I appreciate the info, but that's not going to work. The houses in my neighborhood have all been built since 2011. There are no foundation issues, dead A/C units, or roofs that need to be replaced. To make that argument would simply be dishonest.
The data clearly shows HCAD over-valued our houses compared to what houses actually sold for. Even houses that sold in November and December of 2022 are valued anywhere from 15-20% over the actual sales price.
I gave an example in post on the previous page - a house that sold on Nov 29 for $500k has a 2023 market value of over $600k. They've done this to house after house after house, and the $/sq ft are all pretty consistent.
Looking at the data, it literally looks like they took the most expensive sale, which also happened to be the biggest house with a huge pool and outdoor kitchen and pavilion and applied that $/sq ft to every house, regardless of size or pool status.
I know they are adjusting some values back down to purchase prices because there are a couple of sold comps whose HCAD records have already been updated, but not everyone has protested or had their protest processed, yet.
To make matters worse, the analysis report for my house does not identify any specific sales comps. They simply sent me ALL of the sold properties in my 'hood going back to March of 2020.
They also included 17 pages of lot sales. But the vast majority of them are in the gated/golf course portion of the development where the lots can be 1 acre+ and cost over $1MM. They also included sales of commercially-zoned property in the report, one of which was a $10MM transaction.
So, my best argument really is that they over-valued everyone's properties compared to actual comparable sales and point out that they've already corrected some properties. I know my odds aren't good, but I have nothing to lose. This protest will only affect my market value as my appraised is low thanks to multiple years of protesting and the 10% cap.
They've already admitted they missed the mark on my house by over $50k by virtue of my iSettle offer, and based on the data in the reports they sent me, iSettle is still too high by about $30k.
Regardless of the outcome, it will be wash, rinse, repeat again next year.