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803,792 Views | 6443 Replies | Last: 10 days ago by tk for tu juan
cone
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this guy is losing it
texasaggie2015
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Is he okay? He really seems to have lost his marbles lately. He seemed a little off before this too.

I've only followed him for 2-3 years but he really has taken an odd turn.
PJYoung
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I wouldn't be surprised if it gets to a 3. Joe B has been talking about it becoming a major. Any additional time over water as it jogs to the North I would think would help it get there.

Let's see where it pops out in the gulf tonight. The center is gonna reorganize.
Sea Speed
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cone said:



this guy is losing it


100% because he is reading and responding to the comments. Dudes obviously trying to appease the online masses and at some point people need to realize that will never work.
cone
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he's way way way too online
gougler08
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BayAg_14 said:

06Z HWRF

Guess this is what Herzog is using for most of his updates as that ties directly to his Matagorda Bay call
Tom Cardy
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Sea Speed said:

cone said:



this guy is losing it


100% because he is reading and responding to the comments. Dudes obviously trying to appease the online masses and at some point people need to realize that will never work.
bingo. If you spend any time trying to wade through the comments on twitter/facebook when it comes to this stuff, it's pretty terrible. Tons of people think they know what's happening because they can look at model runs on levi's site, or they have a favorite armchair hobby met who they want to throw up against the professionals.

it's a cesspool and you'll go crazy if you actually try to address/correct/acknowledge it all.
BMX Bandit
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Sea Speed said:

cone said:



this guy is losing it


100% because he is reading and responding to the comments. Dudes obviously trying to appease the online masses and at some point people need to realize that will never work.
I agree with you, but I'd say he is spot on with this tweet. people like cone are exactly who he is talking about.


Lanza isn't "losing it" far from it
I Am A Critic
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cone said:

he's way way way too online
It doesn't help that he's also a whiny, thin-skinned Yankee liberal.
Username checks out.
wolfpack759
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So, hypothetically if this hits Matagorda Bay as a 1 or 2, how far east would TS force winds be felt?
Anti-taxxer
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I know very little about reading these.

To me, this looks like a storm making landfall closer to Brownsville. So, adjust the lines as if the red were closer to Matagorga, and that may give you a better idea. ((Shrugs))
rancher1953
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What is Joe Bast**** at Weather Bell saying? He is the definitive expert that seems to have the best handle on the situation. I remember he called what Harvey and Ike was going to do several days before anyone else.
gougler08
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Anti-taxxer said:

I know very little about reading these.

To me, this looks like a storm making landfall closer to Brownsville. So, adjust the lines as if the red were closer to Matagorga, and that may give you a better idea. ((Shrugs))

If it's apples to apples, Houston would be in the brownish color if it ended up hitting Matagorda + on the "dirty" side of it. Definitely would be enough wind to cause issues in areas that have had problems since the derecho.
TRM
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Quote:

Beryl is likely to emerge on the north, not west side of Yucatan, increasing the likelihood of a stronger storm further north on the Texas coast Another old school rule to be tested. We have moved our hit area to BRO to CRP, but a worry even further north
Ag_07
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Also keep in mind the further north it goes the stronger it will be so the wider the wind probabilities would be.
I Am A Critic
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rancher1953 said:

What is Joe Bast**** at Weather Bell saying? He is the definitive expert that seems to have the best handle on the situation. I remember he called what Harvey and Ike was going to do several days before anyone else.
You can say it all you want but no, he's not.
Username checks out.
texasaggie2015
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TRM said:

Quote:

Beryl is likely to emerge on the north, not west side of Yucatan, increasing the likelihood of a stronger storm further north on the Texas coast Another old school rule to be tested. We have moved our hit area to BRO to CRP, but a worry even further north

Oh dang
Anti-taxxer
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texasaggie2015 said:

TRM said:

Quote:

Beryl is likely to emerge on the north, not west side of Yucatan, increasing the likelihood of a stronger storm further north on the Texas coast Another old school rule to be tested. We have moved our hit area to BRO to CRP, but a worry even further north

Oh dang

What? BRO is Brownsville? I'm guessing?

What's CRP? And where is this from?
The Brazos Kid
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Anti-taxxer said:

texasaggie2015 said:

TRM said:

Quote:

Beryl is likely to emerge on the north, not west side of Yucatan, increasing the likelihood of a stronger storm further north on the Texas coast Another old school rule to be tested. We have moved our hit area to BRO to CRP, but a worry even further north

Oh dang

What? BRO is Brownsville? I'm guessing?

What's CRP? And where is this from?
Corpus
TRM
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It's from Joe B
TRM
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This may help with keeping Beryl from turning further north.

Swan Song
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Corpus Christi I believe
AustinCountyAg
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cone said:



this guy is losing it
do be fair, judging by his picture he looks like a complete puss
BillYeoman
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I Am A Critic said:

cone said:

he's way way way too online
It doesn't help that he's also a whiny, thin-skinned Yankee liberal.


If he is wrong he will claim MAGA Climate Change wrecked his models….and then blame Exxon
jetch17
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Well F me - we officially pulled the plug on the trip south this morning
buddybee
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Joe B is the man for all things regarding hurricanes.
gougler08
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jetch17 said:

Well F me - we officially pulled the plug on the trip south this morning
Ag_07
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jetch17 said:

Well F me - we officially pulled the plug on the trip south this morning

Serotonin
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I love SCW but Lanza is too thin-skinned and was too quick to play the 'trust me, I'm the expert' card.

What he said
Quote:

People have just lost it with this storm. The same people that complain that "the media" sensationalizes everything too much are complaining, loudly, that we aren't taking it seriously enough. Mind you, none of them are meteorologists. I'm astounded. Never seen it this bad.

What he should have said

Quote:

People are really concerned about this storm, and I completely understand after Harvey. I still think a direct hit near Houston is unlikely which I explain in my latest post. Having said that, there are still many unknowns, so be prepared and have a hurricane plan in place. We'll have an update after 10AM.
Martin Q. Blank
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Sea Speed said:

Wasn't there a lot of talk about it hitting yucatan as a tropical storm?
They always had it hitting Yucatan as a hurricane.

BowSowy
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You still running your generator after those severe storms you were calling for a while back? Clown
AustinCountyAg
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jetch17 said:

Well F me - we officially pulled the plug on the trip south this morning
how far south? We've got friends that own a house in cinnamon shores. Plan as of now is to head down tonight and shore a few things up then gtfo out tomm.
texasaggie2015
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Yeah, he tends to talk down to the "commonfolk" a lot which rubs me the wrong way.
Sea Speed
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Thanks for that. I was obviously wrong about the previous predictions. Here's to hoping yucatan weakens the hell out of it.
rancher1953
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History may be about to repeat itself.

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