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PJYoung
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1:25p, 7/5/24
AG
Feels like a good wobble north now.

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/goes/sector_band.php?sat=G16§or=gm&band=GEOCOLOR&length=72&dim=1

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Anti-taxxer
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In reply to Fitch • 1:28p, 7/5/24
AG
Who is this guy?
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Captain Winky
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In reply to Fitch • 1:31p, 7/5/24
"Literally showing ". Well yeah, I think a computer model would be pretty literal.
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Ag12thman
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1:38p, 7/5/24
AG

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Cromagnum
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1:41p, 7/5/24
AG
People gonna be be surprised this evening if they haven't been paying any attention after hearing Mexico a few days ago.

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MAS444
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1:42p, 7/5/24
AG
Just here to say "literally" is one of the most over used words in English language. Along with "like."

Now back to storm stuff...
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sts7049
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In reply to Cromagnum • 1:44p, 7/5/24
AG
Cromagnum said:
People gonna be be surprised this evening if they haven't been paying any attention after hearing Mexico a few days ago.

if you are that surprised, you're too stupid to understand what uncertainty means
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Sea Speed
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In reply to sts7049 • 1:50p, 7/5/24
AG
We are in a bubble here and our personal lives for the most part I imagine. I would bet a not insignificant chunk of the country has absolutely no grasp on that concept b.
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Cromagnum
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In reply to sts7049 • 1:55p, 7/5/24
AG
sts7049 said:
Cromagnum said:
People gonna be be surprised this evening if they haven't been paying any attention after hearing Mexico a few days ago.

if you are that surprised, you're too stupid to understand what uncertainty means


There are an alarmingly large number of dumb people in Houston.
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BayAg_14
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In reply to Ag12thman • 1:56p, 7/5/24
Ag12thman said:



That gif is crazy.
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Red Pear Realty
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In reply to Cromagnum • 2:04p, 7/5/24
Sponsor
AG
Cromagnum said:
sts7049 said:
Cromagnum said:
People gonna be be surprised this evening if they haven't been paying any attention after hearing Mexico a few days ago.

if you are that surprised, you're too stupid to understand what uncertainty means


There are an alarmingly large number of dumb people in Houston.
Fixed it for you.
Sponsor Message: We Split Commissions. Full Service Agents in Austin, Bryan-College Station, Dallas-Fort Worth, Houston and San Antonio. Red Pear Realty
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P.H. Dexippus
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2:04p, 7/5/24
AG
The NW trend of the center is apparent in the latest satellite loop. The animation was lagging the page so follow the link..

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/goes/floater.php?stormid=AL022024
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DDub74
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2:11p, 7/5/24
At this rate, its going to hit Houston or even Beaumont. Sorry Beaumont, you seem to be the red headed step child of Hurricanes lately.
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PJYoung
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In reply to P.H. Dexippus • 2:12p, 7/5/24
AG
P.H. Dexippus said:
The NW trend of the center is apparent in the latest satellite.
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/goes/floater.php?stormid=AL022024
Yep. Certainly looks like it's gonna pop out in the middle of the northern Yucatan coast instead of the far western edge.

Northern Mexico/Southern Texas landfall odds going way down.
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Bonfired
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2:19p, 7/5/24
AG
Not that I'm going to run from this storm if it gets closer than originally anticipated, but I'm going to get vehicles gassed up in an hour or so and do a few other chores as a gift to my future self. Being out amongst people who are losing their shat is no fun, and depending on the 4 and 10 updates, shat-losing may be imminent.
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Cromagnum
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2:23p, 7/5/24
AG
Yep. I'm filling up my gas before the Friday rush hour idiots catch wind of a track shift and lose their *****
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cone
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2:26p, 7/5/24
AG
lose their **** as in you think there will be lines at the pump
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Serotonin
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In reply to Bonfired • 2:27p, 7/5/24
AG
Bonfired said:
Not that I'm going to run from this storm if it gets closer than originally anticipated, but I'm going to get vehicles gassed up in an hour or so and do a few other chores as a gift to my future self. Being out amongst people who are losing their shat is no fun, and depending on the 4 and 10 updates, shat-losing may be imminent.
This is why texags is awesome.

Multiple posters speculated that Beryl would shift north days before the experts. All based on some key data points and common sense.

So went ahead and got cars gassed up and got our normal weekend grocery shopping done today so we can sit back and relax.

I think a good number of people are going to start panicking tonight/tomorrow so might as well get everything knocked out before then.
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PJYoung
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2:30p, 7/5/24
AG
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Sea Speed
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2:35p, 7/5/24
AG

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Ag12thman
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2:36p, 7/5/24
AG
Same for me. Bought a bunch of bottled water, batteries, gas (for vehicles and generator), etc. I figure I might as well get all of these things even if I don't wind up needing them for Beryl, since we have another 3 to 4 months to go and we may even be threatened again.
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AustinCountyAg
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In reply to Sea Speed • 2:37p, 7/5/24
I'd bet good money this thing goes east of corpus not west. By a couple hundred miles.
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BillYeoman
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2:40p, 7/5/24
Liquor stores close in 30 hours
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Sea Speed
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2:41p, 7/5/24
AG
I need to get a transfer pump. Headed to dock today, should pick one up tomorrow.
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rancher1953
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2:45p, 7/5/24
Lots of sites now saying ground zero is Port Lavaca and it will make landfall as a Cat 3. What will the next 24 hours bring?
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Ag12thman
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In reply to AustinCountyAg • 2:46p, 7/5/24
AG
AustinCountyAg said:
I'd bet good money this thing goes east of corpus not west. By a couple hundred miles.
This is also what I feel like may wind up happening. The trend is that way, based on the things we've been seeing.
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Agasaurus Tex
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2:58p, 7/5/24
AG
Probably won't have a good feel about where this thing is headed until the 10am advisory tomorrow. Got food and beverages for a week+. Generac may get some playing time. Gas in car in case the SHTF. I'm in Texas City and plan to stay.
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redag06
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In reply to rancher1953 • 2:59p, 7/5/24
At this rate it will hit the Sabine.
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ChemAg15
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3:05p, 7/5/24
AG
Probably won't have an idea where this thing is headed until *pick a time ~12hrs from current time* and then we'll all be able to make decisions.
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CAR96
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3:10p, 7/5/24
AG
I have stayed quite a day or so. I will have to hunker down with my parents and sister n Port Neches.

I live in The Woodlands and headed over there this Friday afternoon. I was hoping they could evacuate east bit their poor health limits riding in a and all that brings.

I wish the models could have handled this better.

Prayers to all Aggies. '96.
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sts7049
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In reply to CAR96 • 3:15p, 7/5/24
AG
this is from three days ago. what was so inaccurate?

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Stat Monitor Repairman
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3:16p, 7/5/24



For the benefit of folk that may be new.
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maroon barchetta
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In reply to MAS444 • 3:16p, 7/5/24
MAS444 said:
Just here to say "literally" is one of the most over used words in English language. Along with "like."

Now back to storm stuff...



"Like" outpaces "the" and "a" at this point.
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CDUB98
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In reply to Cromagnum • 3:17p, 7/5/24
AG
Cromagnum said:
sts7049 said:
Cromagnum said:
People gonna be be surprised this evening if they haven't been paying any attention after hearing Mexico a few days ago.

if you are that surprised, you're too stupid to understand what uncertainty means


There are an alarmingly large number of dumb people in Houston.


And their numbers are growing exponentially.
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sts7049
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In reply to sts7049 • 3:19p, 7/5/24
AG
sts7049 said:
Corpus
i'm changing my pick to sargent
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