***** Official Houston Astros 2018 Season Thread *****

3,311,390 Views | 44067 Replies | Last: 6 yr ago by dshedd41
ClickClack
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TayTrox34 said:

Frok said:

This offense is feast or famine this year.
That's baseball, man. Especially in the first couple of months when hitters are trying to find their groove. Same thing happened last year and look how that turned out.


I agree this was the case for a good portion of last year, but this team is more feast or famine right now than most. It's not just baseball. 26 innings of shutout baseball is not normal.
CSWendt
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I think it's time we come to grips with our offense. This isn't going to be the same offense as last year. I expect them to finish at least top 5 in AL offensively. Many guys last year had career years. The odds of every guy playing at that level again are slim. Last year what they did offensively was historic. We need to lower our expectations from that.
rosco511
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FIP is intended to be more of a predictive stat because very few pitchers have the ability to truly control BABIP (ie, over time most pitchers skew toward the average BABIP and do not truly have the ability to make pitches that produce a lower than average BABIP).
TayTrox
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ClickClack said:

TayTrox34 said:

Frok said:

This offense is feast or famine this year.
That's baseball, man. Especially in the first couple of months when hitters are trying to find their groove. Same thing happened last year and look how that turned out.


I agree this was the case for a good portion of last year, but this team is more feast or famine right now than most. It's not just baseball. 26 innings of shutout baseball is not normal.
16 runs isn't normal either.

My point is, there are a lot of outliers in baseball. The fact that we have the 6th** best record in baseball with an inconsistent offense is insane. THAT is not normal.

I'm not arguing that we are not a "feast or famine" offense right now. I'm just saying that is part of baseball and it isn't a big deal. If this were happening the last 3 weeks of the season then I would be a little concerned.

Edit: 6th best record in baseball.
W
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not to nitpick...but right now the Astros have the 6th best record in MLB.

behind the BoSox, NYY, Angels, Arizona, and St. Louis
W
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so after last night...Keuchel's run support in his 8 starts is now:

4.1 runs per game.

sounds good...until the standard deviation is factored in
TayTrox
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W said:

not to nitpick...but right now the Astros have the 6th best record in MLB.

behind the BoSox, NYY, Angels, Arizona, and St. Louis
Hah! I'm dumb. I was looking at the wildcard standings...doh!
Ag_07
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Hope you guys don't mind a bit of an humble brag but I just pulled the trigger on tickets to see The Good Guys take on the Giants in SF come August.

Wife and I booked a trip to SF and I managed to time it up to catch the afternoon game when we're there. Been watching and found quality seats for a decent price so pulled the trigger this morning. Pretty excited

If anyone has tips or insight to ATT Park shoot em my way. Ok I'm done...Carry on
titanmaster_race
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Congrats on the kid!
k20dub
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Try the Cha Cha Bowl. Heard it's amazing.
ClickClack
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Ag_07 said:

Hope you guys don't mind a bit of an humble brag but I just pulled the trigger on tickets to see The Good Guys take on the Giants in SF come August.

Wife and I booked a trip to SF and I managed to time it up to catch the afternoon game when we're there. Been watching and found quality seats for a decent price so pulled the trigger this morning. Pretty excited

If anyone has tips or insight to ATT Park shoot em my way. Ok I'm done...Carry on


Man this is on my wish list. We're planning on going to Seattle to see the Astros next summer. Really want to do SF too. Enjoy it.
JW_TXAG13
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I don't really have any tips but I made it to a game there when I lived in Bakersfield for a few months and it was one of my favorite ballparks. I sat in the outfield and had an awesome time, they had a bunch of different bar areas out there.
gougler08
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If you like coffee, stop by Philz...some of the best and most unique I've had
Ag_07
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SEA is on our list as well

I know it's a different venue and all but had a buddy trip up there this past fall to see the Texans and he loved SEA and that whole surrounding area.
titanmaster_race
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Did anyone happen to see Dee Gordon's "throw" from CF over the weekend? He spiked it so badly while trying to throw to second that slow-ass Pujols was able to trot from 2B to 3B without the Mariners making a play.

That dude is having a rough adjustment period in the outfield. Kinda feel bad for him.
irish pete ag06
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Ag_07 said:

I'll let irish get into more but I think FIP is actually a pretty well respected metric.

It measures a pitcher's performance on only what he has total control over (HRs, Ks, walks, and HBPs). It doesn't take into account balls in play. I think some will even say to look at FIP and not ERA as it's more true.
Yes. FIP is a great metric to do just what you said, when balanced against ERA, it can show regression coming or if a pitcher has "out performed his peripherals."

If I could only know FIP or ERA, I would choose FIP.

The only real wart to FIP is that some pitchers can genuinely be unlucky on homeruns if their HR/FB rate is high. The idea is that FIP measure pitchers control (walks), stuff (strikeouts), and hard contact rate (homers). Sometimes pitcher can be unlucky and give up a ton of fence scraping homers which could skew FIP.

xFIP takes things a bit further to account for this and normalizes HR/FB rate to league average and LOB% to league average which is usually 70%.
Agnzona
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Is there a stat that adds runs scored plus RBIs divided by strikeouts? That would seem like a very useful ratio to measure hitters?
AustinCountyAg
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Safeco and ATT Park are two of my favorites. We sat in RF at ATT and the view of the bay and field was awesome. All the Giant fans around us were very cool....Safeco is the best though. Granted I am very biased because my experience there was very different then what most fans get.
agdaddy04
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AgDoc03 said:

agdaddy04 said:

Maybe it's just because it's late, but sure seem like there's a lot fewer posters during a game like this - and I recognize all of them.


