase pressure."

momentum is building for Bregman. Playing both SS & 3B is another feather in his cap
CFTXAG10
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CFTXAG10
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bearkatag15
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CFTXAG10 said:


Maybe they will do that thing again where we score double digit runs and only allow 1? That usually has a positive result at the end of the game.
Ag_07
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Tucker is old and wearing down so I guess he gets a day off.
AggiEE
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Ag_07 said:

Tucker is old and wearing down so I guess he gets a day off.


Don't understand why they aren't starting 50/50 with him and Reddick
bearkatag15
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W said:

Teddy Perkins said:

Does Justice read this thread?

Here's why Bregman should be AL MVP

Quote:

"All these games matter to all these guys," Hinch said. "It's not an exhibition game. I have great respect for the guys who are doing it on teams not in contention. You shouldn't punish Mike Trout. At the same time, I think it's a notch in the favor of guys that are doing it with playoff pressure or playoff-chase pressure."

momentum is building for Bregman. Playing both SS & 3B is another feather in his cap



Keith Law doesn't agree
Oyster DuPree
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bearkatag15 said:

W said:

Teddy Perkins said:

Does Justice read this thread?

Here's why Bregman should be AL MVP

Quote:

"All these games matter to all these guys," Hinch said. "It's not an exhibition game. I have great respect for the guys who are doing it on teams not in contention. You shouldn't punish Mike Trout. At the same time, I think it's a notch in the favor of guys that are doing it with playoff pressure or playoff-chase pressure."

momentum is building for Bregman. Playing both SS & 3B is another feather in his cap



Keith Law doesn't agree


BREGMAN HAS MORE RINGZZZ *****ES
Ag_07
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bearkatag15
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Speaking of Yuli... Hinch says Friday is the earliest to expect him back in the lineup.
Bregxit
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I am not a stats wizard but Keith Law makes the argument in the twitter thread that Trout's WAR is "considerably" higher that Bregman's. Is 8.1 considered that much better than 7.2?
Buck Compton
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Bregxit said:

I am not a stats wizard but Keith Law makes the argument in the twitter thread that Trout's WAR is "considerably" higher that Bregman's. Is 8.1 considered that much better than 7.2?
You're probably looking at WAR on baseball reference. I choose to look oWAR because it excludes our terrible fielding metrics (but still includes a position modifier).

The gap widens to 6.8 for Bregs and 8.2 for Trout there.


For some reason I got called lazy for making the same argument as Hinch yesterday that there isn't a "playoff race" factor, but if you don't give that argument any credence, then yes, 8.1 (or 8.2) is much better than 7.2 (or 6.8) No matter what you look at, I would vote for Trout this year. Overall, his stats are better. But I think the playoff factor makes it closer than it otherwise would be.
Bregxit
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I wonder if Trout racking up missed games here at the end of the season will have any sway with voters.
W
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people have become way too WAR-dependent in making comparisons and evaluations.

Mike Minor has a higher WAR than JV -- right?

and Lance Lynn has a higher WAR than Cole -- right?

and Sonny Gray has a higher WAR than Greinke.

so let's dump JV, Cole, and Greinke...and roll with Minor, Lynn, and Gray for the playoffs. Yes?
mathguy86
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WAR for pitchers is messed up. It isn't working correctly when it says Minor or Lynn is more valuable than JV or Cole. Somehow it's evaluating data wrong. Because in no metric you look at if Lynn or Minor better. Forget the eye test. No metric says it. How EAR does is beyond me.
Farmer1906
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I think the flaw is how the evaluate defense and ballparks.
Buck Compton
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mathguy86 said:

WAR for pitchers is messed up. It isn't working correctly when it says Minor or Lynn is more valuable than JV or Cole. Somehow it's evaluating data wrong. Because in no metric you look at if Lynn or Minor better. Forget the eye test. No metric says it. How EAR does is beyond me.
If I remember correctly, there's some type of competition adjustment in there, and some weird park factor item in baseball reference.

Like, Rangers pitchers give up a lot of runs and have a good offense, so that ballpark factor is unusually high. So if you're the best pitcher on that staff, all your ****ty buddies in the rotation are actually helping your WAR.
Mr.Ackar07
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It's also dependent on teams faced. Minor and Lynn have had to face the elite Astros offense multiple times while Verlander and Cole have not had to. This gives Minor and Lynn an upward adjustment in pitching WAR.
Kashchei
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Urgh-idy
bearkatag15
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Urquidy > Miley



At least so far tonight
bearkatag15
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Great start
Bregxit
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Three up three down. Good start.
Ag_07
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Kashchei said:

Urgh-MF'in-idy


FIFY
dshedd41
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Great crowd here tonight. The new netting is good to see
"They are going to fear when that helmet comes into town, because hell is coming with it."
Jimbo Fisher
bearkatag15
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TK and Blum talk about how much Houston has hit Brett Anderson and they have dominated him... Anderson proceeds to have a 1-2-3 inning...

mwm
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If I'm Urquidy or Valdez, I'm champing at the bit to try & take the #4 position if Miley continues his woes.
bearkatag15
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Ummm... has Urquidy figured something out??? He looks really ****ing good
Bregxit
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Let's get this kid some runs!
Ag_07
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Yourkeeding >>>> Greinke
bearkatag15
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That's a solid K/BB ratio...
Bregxit
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When he came up he was known for his control and his changeup.