Latest NOAA track has shifted north again, now taking the eye directly over Jamaica.
*****2024 Hurricane Season*****
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Last: 13 days ago by Cromagnum
Another shift north...
RIP Jamaica
Jamaica bout to get ****ed
Update from Eyewall: https://theeyewall.com/
Quote:
But there's a lot of nuance to this. For one, if Beryl does weaken as expected, this would have only a modest impact on the final track, keeping it south across the Yucatan and into Mexico. If Beryl does stay stronger than forecast or somehow intensifies as it comes west into the Gulf, it would be more apt to "feel" the stronger trough and come north. You can see this on the Euro ensemble where stronger outcomes are mostly skewed north and weaker outcomes are mostly skewed south.
So, basically, who knows?
Yup. Looks like going to have to wait until Thursday evening, really, to have a good idea of what's going to happen.texasaggie2015 said:
So, basically, who knows?
Beat40 said:Yup. Looks like going to have to wait until Thursday evening, really, to have a good idea of what's going to happen.texasaggie2015 said:
So, basically, who knows?
Yeah. Gonna be a dumpster fire at grocery stores if this makes a last minute run towards us. Already crazy enough with holiday weekend cookouts.
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In that case let's do a dead pool. Post where you think the eye makes landfall. The winner gets one Brazilian internet points.
I'll go first. Matamoros, Mexico.
I'll go first. Matamoros, Mexico.
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I wonder how aware the masses even are at this point.
El CaracolRed Pear Realty said:
In that case let's do a dead pool. Post where you think the eye makes landfall. The winner gets one Brazilian internet points.
I'll go first. Matamoros, Mexico.
I'm guessing mets in Texas will start to raise some awareness if the 18Z GFS keeps it sliding north into Texas.
That would be bad for Houston.
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Tampico
I'm in.
Direct hit on Katy.
Direct hit on Katy.
Port O
Kingston, JamaicaRed Pear Realty said:
In that case let's do a dead pool. Post where you think the eye makes landfall. The winner gets one Brazilian internet points.
Looks like the latest NHC update has it inching a little bit more north again. Seems like it's been slowly creeping north every time there's an update.
I'm far from an expert so please feel free to correct me.
I'm far from an expert so please feel free to correct me.
Corpus
F me in the goat ass.
jetch17 said:
F me in the goat ass.
I'm waiting to see what 18Z Euro does. 00Z this morning had it still hitting central coast of Mexico. Will be interesting to see if euro shifts north or stays where it is.BayAg_14 said:
I'm guessing mets in Texas will start to raise some awareness if the 18Z GFS keeps it sliding north into Texas.
Ha, where do you live?jetch17 said:
F me in the goat ass.
texsn95 said:Ha, where do you live?jetch17 said:
F me in the goat ass.
He lives in Houston, this will just be his second coastal trip in a month ruined by storms.
Damn the luck :-(
Brownsville
The cones are definitely shifting northward. You can watch the forecasts over Jamaica and Yucatan as reference points.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/BERYL_graphics.php?product=5day_cone_with_line_and_wind
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/BERYL_graphics.php?product=5day_cone_with_line_and_wind
Voting on Corpus hit. Gonna go out on limb and say Cat 2
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Anti-taxxer said:
I'm in.
Direct hit on Katy.
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jetch17 said:
F me in the goat ass.
Port Mansfield on its way to SA. Cat 2 at landfall.
jetch17 said:
F me in the goat ass.
You have another long day of getting drunk and beating the s out of him...
Official forecast still has it as a tropical storm coming in just south of the RGV. But everything seems to be trending north with each new update.
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That looks even more north