Don't be a poon. There is a guy on the Travel Board who just flew to Jamaica a couple of days ago.
*****2024 Hurricane Season*****
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Last: 9 days ago by tk for tu juan
Captain Winky said:
Don't be a poon. There is a guy on the Travel Board who just flew to Jamaica a couple of days ago.
He might become a permanent resident...
Never forget.
Cromagnum said:Captain Winky said:
Don't be a poon. There is a guy on the Travel Board who just flew to Jamaica a couple of days ago.
He might become a permanent resident...
Traveling into a Cat 4 hurricane just before landfall in a 3rd world country sounds like a good way for a foreigner to get parted out like a stolen Honda a la Turistas. Everyone will just assume the storm got you.
It takes a special kind of complete stupidity to head into a hurricane like that.P.H. Dexippus said:Cromagnum said:Captain Winky said:
Don't be a poon. There is a guy on the Travel Board who just flew to Jamaica a couple of days ago.
He might become a permanent resident...
Traveling into a Cat 4 hurricane just before landfall in a 3rd world country sounds like a good way for a foreigner to get parted out like a stolen Honda a la Turistas. Everyone will just assume the storm got you.
Username checks out.
jetch17 said:Our issue would be when to head down - we have a house booked this friday to next friday. Mother-in-law is wigging out, of course. Not planning to be on Mustang Island if that thing comes in hot.Charlie Murphy said:Keep an eye on the news and Leave Port A a day early?Ag_07 said:Charlie Murphy said:
Why are people already wringing hands and cancelling plans? A bit early IMO.
Depends on what the plans are.
Cancelling a flight out of Houston for work...Probably a bit premature.
Cancelling a family trip down to Port A...Probably justified.
i think im more pissed that is fuggs up my redfish guide i have lined up
First world problems
That is nightmare fuel.P.H. Dexippus said:Cromagnum said:Captain Winky said:
Don't be a poon. There is a guy on the Travel Board who just flew to Jamaica a couple of days ago.
He might become a permanent resident...
Traveling into a Cat 4 hurricane just before landfall in a 3rd world country sounds like a good way for a foreigner to get parted out like a stolen Honda a la Turistas. Everyone will just assume the storm got you.
Welcome to the China Club
"Here's the pitch...POPPED it up! Oh man, that wouldn't be a home run in a phone booth."
-Harry Carey
"Here's the pitch...POPPED it up! Oh man, that wouldn't be a home run in a phone booth."
-Harry Carey
Starting to weaken slightly. GFS initialization still having issues with the strength on this one. Hurricane hunters latest data shows 960mb. 12Z GFS shows 982mb.
Hector is going to be running 3 Honda Civics with spoon engines
Is Hector the H hurricane?
Dr McKnabb (sp) on The Weather Channel is almost jumping to get his words out he's so excited
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Quit watching the weather channel.
That's your first mistake and probably the cause for a lot of your anxiety.
Nowadays there are so many more reliable and knowledgeable sources out there for weather forecasts.
That's your first mistake and probably the cause for a lot of your anxiety.
Nowadays there are so many more reliable and knowledgeable sources out there for weather forecasts.
Ag_07 said:
Quit watching the weather channel.
That's your first mistake and probably the cause for a lot of your anxiety.
Nowadays there are so many more reliable and knowledgeable sources out there for weather forecasts.
Exactly. TWC is hammered dog sheet.
Ok. I hear you.
Can you share who to follow on X or YouTube or…. Where ever
Can you share who to follow on X or YouTube or…. Where ever
CAR96 said:
Ok. I hear you.
Can you share who to follow on X or YouTube or…. Where ever
Instead of getting in to the weeds, just follow this thread. We are generally all level headed and don't deal in rhetoric or fear porn. You may not get the information the instant it is available, but no one here is going to steer you in the wrong direction.
I live in SETX and as long as I am not offshore, I would be happy to check on your parents any time.
Space City Weather is a good follow. It's run by Matt Lanza and Eric Berger.
But, Jim Cantore wearing a helmet fighting a hurricane....scd88 said:Ag_07 said:
Quit watching the weather channel.
That's your first mistake and probably the cause for a lot of your anxiety.
Nowadays there are so many more reliable and knowledgeable sources out there for weather forecasts.