For those of us that live on East Coast, game started after 10 and have to be up for work at 530. With all the offensive fireworks I imagine game didn't end until closer to 2am. I made that sacrifice last year for postseason but not for an early May game against A's.

Oh I get that, but it was typical last year as well. I definitely can't stay up for all of them either. I do find it somewhat humorous that people took such offense to my post that it's been removed though.
AgDoc03
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agdaddy04 said:

AgDoc03 said:

agdaddy04 said:

Maybe it's just because it's late, but sure seem like there's a lot fewer posters during a game like this - and I recognize all of them.


For those of us that live on East Coast, game started after 10 and have to be up for work at 530. With all the offensive fireworks I imagine game didn't end until closer to 2am. I made that sacrifice last year for postseason but not for an early May game against A's.

Oh I get that, but it was typical last year as well. I definitely can't stay up for all of them either. I do find it somewhat humorous that people took such offense to my post that it's been removed though.
Seriously? That's extreme
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Ags #1
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What got removed?
agdaddy04
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My post that said "Maybe it's late..." guess I shouldn't post it again since it hurt someone's feelings.
Ag_07
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I doubt it hurt anyone's feelings.

I'm guessing with the onslaught of offense staff was trying expecting teets everywhere and came here to bust someone. When they couldn't find shlt they took it out on you.
shano0603
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Beau Bevers said:

shano0603 said:

Anyone feeling a Jed Lowrie/Houston reunion this year?


DH?

Could play anywhere. But yes, the primary idea behind it would be to get a guy that would DH instead of Gattis. He can also play anywhere on the infield if someone needs a break. He's been dealt between these two teams so many times that it would only be fitting...
Wabs
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I expect teams to try get Beltre from the last place Rangers. I'd love to see him in Houston as a DH, but the Rangers would probably say no to a division rival, or ask way too much.
agproducer
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Ag_07 said:

Hope you guys don't mind a bit of an humble brag but I just pulled the trigger on tickets to see The Good Guys take on the Giants in SF come August.

Wife and I booked a trip to SF and I managed to time it up to catch the afternoon game when we're there. Been watching and found quality seats for a decent price so pulled the trigger this morning. Pretty excited

If anyone has tips or insight to ATT Park shoot em my way. Ok I'm done...Carry on
Way to go, man! I want to check out AT&T Park. I actually have to fly to the Bay Area tomorrow. I may slum it at the Oakland Coliseum.
Harry Dunne
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Wabs said:

I expect teams to try get Beltre from the last place Rangers. I'd love to see him in Houston as a DH, but the Rangers would probably say no to a division rival, or ask way too much.
You're probably right, but it would be dumber for the Astros to make that trade than for the Rangers. I'm only saying this a little bit to be an ******* and mostly because it's true, but Beltre will be retired by the time the Rangers are competing for anything. His being on the Astros wouldn't hurt anything but their pride. Our prospects coming back to haunt us for years would be tough.

All we need is a paunchy way past his prime high character guy to tell our guys not to flail at pitches outside the zone and eat DH at bats, right?
Ag_07
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However, it seems to me like they've been pretty easy to fleece on trades. Also don't forget Lunhow's track record for trading guys who get injured.

If they'll do it for prospects that we think we can pawn off on them then I'm OK with it.
CoachRTM
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Beltre for the right price would be a money trade to make. He's one of the most likeable players in the league, on top of being a great hitter.

.310 BA, 1 HR, 8 RBI over 87 AB this year (pre- DL trip)
.312 BA, 17 HR, 71 RBI over 2017 on a pretty crappy Rangers team.

This would be a pretty nice playoff lineup.

1. Springer - CF
2. Altuve - 2B
3. Correa - SS
4. Beltre - DH
5. Gurriel - 1B
6. Bregman - 3B
7. Gonzalez - LF
8. Reddick - RF
9. McCann - C
titanmaster_race
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The trade would be with doing just to see rangers fans gnash their teeth over the decision of whether or not to root for the Astros to win again and get Beltre a ring.
irish pete ag06
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titanmaster_race said:

The trade would be with doing just to see rangers fans gnash their teeth over the decision of whether or not to root for the Astros to win again and get Beltre a ring.


Beltre wins his ring with the Astros and goes into the hall of fame in the Navy and Orange.
Ags #1
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Give them fisher white and aj reed and call it a day
Quincey P. Morris
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DVC2010
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McInnis
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Quote:

The trade would be with doing just to see rangers fans gnash their teeth over the decision of whether or not to root for the Astros to win again and get Beltre a ring.
I'm sure that's true and I guess the rivalry between the Astros and Rangers is way more intense than it was before the Astros moved to the AL, but I remember very well wanting Nolan Ryan to do well after he went to Texas.
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