spadilly said:

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What's Frankie have to say?

I did not cause a global stock market crash at all pic.twitter.com/xnpIZiX5Ps

— Frankie MacDonald (@frankiemacd) August 5, 2024

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Lmao

BowSowy said:

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buddybee said:

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Just as Joe B**** said and with a favorable MJO, watch out. Bend Over here it comes again.

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Swing and a miss again. Dumb ****

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The latest round of models from the GFS, Euro, and ICON all show something developing in the eastern greater antilles mid next week now. The GFS brings it into the Gulf and the Euro and ICON both turn right into the atlantic. Will be interesting to see if it persists into subsequent model runs. The fact that all three models show something is different from what the GFS was showing by itself over the last couple of days.

CMC also shows it going into the Atlantic. New GFS 18Z is currently running.

Texaggie7nine said:

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Agasaurus Tex said:

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New GFS 18Z is currently running.

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The GFS model runs 4 times a day, 6 hours apart and it takes several hours to run and post. They use greenwich mean time or "zulu" time, So the 18z is the 6pm zulu time run of the model. Central standard time is 6 hours behind gmt, so when you see 18z, it is noon in Texas. The 18z run is just finishing posting on Tropical Tidbits right now. When you see the indivisually posted frames from the models that say valid for 15Aug24 18z, that means it is a snapshot of what the model is predicting for noon on August 15th.

tk for tu juan said:

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Maybe wait until there is a tropical cyclone actually forming or it has a name before going over every model run for the next 7 days

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When you have travel plans to the Caribbean during hurricane season, there is value in being aware of what may be coming so you can start making alternate plans ahead of everybody else. I have no plans to act on anything this far out, but it is useful to know what you may need to keep an eye out for in the coming days. With all three models showing a storm forming out there 5-7 days from now, it is much more likely than what only the GFS was showing for the gulf 10+ days out earlier this week.

Agasaurus Tex said:

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CMC also shows it going into the Atlantic. New GFS 18Z is currently running.

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18z GFS shows it going through the T&C and then turning north over the Bahamas now. good chance it will be a fish storm relative to US landfall.

maroon barchetta said:

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txags92 said:

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tk for tu juan said:

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Maybe wait until there is a tropical cyclone actually forming or it has a name before going over every model run for the next 7 days

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When you have travel plans to the Caribbean during hurricane season.

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That's a bold plan, Cotton.

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It's low season price wise, if there is not a hurricane around the sea conditions for diving are usually dead flat calm with excellent visibility, and with most of the resorts on some of the smaller islands closed, the island is very uncrowded. Plus with water temps 85-87F, you can dive in nothing but shorts and a rash guard. You just have to be aware of what might be coming and be willing to be flexible if you need to make last minute changes.

Bonaire?

Charismatic Megafauna said:

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Bonaire?

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Little Cayman

Ag_07 said:

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OK we get it...You dive all over the Caribbean.

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I did when we first started diving, but mostly we just go back to Little Cayman. Way too easy and relaxing.

Charismatic Megafauna said:

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Bonaire?

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Bonaire is so far south that it is out of the usual hurricane zone. It's a great dive spot.

I love bonaire, will have to check out little cayman

Charismatic Megafauna said:

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I love bonaire, will have to check out little cayman

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Little Cayman is kind of the opposite of Bonaire. Mostly boat diving vs mostly shore diving. But it is super easy boat diving. You set up your gear once and the crew handles it after that. The diving is all from 42 or 46' Newtons. All moored dive sites, no current to speak of most of the time, and no requirement to follow the divemaster. The north side of LC has the Bloody Bay wall, where the wall starts off at about 20-25' and drops almost straight down several hundred feet. So you can do a wall dive and finish your dive doing a safety stop on top of the reef under the boat. Super easy diving, great vis, and really good food at the resort. Only two smallish resorts on an island that is 7 miles long by about a mile wide.

It and Cayman Brac are also pretty much the only islands in the Caribbean where SCTLD has not started impacting the reefs yet. My only advice is not to go between about late October and late January. The wind blows out the north side fairly often during that time and the south side diving is good, but doesn't match up.

I love the Caymans for diving. It is the only diving the Caribbean that reminds me of SE Asia. And I am totally in on going in the off season. We have done that several times. The nice thing is there is also very few people from the northeast to deal with.

Cromagnum said:

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PJYoung said:

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🤨 pic.twitter.com/AzNsT9QhWm

— Nicholas Isabella (@NycStormChaser) August 9, 2024

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They need to show the forests of the Carolina's, they have done much landscaping down there