Exactly. TWC is hammered dog sheet.
I follow Space City, Levi Cowan, Mikes Weather Page, Jeff Lindner…who does a YouTube update called Weather Insights, and the last I can think of my head is someone I cant stand but he's a bit of a hack and gets things close to correct is in Instagram and X called DaBuh… out of Florida.
Parents are in Pt Neches
Parents are in Pt Neches
LOL, Jim Cantore.
Levi Cowan is legit, on X too. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/
Edit: Yeah what CAR said.
Levi Cowan is legit, on X too. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/
Edit: Yeah what CAR said.
If you want to go minimalist just watch the NOAA NHC cone and read their discussions:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at2+shtml/174500.shtml?cone#contents
They deserve a ton of respect for their guidance. I remember they were spot on with the series of Louisiana hurricanes back in 2021.
IIRC people in Houston were freaking out about one of them based on some model forecasts but they maintained a Louisiana landfall and were correct.
They review all the models and then use some common sense and logic when it comes to weighing the probabilities and which models they think might be more accurate.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at2+shtml/174500.shtml?cone#contents
They deserve a ton of respect for their guidance. I remember they were spot on with the series of Louisiana hurricanes back in 2021.
IIRC people in Houston were freaking out about one of them based on some model forecasts but they maintained a Louisiana landfall and were correct.
They review all the models and then use some common sense and logic when it comes to weighing the probabilities and which models they think might be more accurate.
Quote:
Instead of getting in to the weeds, just follow this thread. We are generally all level headed and don't deal in rhetoric or fear porn.
Except for cone and his bipolar posting.
texsn95 said:
Levi Cowan is legit, on X too. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/
Great rec!
However, sometimes they get pretty in-depth with the science and thermodynamics and all that stuff.
Interesting but if you're just wanting laymen type forecasts you may not like them.
No…been watching Levi posts and can understand since 2017.
CDUB98 said:Quote:
Instead of getting in to the weeds, just follow this thread. We are generally all level headed and don't deal in rhetoric or fear porn.
Except for cone and his bipolar posting.
Gotta look at the page number to know which cone you're gonna get.
Wrong.
I called Brownsville first!
I called Brownsville first!
Just heard that Shell is shutting down their oil and gas rigs out in the Gulf of Mexico? Anybody heard anything about that?
His videos are probably the best out there, in my opinion.CAR96 said:
No…been watching Levi posts and can understand since 2017.
Doesn't surprise me. It takes a monumental amount of effort, and time, to shut-in and make-ready these facilities, not to mention the personnel evacuations, since there are a finite number of choppers, and 1000s of folks to get off, at a 3-4 hour round-trip each way, max 16 POB. Starting with non-essential personnel first. Last month I went out to a construction vessel next to Shell's new Whale facility and it was about 1.5 hours 1-way, and is due south of Houston in Alaminos Canyon 772, so it would be in the direct path if it continued to turn North. Shell Perdido is a bit west of there too.CAR96 said:
Just heard that Shell is shutting down their oil and gas rigs out in the Gulf of Mexico? Anybody heard anything about that?
Lots of persistent chatter that companies are shuttering rigs. That's the only thing that has me thinking the odds of this taking a hard right turn are better than the models.
Not necessarily
As big as these storms are hazardous conditions to workers on rigs can still be present even thought the storm is not particularly close.
And like someone said. These companies can take 0 risks so they'll eye on the side of caution.
As big as these storms are hazardous conditions to workers on rigs can still be present even thought the storm is not particularly close.
And like someone said. These companies can take 0 risks so they'll eye on the side of caution.
Follow the NHC. Period. Levi Cowan is #2 to follow.
Check out the trailing blob, what a weird storm.
No I get it. I'm saying the odds are enough that they are making this call when the vast majority of the modeling is saying a Mexico hit.
Yeah, you wait too long to evac and / or evade (drillship) and stuff like this happens.Ag_07 said:
Not necessarily
As big as these storms are hazardous conditions to workers on rigs can still be present even thought the storm is not particularly close.
And like someone said. These companies can take 0 risks so they'll eye on the side of caution.
https://abc13.com/noble-corporation-deepwater-drillship-hurricane-ida-louisiana-damage/10993416/
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