agz win said:
Storms forming and rolling in now. Ground still saturated. Really heavy air.
I'm not sure how we survived that.
agz win said:
Storms forming and rolling in now. Ground still saturated. Really heavy air.
Lord have mercy!P.H. Dexippus said:
GoM waters are super hot, so usually not, but sometimes there are high upper-level shear winds that inhibit rapid intensification. The Caribbean sea usually shears the storms apart, or has in the past few years, but the overall pattern is changing to a more favorable storm-development scenario, so that may not be the case this year.Martin Q. Blank said:
Has a storm ever petered out once it reaches the gulf? I thought every time it intensifies once it passes Cuba.
texsn95 said:GoM waters are super hot, so usually not, but sometimes there are high upper-level shear winds that inhibit rapid intensification. The Caribbean sea usually shears the storms apart, or has in the past few years, but the overall pattern is changing to a more favorable storm-development scenario, so that may not be the case this year.Martin Q. Blank said:
Has a storm ever petered out once it reaches the gulf? I thought every time it intensifies once it passes Cuba.
The predictions above were all preseason forecasts.Sea Speed said:
I thought I read somewhere that those predictions were all their amended predictions as the season went on, and not what their initial predictions were, so their finals sometimes appear to be more accurate than their initial predictions. I thought that was a weird way of doing things. May very well be incorrect, but I definitely recall seeing someone discussing that somewhere.
No reason why #95L will not become #Beryl by Sat. It’s in an environment that is rich in moisture, low wind shear and water temps in the low 80’s. The Saharan dust is far enough north to not be a major factor. Westbound she goes in a favorable environment.. pic.twitter.com/EmZ5etEVp1
— Hurricane Tracker App (@hurrtrackerapp) June 27, 2024
Here is some important context we wanted to share as we are looking at models the next several days. #95L #Beryl https://t.co/Zj1KCEQuz2 pic.twitter.com/xjkiEH9VA9
— Hurricane Tracker App (@hurrtrackerapp) June 27, 2024